Trending Line
My Views On The Future Trend of KAWAN
KAWAN make a breakthrough from triangle pattern at last Friday. So, like this kind of trend is a good chance to speculate when notice a reversal signal, so I predict 3.34 is possible in a short term.
Now is very close to the first resistance line and anytime will turn down. Conversely, if wish to turn into bullish, then is a must to breakthrough the first resistance line at 3.26, next is to develop a consolidation zone for at least 2 month times to digest the head position, after that breakthrough 3.42 than only preliminary bull trend is formed.
But, If observed from weekly chart, then a long term trend can be seen clearly. Even though after the consolidation zone, but it just construct a M head pattern only from weekly chart. Unless it breakthrough 4.00, or else it will just make a bigger head, which to trap more money from retailer. If according to my analysis, once the second uptrend target price is reached, that usually is a top price. Except, another QE is coming, otherwise the best way to digest a head position is to introduce a Big Polar Bear.
So, I think current trend is disadvantage for long term investment, however, short term maybe still can make some fast money. Anyway, regardless long term or short term, eye on support & watch your risk.
KAWAN在上周最后的一个交易日作出了三角收敛突破。
以技术分析的投机者，一旦看到翻转讯号后通常都会在下一两个交易日进场，等待的就是这样的突破，而这一波的涨幅预测可以到大约3.34。
目前已经很接近第一道阻力，随时都会转弯往下。反之，如果是要由空转多，就必须能突破第一道阻力，还要在大概3.26以上震荡一段至少两个月的时间以消化头部的压力，然后再突破3.42，那么初步的多头趋势才算可以形成。
如果从周线来看，就更清楚看得出长期走势的发展，就算可以渡过两个月的震荡期然后突破，但是对周线来说也只是在筑M头，除非最后可以突破4.00，要不然也只是在做出一个更大的头部，套更多的资金而已。如果以我的技术分析，一旦第二波涨幅出现后，计算出来的涨幅价位，通常都是头顶价位。除非，出现再一波的资金浪潮，不然消化头部最好的方法，就是出现一波空头调整。
所以，我认为长期投资在现在的这个趋势没有优势，相反，短期投资也许还可以赚多这个波段。无论如何，不管长期还是短期，看好支撑，看好风险。
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
