Excluding an impairment loss of RM5.3mn for investment and advances for an expressway concession in 4Q18, PESONA recorded full-year core profit of RM13.6mn. The results came in below our expectation, accounting for 81.0% of our full-year forecast. The variance was mainly due to lower-thanexpected contribution from the construction division.
A first and final dividend of 1sen/share was declared, matching the amount declared last year.
YoY, FY18 core profit dropped 35.1% to RM13.6mn mainly due to higher finance cost arising from concession asset acquired in October 2017. The construction division, its biggest earnings contributor, witnessed a decline in earnings as construction operating margin dropped by 1.4%-pts to 3.4%, despite the construction revenue was 4.6% higher at RM554.5mn.
QoQ, core earnings plunged 55.4% to RM2.2mn mainly due to lower construction progress (-6.4%), coupled with lower construction operating margin (-2.2%-pts to 2.7%).
Impact
Following the weaker-than-expected results, we trim construction margin assumptions for various projects, and cut FY19 and FY20 earnings forecasts by 16.2% and 29.9% respectively. We introduce earnings forecasts for FY21 with a projected net earnings growth of 29.8% for FY21.
Outlook
PESONA’s outstanding order book stood at RM1.9bn. This is sufficient to provide earnings visibility to the group for the next 2 to 3 years.
Valuation
Maintain BUY call with a lower target price of RM0.26, from RM0.29 previously.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....