Dear Fellow Investors of i3 Forum,
This evening we are happy to bring you 7 Reasons why Investing in Palm OIl Co shares will be profitable over a long horizon
Here you go
1) Phase One - Palm Oil Planting Involves Very High Capital Outlay
Yes, A new Palm oil entity must first buy lands. Thousands, tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of acres of lands
And these are expensive. And getting even more expensive over time
That is why Most Palm oil Cos MUST BORROW From Banks
As such Palm Oil Cos will see high Capital Repayment at least for the 1st 4 to 5 years before there is a harvest
2) Phase Two: The Waiting Time
After buying lands Palm oil Cos will need to clear the land and do infrar like building roads and drainage
And then Seedlings must be purchased for planting
Now it will take 4 years of waiting without any real income
3) Stage Three. Needing More Cash: Rights Issue given to ask for Monies
Not only that Most Costs will be incurred as well as we see only CASH Going Out (With little or no cash Coming in)
Then with Cash Depleted Palm oil Cos might Give Out Rights Issue to ask for more money from shareholders
4) Stage Four
Finally, at Year Four FFB (Fresh Fruit Bunches) Start to appear
But still hardly enough to cover cost of Overheads, Labour, Fertilizer & to pay Bank Loans
The Balance Sheet looks poor indeed as Expenses continue to overtake Income
Some might even Give Another Rights Issue again
Many people who read AR (Annual Reports) of Palm oil Cos will be turned away
5) Stage Five: Highly Productive Stage from year 6 to year 20 : SEE STRONG CASH INFLOW
And Bank Loans Melting Away Fast
From Billions of Debt
To only Few Hundred Millions
Then to ZERO DEBT
And FINALLY!
FLOWING IN CASH!
YES!
PALM OIL IS A CASH CROP!
EVERY TWO WEEKS LORRIES MOVE INTO PALM OIL ESTATES TO COLLECT RIPENED FRUITS
And These Will Be Processed Quickly into CRUDE PALM OIL
At this stage it is called "CRUDE" but after sent to "REFINERIES" they are converted to Cooking Oil, Oil Fats, Soaps, Margerine, Toothpaste, Milk Substitutes like Creamer & thousands of other products
MORE DOWNSTREAM MEANS MORE VALUE ADD & HIGHER PROFITS
AT STAGE FOUR & STAGE FIVE SAVVY INVESTORS & SMART FUNDS MOVE IN TO TAKE HUGE POSITIONS
Examples: Dr. Neoh Soon Kean, Cold Eye aka Fong Siling, Dr. Tan Chong Koay (Pheim Fund) & EAST SPRING FUND
Teachers' Retirement Funds from USA, DBS Bank Singapore, Public Bank Malaysia
6) STAGE SIX: PALM OIL COS TURNING INTO DIVIDEND CASH COWS
Lots & lots of Dividends being Dished Out
Mr. Market Chased up the shares from Penny Stock to Blue Chip status
Eg. KL Kepong, Batu Kawan, United Plantation (But No Longer Cheap At This Stage)
We see Fong Siling took position in Innoprise Plant at Stage Five. Both Dr Neoh Soon Kean of Dynaquest & Fong Siling Took position in Jaya Tiasa at Stage Five
At Stage Six Prices Moved Up STRONGLY AS RETAIL PLAYERS & FUNDS MOVED IN (AT EUPHORIA PRICES ALREADY UP
Like Innoprise Plant Up from 50 sen to Rm1.99 (too late to chase now)
We now SEE JAYA TIASA AT STAGE FOUR GOING INTO STAGE FIVE
Still Got Time to Buy Jaya Tiasa Below 90 sen
By the Time Jaya Tiasa reaches Stage 6 it will be too late to get it cheap like now as Jaya Tiasa expected to cross Rm1.00 to Rm1.20 & then higher and higher if they give more and more dividends
For TSH it is now moving strongly from Stage Three to Stage Four and there Offers the "BEST PRICES & BARGAINS"
7. Stage Seven: When Time is Ripe: A Listed Palm Oil Co dripping with Value Will be Targets for Privatisation
Two Things Attract A "TAKEOVER"
A) HIGH FFB Production time like Ijm Plant Being Taken Over by KL Kepong
B) HIGH LAND ASSETS as in BPlant(Assets Appreciate over Time)
Ijm Plant was Rm1.86 & KLK Offerred Rm3.10 to take all
Bplant was only 57 sen in year 2021 & Now KLK again offers Rm1.55 to take over
THE CROWNING SUCCESS IS BEING OFFERED AT A HIGH PRICE AT ITS FINALITY!
With Kind Regards
Calvin Tan
Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager
Stop Press
And See THESE RIGHTS ISSUES & DIVIDEND BEING PAID OUT BY INNOPRISE PLANT
21-Aug-2023 | 11-Sep-2023 | DIVIDEND | Second Interim Dividend | RM 0.0225 | |
25-May-2023 | 15-Jun-2023 | DIVIDEND | First Interim Dividend | RM 0.0200 | |
21-Feb-2023 | 09-Mar-2023 | DIVIDEND | Fourth Interim Dividend | RM 0.0250 | |
22-Nov-2022 | 12-Dec-2022 | DIVIDEND | Third Interim Dividend | RM 0.0300 | |
24-Aug-2022 | 14-Sep-2022 | DIVIDEND | Second Interim Dividend | RM 0.0700 | |
23-May-2022 | 09-Jun-2022 | DIVIDEND | First Interim Dividend | RM 0.0600 | |
25-Feb-2022 | 17-Mar-2022 | DIVIDEND | Fourth Interim Dividend | RM 0.0600 | |
25-Nov-2021 | 14-Dec-2021 | DIVIDEND | Third Interim Dividend | RM 0.0600 | |
26-Aug-2021 | 14-Sep-2021 | DIVIDEND | Special Dividend | RM 0.0400 | |
26-Aug-2021 | 14-Sep-2021 | DIVIDEND | Second Interim Dividend | RM 0.0400 | |
09-Jun-2021 | 30-Jun-2021 | DIVIDEND | First Interim Dividend | RM 0.0200 | |
22-Feb-2021 | 10-Mar-2021 | DIVIDEND | Second Interim Dividend | RM 0.0400 | |
17-Aug-2020 | 07-Oct-2020 | DIVIDEND | Interim Dividend | RM 0.0250 | |
16-Jul-2020 | 18-Aug-2020 | DIVIDEND | Final Dividend | RM 0.0200 | |
29-Apr-2019 | 25-Jul-2019 | DIVIDEND | Final Dividend | RM 0.01 | |
20-Apr-2018 | 23-May-2018 | DIVIDEND | Final Dividend | RM 0.03 | |
13-Sep-2017 | 02-Oct-2017 | DIVIDEND | Interim Dividend | RM 0.02 | |
25-Apr-2017 | 23-May-2017 | DIVIDEND | First and Final Dividend | RM 0.02 | |
14-Jan-2016 | 29-Jan-2016 | RIGHTS_ISSUE | Rights Issue | 1 : 4 | |
14-Jan-2016 | 27-Jan-2016 | STOCK_SPLIT | Subdivision | 2 : 1 | |
31-Mar-2010 | 12-Apr-2010 | RIGHTS_ISSUE | Rights Issue | 3 : 1 | |
31-Mar-2010 | 12-Apr-2010 | CONSOLIDATION | Others | 2 : 1 |
AS YOU CAN SEE ABOVE
IN YEAR 2010 INNO GAVE RIGHTS ISSUE TO ASK FOR MONIES
INNO WAS STARTED IN YEAR 2007 By DIRECTOR LIM FOOK HIN & TSH BOD OF TSH RESOURCES AT THE BEHEST OF SABAH GOVERNMENT
AGAIN IN YEAR 2016 (6 YEARS LATER) INNO AGAIN ISSUED NORE RIGHTS ISSUE
THOSE INITIAL YEARS SAW INNO SHARE PRICE FELL BELOW 50 SEN
By August 2020 Inno started with an increase of dividend to 4.5 sen (2 sen & 2.5 sen)
And Fong Siling bought an initial portion about 2 million Inno Shares
As INNO Increased Its Dividends More & More Fong Siling Kept On adding till he has 5 Million INNO Shares Now
See
List of Top 30 Securities Account Holders
No. Name No. of shares held %
1. Innoprise Corporation Sdn. Bhd. 240,469,407 50.22
2. TSH Resources Berhad 105,060,592 21.94
3. UOB Kay Hian Nominees (Asing) Sdn. Bhd.
Exempt AN for UOB Kay Hian Pte Ltd (A/C Clients) 21,569,950 4.50
4. Alliance Group Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn. Bhd.
Pledged Securities Account for Mutual Corridor Sdn. Bhd. (7005036) 8,500,000 1.78
5. RHB Capital Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn. Bhd.
Pledged Securities Account for Fong Siling (CEB) 5,000,000 1.04
At Number 5 is Cold Eye with 5 Million Inno shares
Now see Jaya Tiasa
158 JAYA TIASA HOLDINGS BERHAD [Registration No. 196001000095 (3751-V)]
ANALYSIS OF SHAREHOLDINGS
As at 30 September 2022
Top 30 Securities Account Holders (Cont’d)
No. Name No. of Shares %
17 RHB Capital Nominees (Tempatan) Sdn Bhd
Pledged Securities Account For Fong Siling (CEB) 5,000,000 0.52
18 Citigroup Nominees (Asing) Sdn Bhd
CBNY For Emerging Market Core Equity Portfolio DFA Investment Dimensions
Group INC 4,765,438 0.49
At Top 17 is Cold Eye with 5 Million Jaya Tiasa Shares
Jaya Tiasa used to have over Rm1.4 Billions Borrowings
Now only a mere Rm93 Millions debt
Closely Following
19 Ooi Chin Hock 4,190,115 0.43
20 HSBC Nominees (Asing) Sdn Bhd
JPMCB NA For Teachers’ Retirement System Of The City Of New York 3,759,200 0.39
ACORDING TO DIRECTOR LIM FOOK HIN (HE USED TO OWN INNO SHARES BUT SWITCHED ALL TO TSH)
PALM OIL COS AFTER SETTLING ALL DEBTS & TREES MATURE THEY WILL BE CASH COW FOR MANY MANY YEARS TO COME
THAT IS WHY FONG SILING & DR. NEOH AS WELL AS TEACHERS' RETIREMENT FUNDS OF USA LIKE PALM OIL SHARES
Kind Regards
Calvin
Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence
Created by calvintaneng | Aug 30, 2024
Created by calvintaneng | Aug 30, 2024
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Created by calvintaneng | Aug 22, 2024
I think jtiasa can outperform agst nestle & dlady over the next 2 yrs loh!
2023-09-27 10:54
Good day to you, Calvin,
"JAYA TIASA Used to Have Rm1.4 Billions borrowings Now debt pared down to only Rm93 Millions"
As of my record, Jtiasa highest borrowing in the past 10 years was in the year 2017 (1.07Bil), and in the latest Q4 quarterly report, the borrowing is at RM348 mil (short-term + long-term borrowings).
May I know where the RM93 mil debts are derived from? Or we are not referring to the same thing?
Thanks in advance!
2023-09-29 11:14
Darecom
Happy to see your posting and asking intelligent questions
Will be happy in replying soonest😊
2023-09-29 11:46
Ok darecom at the moment I not at a computer and using handphone to check and post answers to the best I can for now
Refer to Feb 2017 qtr balance sheet of Jtiasa
it has
current loans Rm475 mil
Payables Rm158 mil
non current loan Rm679 mil
Tax liabilities Rm132 mil
total = Rm1.44 Billions
2023-09-29 12:11
for current qtr of Aug 2023
Rm56.767 mil current loan
Rm292 167 non current loan
= Rm348.934
less cash Rm232.384
other current assets Rm13.070 mil
investment securities Rm9.730
total RmRm255.184Rm93.75 mil
hope you can understand
loans less cash
=
total debt is
2023-09-29 12:22
On Feb 17 2017 Jtiasa with highest debt was Rm1.38
Now Jtiasa total debt only Rm93.75 mil and price only 88 sen is so cheap
2023-09-29 12:44
Hi Calvin,
Thanks so much for your swift response!! Got it. The RM93.75 mil that you posted is essentially the loans less cash and cash equivalent alike. Crystal clear.
Besides, I have a little concern about Jtiasa weighted average palm age (95% of the trees) which is about 14 ~ 15 years+-, I understand that this is the best time for the company to harvest more FFB while the CPO price is so much higher compared to the year of 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019 & 2020. But at the same time, replanting will be something to be considered in the near future (in next 5 - 6 yrs perhaps, when the CPO price is low) IF the company wanna keep the business rolling for the longest time, that's what United Plantation is doing. What would be the costs to gradually replant such a huge piece of land (cost/ acres)?, what would be the damage to the FCF hence the dividend to be paid to us in the future..
Thanks
2023-09-29 13:06
Agree and understand these are all projections, no worries.
Talking about turning more CPO into Biofuel.. The Indonesian government has set an ambitious goal to raise the market share of electric vehicles in Indonesia to 25% of total vehicle sales in 2030. That's a lot of effort putting in place to reduce the import of fossil fuels into the country
2023-09-29 14:22
@calvintaneng I did some comparison among JAYATIASA, TSH and UTDPLANT.
the FFB yield per matured planted areas(MT/HA) is much higher in TSH and UTDPLANT
JAYATIASA ~ 16 (prepandemic)
TSH ~ 23.5
UTDPLANT ~ 26.5
do you know the reason behind? was wondering if due to species or planting density? All of their trees are in prime age if not mistaken .
thus would it be more accurate to compare them based on FFB produced instead of land?
2023-10-03 16:51
JTIASA trees are young
TSH trees got high quality yield by Research
Uplant has dedicated train track for harvesting FFB is Superior
2023-10-04 01:16
Fong Siling aka Cold Eye started with 2 million Jtiasa shares
Then he topped up to 5 million Jtiasa shares
Now he has 10 million Jtiasa shares
2024-01-21 00:03
JTiasa affected by Genine Chain Hong Kong Selling, probably cos affected by China s economy . Past qtr results affected by low production. Coming Qtr results in August should be better. The Call Warrant CT at 1 to 1, and Ex Price of RM 1.30, expiring on Jan 2024 can be considered as it is at a very low price. Most buyers bought at a price close to 30 cents. !!
2 months ago
calvintaneng
Post removed.Why?
2023-09-26 22:14