THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
From Permafrost to Precipitation - how so many got trapped in sumatech (SudahTrap) & IFCA (Calvin
calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 18 May 2016, 01:06 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,808
Hi Guys,
I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.
The Eight Stages of A Hot Air Balloon Stock
Stage No. 1. PermaFrost
Snow that is frozen for 2 or more years are called permafrost
perma - as in perma-nent
frost - be freezed over
This is the stage of a really dead stock that no research house will bother. Not a single soul is interested. The exception must be the only one in ten thousand who dare to buy any.
Stage No. 2. Thawing
Frozen Solid Ice starts to thaw or soften a little
A very slight passing glance by some value investors or deep value hunters. Only the very brave who SEE VALUE Will dare to buy some.
Stage No. 3 ICE Now Turning to Cold Water.
Some brave souls dare to venture in. Of course it's cold. Every where people pour scorn and cold water on the stock. Very few pay any attention. Remarks are usually negative. From Remisiers, fund managers, one and all. Same conclusion - the stock is not in their investment radar. So most reject it..
Stage 4. Cold Water no longer cold. It is now at room temperature.
Ha! there is a little attention paid by value investor. For the rest it is neither cold nor hot. So lukewarm response. No longer negative like before. But not positive either. A few hopeful investor starts to accumulate.
Stage 5 Water starts to boil
Ha! the heat or fire cause the water to stir a little now. There is warm and movement.
Company reports a good quarter. Or some great contract awarded - real or assumed. Some by merger news. Some favourable factors due to ringgit crash and strong US Dollar translating into higher profits. Or cheap oil benefiting rubber glove, logistic stock like transport or airline. There is now a stir in the stock.
Newspapers, analysts, experts, punters and all are paying attention now. More people talk about it in internet forum and even the media reports it.
Buyers are coming in and there is a great stir at last. Things are now coming alive. Prices moving upward. Many are making monies.
Stage 6. Boiling Water Turning Very Hot in the kettle. The water now churning in violent waves in the pot or kettle with steaming hot movements.
At long last the stock is very hot. Post after post by i3 forum member. All are universally drawn and sucked in. Like insects flying into bornfire at night there is a red hot wild attraction. As more people telling how they made killings in the stock market even more and more people are drawn into the red hot hot stock.
Those who made money early are now piling more and more monies into the red hot stock. Some even go into margin account to buy more.
Prices leap up to the cheers of all and sundry. Everyone is so happy. Happy in a sure winner. Emotion is now flying high. Any opposing view is slammed down in a frenzy. Reason is now overtaken by exuberance.
Stage No. 7. Hot Steam Rises Up The Sky As Hot Air To Form Cloud
All are now in cloud nine. Naysayers are condemned and proven wrong. The sky is the limit for the price. Can now fly to the moon or mars. More monies piled in. More suckers drawn in by greed.
This is the happiest time for all. But throwing all caution to the wind this is also now the most dangerous time to hold or buy more.
In Bursa every day the hot stock is traded in top 10 volumes
In internet forum this is the stock conversation revolves around day and night. Media reports it and tell why it should go even higher. Experts suddenly appear to tell you this time is different. The sky is the limit. Or the sky is not limit. It should fly to outer space.
See example:
Sumatech has a total of 121,603 posts
121,603 POSTS? AMAZING INDEED!
And 123 people clicked like for sumatech
All finally caught in SudaTrap
123 people like this. Showing 10 of 121603 comments. Show more comments
Hmmm?
IFCA Also got many posts & likes
55 people like this. (IFCA)
Showing 10 of 45505 comments. Show more comments
Hmmm?
Airasia also look like one now with 40,978 hot hot comments
66 people like this. (airasia)
Showing 10 of 40978 comments. Show more comments
Stage No. 8 Precipitation - Cloud falls down and crash back to earth in torrential rain.
All caught holding high flying shares on the steep fall to earth are in despair. This is the ultimate result for those who chased hot hot stocks at the very peak = total loss and bankruptcies.
See from permafrost to precipitation stocks
SUMATEC RESOURCES BERHAD [S] (1201)
Company Website
Annual Report
General Meetings
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Discussions
2 people like this. Showing 16 of 16 comments
Calvin
On the contrarian, most people would find it easier to cut loss on non fundamental stocks and goring stocks such as this.
It is the so called value investments that fall from grace that traps a lot of people.
2016-05-18 01:51
strategisst Calvin,
You miss on hibiscus which is the worst... kihkihkih
18/05/2016 08:52
Yes see my comments on hibiscus
MP Corp versus XOX, Hibiscus & Hubline.---- Compare & Contrast Their Prospect & Fortunes
Author: calvintaneng | Publish date: Fri, 19 Feb 2016, 09:08 AM
XOX - As the warning indicates
X = Sharp Crossed Blades
0 = A picture of the human head
X = Sharp Crossed Blades
All who put their heads out above 60 cents, 50 cents, 40 cents, 30 cents & 20 cents gor their heads chopped off
How to make money in telcos. Market already saturated with Celcon, axis, Digi, YES, P1, StreamX, U Mobile & Redtone
Redtone is throwing price at only Tm8.00 for new starter kit.
How to make mney for XOX? Just THINK?
Hibiscus
Sumatech, Perisai, Alam, Scomi all impacted badly by falling Oil Prices.
Hibiscus has not even found a drop of oil.
Can buy? Just THINK?
2016-05-18 09:36
I don't know why some people are so angry at Calvin. To the extent of hurling obscenities. As with the AirAsia post. It's as if the post will result in the counter crashing.
This one is "Calvin's Blog". As in "He can write whatever he wants". Let him say anything he wants. Some people may be influenced, some not. Calvin may be wrong. Or he may be right. If you don't agree with him, why not write your own post and provide some argument as to why his analysis is wrong. Or you can just ignore. After all, Calvin's posts by themselves won't affect the prices. But to shower him with obscenities just shows the mentality of the person commenting. Just live and let live...let people write what they want at their blogs.
2016-05-18 17:49
Yah i like to read calvin post. He commented well on some bad stock. And i do follow some of his advice on certain call. Js keep writing mr calvin. Sure there r people who like n dislike yr posting. To me its no harm to listen to a guru. After all in stock market there is no absolutely right or wrong. Only *tomorrow can tell who is right or wrong. People say feng shui master can bluff u 10 or 8 years. Mr calvin wont.
2016-05-18 23:21
See comment in MP Corp.
Posted by stkoay > Mar 18, 2016 02:53 PM | Report Abuse
calvintaneng recommended this stock in early 2014 when it was trading above 50 sen. He also said he will conduct operasi tong sampah ie buying all he can....even with borrowed money.
After 2 years, his investment dropped a few HUNDRED percent.
This is what will happen to your investment if you have eagle eyes like calvintaneng.
http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/forum/800001170.jsp
2016-05-18 23:31
Posted by stockraider > Apr 2, 2016 12:16 PM | Report Abuse
It is dangerous when the company already PN 17....owing the bank tonnes of monies loh...!!
to recover....it is only thru sell of land n property.
The bank will simply sell cheap....bcos the objective is to recover their borrowing....they are not interested to make profit on the land.
http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/forum/800001170.jsp
2016-05-18 23:32
Posted by calvintaneng > Apr 12, 2014 11:49 PM | Report Abuse
Stkoay,
I also recommended PM Corp at 15 cts, SILK at 40 Cts, TAWIN at 44 cts, Cymao at 35 Cts, The Store at RM2.39, RCE Capital at 26 cts, Dutaland at 46 cts, GMutual at 45 Cts, KPSCB at 52 Cts,
PBA at RM1.10, PADINI at RM1.60, JAKS at 51 Cts. Go And See My Comments There at all their respective forum sites.. 90% of my calls are Right On Target.
As for MP Corp I fully concur with acgerlok5. Only thing is. I think MP Corp will easily Hit RM1.00 when 6 lanes connecting highway is ready in a year's time. (No need few years' time.)
2016-05-18 23:34
MP Corp still cannot make money after so many years. XOX cannot make money? Please read attached whether Calvin telling truth.
http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5094509
http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/fin/0165.jsp
How to make mney for XOX? Just THINK?
2016-05-18 23:50
Calvin sifu, i sailang bjcorp and bjcorp ld, but price not moving, can give a bit advice?
2016-11-25 01:17
sifu calvin, i m a bit worry the price keep dropping.. can sifu advice where is the floor?i buy bjcorp at 0.32 and LD at 0.53... ;(
2016-11-25 08:14
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CS Tan
4.9 / 5.0
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
stockmanmy
Genting kills many customers every year , still got good business after 40 years.
Why not stocks?
2016-05-18 01:29