THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

WHEN PALM OIL ESTATES TURN INTO INDUSTRIES & TOWHSHIPS: THE HIGHEST VALUE IS ACHIEVED, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 26 Jul 2023, 01:51 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,792
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear friends of i3 Forum,


As the title implies

WHEN PALM OIL ESTATES TURN INTO INDUSTRIES & TOWHSHIPS: THE HIGHEST VALUE IS ACHIEVED


WE CAN SEE FROM EXAMPLES AFTER MORE GOOD EXAMPLES


1. THERE ARE LONG TERM VALUE APPRECIATION FOR PALM OIL COMPANIES COMPARED TO OTHER INDUSTRIES


WHY?


ANSWER:


THE ANSWER RESTS UPON THE ASSETS OF PALM OIL ESTATES WHICH ARE LANDS. AND LANDS ARE INDETRUCTIBLE LIKE GOLD


EVEN AFTER TWO ATOM BOMBS DROPPED ON HIROSHIMA & NAGASAKI IN YEAR 1945 MORE THAN 78 YEARS AGO THEY ARE NOW THRIVING CITIES FILLED WITH PEOPLE


SO ARE PALM OIL LANDS. THEY ONLY GET MORE AND MORE VALUABLE AS THE YEARS GO BY


1. VALUE IS GAINED BY SELLING PALM OIL ESTATES TO OTHER PALM OIL PLAYERS. LIKE TSH SOLD PALM OIL LANDS IN SABAH TO OTHER PALM OIL GROWERS. OR LIKE KLK TAKING OVER THE ENTIRE PALM OIL BUSINESS OF IJMPLANT AT RM3.10 PER SHARE (FROM RM1.86)


2. CONVERTING PALM OIL ESTATES TO INDUSTRIES WILL COMMAND A HIGHER PRICE

LIKE BPLANT SOLD LANDS TO YTL-POWER FOR INDUSTRIES LIKE DATA CENTER OR SOLAR FARM


3. BUT THE HIGHEST VALUE COMES FROM CONVERTING PALM OIL ESTATES TO NEW TOWNSHIPS

LIKE JCORP TOOK KULIM PRIVATE AT RM4.10 (FROM RM2.50) TO BUILD 2 NEW TOWNSHIPS IN PENGERANG


SEE THIS GOOD EXAMPLE


Report: Bottling factory site in PJ Section 13 sold at record price

 January 16, 2021


PETALING JAYA (Jan 16): A bottling factory site (pctured) in Petaling Jaya’s Section 13 has been sold at “a new record” price “for industrial land transactions in the area” to  a Penang property developer, reported The Edge Malaysia.

Sources told the weekly that Singapore-based National Aerated Water Co (KL) Sdn Bhd has disposed of the site, popularly known as Kickapoo land, to GSD Land (M) Sdn Bhd for RM46 million (about RM514 psf).

Savills Malaysia is the appointed exclusive marketing agent for the deal. “We are in the final stages of the disposal,” deputy managing director and head of capital markets Nabeel Hussain told publication.

VPC Alliance (M) Sdn Bhd managing director James Wong said the “sale of the Kickapoo factory at RM514 psf is probably the highest commercial land sale in the commercial precinct of Petaling Jaya’s Section 13. The sale was transacted pre-Covid-19 pandemic”.

He added that the buyer likely paid a high price since “the land is zoned for mixed commercial development with a plot ratio of 3.25” and there is “limited supply of commercial land in Petaling Jaya, which is in good demand”.

The bottling plant, which used to churn out Sinalco and Kickapoo Joy Juice drinks many years ago, is located on 2.06 acres or 89,560 sq ft of leasehold land called Lot 54. It was put up for sale in “late 2019” with 41 years remaining on the lease.

The Edge wrote that “One of the attractions of the land is its dual frontage” as it “faces Jalan 13/6 and Jalan Professor Khoo Kay Kim, formerly known as Jalan Semangat”.

Potential development activities on the site “can include services, commerce, retail, residential, facilities and infrastructure, and utilities”.

“Following the sale of the former Kickapoo factory site, attention will now turn to the much larger tract of 9.93 acres belonging to Dutch Lady Milk Industries Bhd, located across the road from the site,” it added.


Calvin comments:


How come such old dilapidated bottling factory at the end of lifespan has SUCH HIGH RESIDUAL VALUE?


YES! THE UNDERLYING LANDS LONG LONG AGO WAS ULU. THEN TURNED INTO INDUSTRIES


AND FINALLY COMMAND SUCH HIGH PRICING?


THE ANSWER IS: BECAUSE FINALLY IT TURNS FROM INDUSTRIES TO TOWNSHIPS


STAGE ONE : PALM OIL ESTATES

WHERE TREES GROW



STAGE TWO: INDUSTRIES WHERE ALL KINDS OF THINGS (GOODS ARE MADE)



STAGE THREE: TOWNSHIP WHERE HUMAN BEINGS CONGREGATE LIVE, WORK & PLAY


SO READ AGAIN


Potential development activities on the site “can include services, commerce, retail, residential, facilities and infrastructure, and utilities”. (NOT POLLUTING INDUSTRIES ANY MORE)


SO LAND VALUE GOES UP MUCH MUCH HIGHER AS HUMANS WORTH MORE THAN THINGS, GOODS OR PLANTING


THAT'S IT!


ONCE UPON A TIME MR. SIME & MR. DARBY ARRIVED FROM ENGLAND ON MALAYSIA SOIL AND JOINED TO FORM SIMEDARBY

AFTER 200 YEARS THE PLANTATION LANDS ARE NOW TOO VALUABLE FOR PLANTING TREES. SO THEY ARE SOLD AND CONVERTED TO HOUSING


SEE


Sime Darby Plantation to sell land in Kapar to Sime Darby Property for RM618 mil

 / 


KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 1): Sime Darby Plantation Bhd is disposing of 949 acres of freehold land in Kapar, Klang to Sime Darby Property Bhd for RM618 million.

The deal is in pursuant to one of the nine call option agreements entered into between both companies in 2017, when Sime Darby Bhd embarked on a "pure play" exercise, which involved the creation of stand-alone listed entities in plantation, property, trading and logistics sectors.

In a Bursa Malaysia filing, Sime Darby Plantation said it signed

an agreement on Thursday (Dec 1) to sell the Kapar land to Sime Darby Property's wholly owned subsidiary, Sime Darby Property (Bukit Tunku) Sdn Bhd.

It said the land, which was acquired in 1975, forms part of Bukit Kerayong Estate, and is being used for agricultural purposes.

Proceeds from the disposal will be utilised for its working capital requirements, added Sime Darby Plantation.

The original cost of investment in the Kapar land was RM4.7 million, while another RM10.7 million was spent on subsequent investments in bearer plants and immovable assets up to April 2013.

The net book value of the land recorded by the group as of Dec 31, 2021 was RM11.8 million, which included the allocated original cost of investment and capitalised costs.


Sime Darby Plantation said the retailed party deal is expected to be completed in the second quarter of 2023.

Kapar land to be developed into integrated sustainable industrial township

Sime Darby Property, meanwhile, said the purchase of the land would be fully satisfied in cash, via a combination of internally generated funds and bank borrowings.


The property developer said in a filing that the land is located four kilometres away from the Kapar interchange of the West Coast Expressway with accessibility to be further enhanced by the proposed development of East Coast Rail Link.

Sime Darby Property said the acquisition is in line with the group's journey under the SHIFT25 strategy to transform from a pure play property developer into a real estate company by broadening and diversifying income streams.

The acquisition is also in line with the group's active land bank management, by adding value to its existing matured townships in areas with promising development prospects.

The company added that the land would be developed into an 

integrated sustainable industrial township given the strategic location and sizeable net land area.

"The first phase of the proposed development is expected to be launched in 2024 and will be structured as a phased development over a period of 10 to 15 years.

"Based on the preliminary master layout plan, the estimated gross development value of the development is estimated to be between RM5 billion and RM6 billion," it added.

FROM THE ABOVE LET US DO A BREAK DOWN


1) SIMEDARBY PLANT SELLING 949 ACRES OF LAND TO SIMEPROP FOR RM618 MILLIONS


TO GET COST PER ACRE DIVIDES RM618,000,000 by 949 ACRES


= RM651,211 PER ACRE SOLD


SEE FURTHER


The original cost of investment in the Kapar land was RM4.7 million, while another RM10.7 million was spent on subsequent investments in bearer plants and immovable assets up to April 2013.


NOTE: THE ORIGINAL COST OF THESE 949 ACRES WAS ONLY RM4.7 MILLIONS 


or RM4,952 PER ACRE!


AND SPENT RM10.7 MILLIONS IN PLANTING AND BUILDING IMMOVABLE BUILDINGS ON THESE LANDS (SIMEPLANT ALSO HARVESTED AND SOLD LOTS OF FFB & PALM OIL TO RECOUP ALL COSTS)


NOW AFTER ALL THESE YEARS THE ESTATE  IS SOLD FOR A WHOPPING RM618 MILLIONS


SO FROM RM4.7 MILLIONS TO RM618 MILLIONS


NOW READ FURTHER INTO THE FUTURE



The acquisition is also in line with the group's active land bank management, by adding value to its existing matured townships in areas with promising development prospects.

The company added that the land would be developed into an 

integrated sustainable industrial township given the strategic location and sizeable net land area.

"The first phase of the proposed development is expected to be launched in 2024 and will be structured as a phased development over a period of 10 to 15 years.

"Based on the preliminary master layout plan, the estimated gross development value of the development is estimated to be between RM5 billion and RM6 billion," it added.


READ ONE FINAL TIME


"Based on the preliminary master layout plan, the estimated gross development value of the development is estimated to be between RM5 billion and RM6 billion," it added.


SO THESE 949 ACRES OF LAND 


ORIGINAL COST RM4.7 MILLIONS.........WILL HAVE A FUTURE DEVELOPMENT VALUE OF BETWEEN RM5 BILLIONS TO RM6 BILLIONS




KINDEST REGARDS


Calvin Tan


Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager or Real Estate Valuer



Sime, Darby and Co. Limited[edit]

In October 1910, British businessmen William Sime and Henry Darby established Sime, Darby and Co., a fledgling player in the lucrative rubber industry. The company later diversified to cultivating palm oil and cocoa and met with enormous success. At the time of the company's founding, William Middleton Sime was a 37-year-old Scottish adventurer and fortune seeker. He had two failed ventures behind him – one in import-export business and the other in coffee plantations – when he left his job as a mercantile assistant in Singapore. Henry Darby was a wealthy 50-year-old English banker who owned property in Northern Malaya.[2]













































More articles on THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Discussions
1 person likes this. Showing 26 of 26 comments

calvintaneng

WHILE BPLANT GOT 100 YEAR HISTORY

SIMEDARBY PLANT GOT 200 YEAR HISTORY

https://simedarbyplantation.com/

2023-07-26 02:05

calvintaneng

WHILE BPLANT GOT 100 YEAR HISTORY

SIMEDARBY PLANT GOT 200 YEAR HISTORY

https://simedarbyplantation.com/

2023-07-26 02:05

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

Once again, it is so typical of calvintaneng to build castles in the sky. This article serves little guide to the serious investors. It is better to have a bottom up approach than a top down approach to one's investing.

2023-07-26 07:25

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

Building castles in the sky.

An architect owns a piece of land. He planned a high rise hotel complex on that building. The plan was widely shared. GDV was impressive. Yes, imagine the profits too! What happened. The project never materialised. The location was wrong. The timing was not right. The development never took off. The land was eventually sold due to financial insolvency. The new owner rented it out to a workshop and has done so the last 20 years.

A listed company owned a prime piece of land in a major town. It proposed a high rise project in the 1990s. GDV in millions. But the market was not able to support this project. Luckily, this was not developed. If they had done so, they would have ended up losing the land and got into deep debt too. Eventually, the land was developed into 3 rows of 4 storey shops. The buyers are all sitting on properties with very poor returns for many years now. Many of the shops remain untenanted for the last decade and half.

Oil palm estates. You either look for income or capital appreciation. It is along haul business. For example, an estate of 10 acres bought for RM500 per acre in 1960s, rose to RM 150,000 in the 1990s, then to RM 1.7 million an acre today. Do you have the patience to hold for this length of time? Those tempted by the capital appreciation and who sold much earlier; are they able to redeploy their capital to get higher gains than if they continued to hold. Of course, many sold because they were not happy with the meagre return relative to the value of their expensive estate.

2023-07-26 07:49

calvintaneng

Listen here all dear i3 forumers with own independent discerning minds

Why this person put so much doubts in Tsh's Tread when it was around the bottom at 90 to 95 sen when Insiders/Directors have bought by the millions at prices ranging from Rm1.10 (Director Lim Fook Hin), Rm1.64 ( Director Tan Aik Yong) and Director Kelvin Tan bought 340 million Tsh shares on margin loan if there see no value and future in Tsh

Only naysayers blind to the future and value CANNOT SEE OR MINDS BECLOUDED BY PREJUDICE AND PRE-JUDGED WITH WRONG OPINIONATED IDEAS?

NO WONDER TSH BOD HAS CHOSEN TO DO A DUAL SECONDARY LISTING IN SINGAPORE

NOW WE HAVE JUST PRESENTED ALL FACTS AND FIGURES

DO CONSIDER ALL THE PRESENTED DETAILS AND DECIDE FOR YOURSELVES

WIN OR LOSE EACH MUST ULTIMATELY DECIDE FOR HIMSELF/HERSELF

Regards,

Calvin

2023-07-26 10:37

calvintaneng

Results COUNT

1. TMAKMUR

BUY CALL WAS RM1.38

PAHANG ROYALTY TOOK IT PRIVATE AT RM1.90 FOR KOTASAS TOWNSHIP

2023-07-26 10:39

calvintaneng

Results are real and concrete. Talk no use

Kulim was Rm2.50

Jcorp took Kulim private at Rm4.10 ,(up 60%)

for Two New Townships in Pengerang

2023-07-26 10:40

calvintaneng

Ijmplant was Rm1.86

Klk took it private at Rm3.10

These are facts and real

Sime Darby plant bought those Kapar lands for Rm4.7 Millions and sold for Rm618 millions also REAL AND NO FICTION

2023-07-26 10:44

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

Still does not understand the power of long term investing. Quoting these companies that were taken private, did he benefit from these?

Long term compounding gives you returns in the multibaggers league.

2023-07-26 10:45

calvintaneng

to insinuate and posts totally wrong otherwise please give facts and truth

This fella can only criticize from day one in forum and did nothing positive by not even recommending one stock in i3 forum

a coward at heart by talk and talk as if he is so smart

Talk no use

PLEASE SHOW SOME CONCRETE RESULTS

2023-07-26 10:47

calvintaneng

Ok just post here 3 stocks if you dare with long term multi baggars

post now and not talk about Dinosaur type of stocks like Dlady ( now Holland grandma) of long ago which is irrelevant to all now

2023-07-26 10:49

sense maker

3i has swallowed bitter pills of Dlady, for not selling at RM60. But he dressed his mistake up by measuring instead a 12-year positive return from Dlady, for his own comfort, as part of his long term investment strategy.

2023-07-26 11:19

calvintaneng

Hi there Sense Maker

what you post always make sense

Your earlier warning on Serba was spot on !

2023-07-26 12:31

calvintaneng

i3 forum will be a far better investment blog if Sense Maker will come out and post more up to date relevant comments which will be the betterment of investment fraternity of i3 forum

please keep it up

and thank you 😄

2023-07-26 12:35

Thomas Chan Yeu Wai

Can share any specific reason why DLady dropped from RM60 to RM20? Also want to learn here...

2023-07-26 14:44

calvintaneng

Thomas

the answers are many

Dlady started in a time when there were no serious competing rivals

But that was until others entered the fray

Today we have Fern Milk from New Zealand

and 100% pure imports

Dlady only outsourced it's milk supply to 3rd parties

Plus others like Ensure milk took Seniors market share and Anlene milk made popular by Datuk Michelle Yeoh

Also there is McNolia Chocolate milk plus Marigold Full cream milk

Unlike Nestle which got Milo and captured 95% of beverage market there is no brand loyalty for Dlady

moreover, outsourcing now incurs higher cost but Dlady cannot raise price as competition is fierce

As such Dlady facing tough times

it's earnings shrunk and payables increased and dividend cut to barest minimum and that also by borrowing money to pay dividend

Dlady went up from Rm4 to Rm72 after changing name from Dutch Baby to Dutch Lady

now is down time and name change from Dutch Lady to Holland grandmother

Can fall below Rm10 again

2023-07-26 15:46

Integrity. Intelligent. Industrious. 3iii (iiinvestsmart)$€£¥

Strange. calvintaneng has answers to every question. :-) Yet, he was so arrogant in Netx.

2023-07-26 18:30

calvintaneng

Hahaha

Calvin has been here for almost 10 long years now and there are so many good buy calls when Netx is one of those few non performing ones

Even so Netx is still listed unlike Serba which is now suspended

This harping with warped mind every one can see

Every reasonable people see the whole picture

2023-07-26 19:43

calvintaneng

TSH RESOURCES HAS BEEN A RESPONSIBLE PALM OIL CO

SABAH GOVT ENTRUSTED INNOPLANT TO TSH

AND INNO IS SABAH GOVT MOST SUCCESSFUL GLC

WHAT TSH BOD DID FOR INNO THEY WILL REPEAT THE SAME SUCCESSFUL STORY IN TSH

NOW IS TSH TIME

BUT SEE INNO FOR INSPIRATION

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDMUaI8-ILI

2023-07-27 00:32

calvintaneng

Best kept secret on Earth

TSH RESOURCES OWNS 94,700 ACRES OF LANDS IN NUSANTARA (NEW CAPITAL OF INDONESIA LIKE PUTRAJAYA)

94700 acres is 52% of SINGAPORE LANDMASS OF 180,000 acres

See

https://klse.i3investor.com/web/blog/detail/www.eaglevisioninvest.com/2022-07-28-story-h1627001607-TSH_RESOURCES_9059_KEEP_THESE_FIGURES_IN_MIND_IF_YOU_OWN_TSH_SHARES_PRI

2023-07-27 00:45

Augustine

Any comment on Genting plantation? Will it raise back to Rm10 again...?

2023-07-27 10:36

calvintaneng

Augustine

should also do ok as Cpo now up

however, gentling plant palm oil acreage not too big

go for those with Palm oil lands over 200,000 acres best like Thplant (240,000 acres) Bplant (220,000 acres) Jtiasa (206,000 acres)

2023-07-27 20:59

TimiraosL

Plantation wind blows stronger now due to El Nino phenomenon

2023-07-27 21:14

calvintaneng

Yes, weather havoc caused India to ban rice export.

Indonesia facing high crude oil price import mandated B30 to increase to B40 and eventually B100

Long term structural depletion of Cpo as B100 will take up more than 70% of all Cpo produced in Indonesia

That means Cpo prices will go up much higher in future

2023-07-27 22:50

Augustine

Thanks, calvintaneng. Need to do more homework on that

2023-07-28 14:29

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