probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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News & Blogs

2021-05-13 16:23 | Report Abuse

China expected its Sinopharm vaccines to be the lynchpin of the country’s vaccine diplomacy programme – an easily transported dose that would protect not just Chinese citizens but also much of the developing world. In a bid to win goodwill, China has donated 13.3 million Sinopharm doses to other countries, according to Bridge Beijing, a consultancy that tracks China’s impact on global health.

Instead, the company, which has made two varieties of coronavirus vaccines, is facing mounting questions about the inoculations. First, there was the lack of transparency with its late-stage trial data. Now, Seychelles, the world’s most vaccinated nation, has had a surge in cases despite much of its population being inoculated with Sinopharm.

For the 56 countries counting on the Sinopharm shot to help them halt the pandemic, the news is a setback. For months, public health experts had focused on trying to close the access gap between rich and poorer nations. Now, scientists are warning that developing nations that choose to use the Chinese vaccines, with their relatively weaker efficacy rates, could end up lagging behind countries that choose vaccines made by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna. That gap could allow the pandemic to continue in countries that have fewer resources to fight it.

Economic benefit
...............

“You really need to use high-efficacy vaccines to get that economic benefit because otherwise they’re going to be living with the disease long-term,” said Raina MacIntyre, who heads the biosecurity programme at the Kirby Institute of the University of New South Wales in Sydney. “The choice of vaccine matters.”

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 14:22 | Report Abuse

yes Pfizer i have a lot of confidence from Israel results...we can clearly see cases and death has gone down tremendously

bear in mind they have no restriction there now...and crowded as hell with all the religous gatherings

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 14:13 | Report Abuse

Vietnam with 98m people can do it....

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 14:12 | Report Abuse

if a country of more than a billion population can do it...its a shame for 30 million country with such a developed condition, lesser density..admit they cant

truly a shame

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 14:10 | Report Abuse

u can choose to be like China and prosper at the weakness of others..

like a drunkman addicted to booze

Posted by stockraider > May 13, 2021 2:08 PM | Report Abuse

U cannot end covid...we must live with it mah!

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 14:08 | Report Abuse

sorry little boy and fat man

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 14:06 | Report Abuse

u need a nuclear bomb like big brother in hiroshima to end it

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 14:02 | Report Abuse

we clearly would like to live with the virus with the compromised life like scavengers all for the sake of short term economic damage we want to prevent...

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 13:59 | Report Abuse

further the vaccination with the low efficacy vaccines used and current speed of implementation... you will see such cases even till next raya

and by then, a new variant would have emerge that escapes the vaccine

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 13:52 | Report Abuse

we have failed when we had allowed the ICU reach 100% level

so the SOP implemented is definitely insufficient

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 13:39 | Report Abuse

i said mandatory vaccination of all 100% and followed by strict SOP to even prevent any potential mutation from remnant cases, till it goes to very low level < 100

once it hits that level, with 100% vaccination its very difficult to climb back after removal of restrictions completely

read carefully

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 13:23 | Report Abuse

yes raider, what i am afraid is that some countries which are fully vaccinated..are still having rising cases like seychelles as the covid cases became too rampant inducing mutations which can still survive

we need multiple weapons in one go
economic damage can be significant but its still lesser than the cumulative effects of such slow control...

vaccination, unless it is done with Pfizer with 95% efficacy, even with full vaccination...this thing is not going to end

check syechelles

Posted by stockraider > May 13, 2021 1:19 PM | Report Abuse

Too late to use China method of totally lockdown loh...too much economic damage mah!

The key is still mass vaccination until it reaches full herd immunity level mah!

News & Blogs

2021-05-13 13:18 | Report Abuse

why cant we all learn from china, vietnam?

Step 1 - practise strict SOP as above countries done (it only takes a few months of intense discipline)

Step 2 - have absolute strict controls at the borders, long quarantine requirement with repeated covid test before entry

Step 3- make the vaccination mandatory

Step 4 - use the best vaccine with highest efficacy (as it has significant effect on herd immunity, do not compromise with low efficacy)

...

we seem to want to reduce...but not eliminate...we seem to do chemotherapy half way and allow the cancer to keep recurring...

we are not in love & hate relationship with this virus..

its either your eliminate and live a normal life...or you dont live...its not worth to live like this for the sake of economy

do not treat yourself like modern slaves...like those chickens in chicken coops...only exist for economic reason

we have only one life...quality is more important than quantity

Stock

2021-05-13 11:32 | Report Abuse

recent acquisition wont have effect on P&L, but the below took place in Q1 and the senai deals might


https://www.bursamalaysia.com/market_information/announcements/company_announcement/announcement_details?ann_id=3125403

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2021-05-12 23:12 | Report Abuse

means we can at the least expect about 500m in Q1 from Engineering

for Port & logistics its 'confirmed' revenue is more than 900m


Posted by pingdan > May 10, 2021 10:31 AM | Report Abuse

984mil JV revenue to be recognised by 1 May 2021...

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2021-05-11 14:14 | Report Abuse

Baltic index gains on higher rates across vessels

in Dry Bulk Market,International Shipping News 11/05/2021

https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com/baltic-index-gains-on-higher-rates-across-vessels/

The Baltic exchange’s main sea freight index rose on Monday, buoyed by an uptick in rates for all vessel segments.

The Baltic dry index .BADI , which tracks rates for capesize, panamax and supramax vessels ferrying dry bulk commodities, rose by 57 points, or nearly 1.8%, to 3,240.

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2021-05-11 10:48 | Report Abuse

MMC one of few stocks which wont be affected by MCO or local covid cases as its port business is mainly transhipment

This is defensive stock

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2021-05-07 16:54 | Report Abuse

after so much of articles...elephant managed to move up 1 cent! LOL...

better than nothing

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2021-05-07 13:57 | Report Abuse

March’s Suez Canal blockage “will be nothing compared to the [supply chain] disruption coming from being unable to change crews”, said Mark O’Neil, president of InterManager, which represents the crew management industry.

Last summer, about 400,000 seafarers were stranded at sea beyond their contract length because of the pandemic. While that number has fallen, fears are growing due to the global surge in coronavirus cases since March.

“If the travel restrictions continue as they are, we could once again be in a similar situation to the global crew change crisis that we saw in 2020,” said Niels Bruus, head of marine human resources at Maersk, the world’s largest container shipping company.

..........

China will be forced to replace shortage from India, all ports enroute from China to Europe will be super congested....

Stock

2021-05-07 13:55 | Report Abuse

India’s Covid surge rocks global shipping industry

https://www.ft.com/content/cf40d764-6ab6-4638-bea6-594cc3cd5d53

Ports around world turn away vessels as crew from south Asian country contract disease

Ports including Singapore, pictured, have barred ships from changing crew members who have recently travelled from India

India’s huge wave of Covid-19 infections has hit the international shipping industry, which relies on the country for seafarers, as crews come down with the disease and ports deny entry to vessels.

Ports including Singapore and Fujairah in the United Arab Emirates have barred ships from changing crew members who have recently travelled from India, notices from maritime authorities show. Zhoushan in China has banned the entry of ships or crew that have visited India or Bangladesh in the past three months, according to Wilhelmsen Ship Management, a crew provider.

Industry executives also said that crews coming from India were testing positive for Covid-19 on ships, despite quarantining and testing negative before boarding.

“Earlier we had ships that were infected with one or two people,” said Rajesh Unni, chief executive of Singapore-based Synergy Marine Group, which provides ship crew. “Today, we have a scenario where whole ships are being infected very quickly . . . which means the ships themselves are immobilised.”

India on Thursday reported more than 410,000 Covid-19 infections and almost 4,000 deaths over the previous day. A surge in cases has broken global records and overwhelmed health systems.

India’s wake up call to the world

South Africa’s port authority said a vessel that arrived in Durban from India this week was quarantined after 14 Filipino crew tested positive for Covid-19. The ship’s chief engineer died of a heart attack.

Along with the Philippines and China, India is one of the world’s largest sources of sea crew. About 240,000 of an estimated 1.6m seafarers globally are from the country, according to International Chamber of Shipping, an industry body

Singapore, a big shipping hub, has widened its ban to cover crew from countries including Pakistan and Bangladesh.

Executives warned the restrictions could send shockwaves through the stretched shipping industry, which transports 80 per cent of global trade, according to UN data.


March’s Suez Canal blockage “will be nothing compared to the [supply chain] disruption coming from being unable to change crews”, said Mark O’Neil, president of InterManager, which represents the crew management industry.

Last summer, about 400,000 seafarers were stranded at sea beyond their contract length because of the pandemic. While that number has fallen, fears are growing due to the global surge in coronavirus cases since March.

“If the travel restrictions continue as they are, we could once again be in a similar situation to the global crew change crisis that we saw in 2020,” said Niels Bruus, head of marine human resources at Maersk, the world’s largest container shipping company.

“The situation has gone from bad to worse when it comes to crew changes. And that’s an understatement,” said Carl Schou, chief executive of Wilhelmsen, which sources 15 per cent of its approximately 10,000 workers from India. 

The Norwegian-owned company stopped crew changes in India from April 24 until at least the end of May. Schou added that Covid-19 test results for Indian sailors were not coming through in time for their scheduled departures since “the whole health system has basically collapsed in India”.

Bernhard Schulte Shipmanagement, a German crew management group, said it was temporarily drafting in seafarers from other nations to replace Indians disembarking or scheduled to board ships.

Shipping executives said that seafarers needed to be prioritised in the global vaccination rollout as countries introduce inoculation requirements to enter. But they have been frustrated by the slow pace of efforts to secure jabs through the International Maritime Organization, the UN body responsible for shipping.

“We’re simply tearing our hair out with the bureaucracy and political ping-pong going over this issue of vaccinations,” said O’Neil.

Stock

2021-05-07 00:28 | Report Abuse

u misunderstood...no one saying as a red flag, but as a positive factor

Posted by joyvest > May 7, 2021 12:09 AM | Report Abuse

What's the wrong with high trade receivables? As long as they are collectable and are not impaired, there is no cause of concern.. today its just a correction following dividend.it will be resumed as usual tomorrow or so.....no big deal

Stock

2021-05-06 23:58 | Report Abuse

cash flow, not profit

Posted by AdCool > May 6, 2021 11:38 PM | Report Abuse

nobody noticed how high is the trade receivables minus the trade payables. This is the hidden amount which yet to be reflected in the net profit.

Stock

2021-05-06 21:54 | Report Abuse

Cosco Shipping Ports Q1 profit soars 140pc to US$73 million

MAINLAND China's international port operator Cosco Shipping Ports announced that net profits in the first quarter of the year surged 140

https://www.seanews.com.tr/cosco-shipping-ports-q1-profit-soars-140pc-to-us-73-million/189665/

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2021-05-06 21:22 | Report Abuse

shared 16April BIMB report via Messenger to you
i dont have report after the results

Posted by Dakewlest > May 6, 2021 8:49 PM | Report Abuse

Anyone can share the report from BIMB? I searched but could not find it.

Stock

2021-05-05 21:52 | Report Abuse

COPENHAGEN, May 5 — Danish shipping giant AP Moller-Maersk said today that it booked record earnings in the first quarter on the back of surging demand during the coronavirus pandemic.


For the first three months of the year, the world’s biggest freight company posted net profit of US$2.7 billion (€2.3 billion).

That is almost as much as the group made in the full-year 2020 and a 13-fold increase over the figure for the first quarter of 2020, Maersk said in a statement.

Sales, which were already announced at the end of April when the group raised its 2021 full-year targets, rose by 30 per cent to US$12.4 billion.

“Strong demand led to bottlenecks, as well as lack of capacity and equipment, which drove up freight rates to record high levels,” said chief executive Soren Skou.

Maersk said it would launch a new US$5-billion share buy-back programme over the next two years.

As a result of the pandemic, demand for shipping has surged since mid-2020 and especially since the end of the year, in particular from Asia to the US and Europe.

Shipping companies and analysts attribute the rise to consumers purchasing more manufactured products, instead of spending their money on trips and restaurants and other experiences.

Additionally, many companies are still in the process of restocking after reducing their orders in the first months of the pandemic.

On some routes, primarily those from Asia, some container rates have been tripled or even quadrupled.

In March, the situation was aggravated further by the six-day blockage of the Suez canal, which caused major traffic jams for vessels and held up an estimated US$9.6 billion worth of cargo between Asia and Europe each day.

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2021-05-05 21:49 | Report Abuse

Why above news of MAERSK matters to PTP

https://theloadstar.com/surge-in-transhipment-traffic-pushes-port-of-tanjung-pelepas-to-a-new-record/

Malaysia’s port of Tanjung Pelepas (PTP) saw 8% growth in 2020, to a record-breaking 9.8m teu, making it an outlier among South-east Asia’s competing transhipment hubs.

The growth the port, which is operated by Maersk subsidiary APM Terminals as the carrier’s key transhipment hub in the region, came despite global economic uncertainties and the Covid-crisis .

PTP CEO Marco Neelsen explained the reasons: “A surge in extra transhipment volumes, due to the increased demand in Asia and Europe, and requests from customers to increase their throughput at PTP.”

He said the second-half of the year had seen the opening of more borders and the revival of the global trade economy for the China, transpacific and Europe regions.

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2021-05-05 21:46 | Report Abuse

Maersk books record profit on surging freight demand

Wednesday, 05 May 2021 04:07 PM MYT

https://www.malaymail.com/news/money/2021/05/05/maersk-books-record-profit-on-surging-freight-demand/1971867

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2021-05-01 11:12 | Report Abuse

All eyes are also on its planned RM18 billion Lotte Chemical Indonesia New Ethylene (LINE) project as it would propel LCT to become one of top three petrochemical companies in the region.

TITAN will be way much bigger than RAPID (slow coach), it will dictate the market pricing

When economy opens, polyethylene product demand will shoot up (for sure) while its raw material Naptha price rise will be capped by the increase in oil production in line with rise in oil demand in parallel.

The above is the secret market haven't realize

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2021-04-30 16:24 | Report Abuse

all GLC selldown today looks like

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2021-04-30 15:47 | Report Abuse

actually it should have limit up on wednesday....

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2021-04-30 10:22 | Report Abuse

westport green...mmc sleeping

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2021-04-28 23:45 | Report Abuse

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/lotte-chemical-titan-expects-outlook-improve-strong-polymer-product-asps

Hence, the company expects an improved overall outlook for the petrochemical industry as its key polymer products have seen surging prices, with market polymer ASPs up to US$1,100 (RM4,461.60) per metric ton in the fourth quarter of 2020 (4Q20) and expected to rise above US$1,200 per metric ton in the first two months of 2021.

This came after polymer ASPs hit a trough in 2Q20 during the height of the global Covid-19 pandemic, when the market’s polymer ASPs fell to around US$800 per metric ton.

Park noted that two of the company's key products, namely low-density polyethylene (LDPE) and polypropylene (PP), are currently fetching significantly higher ASPs of around US$1,550 per metric ton (as at end February 2021) — the highest since the industry experienced a downturn beginning 2018.

..............

current ASP avg of LDPE and HDPE (referring to sunsirs chart) is about CNY 10,050 which translates to USD 1,550

as such next qtr results should be even better than current

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2021-04-28 21:00 | Report Abuse

Operating profit/(loss) before working capital changes: 633,045

which company can provide u this much cash per qtr

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2021-04-28 20:56 | Report Abuse

even if its eps is 10 cents...its pretty impressive as oil price can only go lower compared to last qtr - further widening the margin spread between product and raw mat

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2021-04-19 19:58 | Report Abuse

Austria will only use Sputnik V vaccine after EMA approval, Kurz says

https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-austria-sputnik-idUSL1N2MC0N6

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2021-04-19 14:20 | Report Abuse

Gas tariff risen, PTP Port tariff risen with further upward pressure from PSA tariff rise by 6% end of the year, Strengthening its Northport with BCC acquisition, Port having high utilization rate due to transhipments and TEUs demand to rise 9% annually organically, Senai land slowly reflecting its value.....

Boost from MRT3 project directly (via MMC gamuda) and indirectly by giving all of its ports strategic advantage...

Inflation from excess money in the market....

MMC CORP appears a no brainer...just give it time

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2021-04-19 13:56 | Report Abuse

So Aminvest upgrade TP from 1.51 to 1.68 then... good!

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2021-04-19 11:40 | Report Abuse

30k viewers x each 200k capital = 6 billion money coming in...

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2021-04-19 11:36 | Report Abuse

thanks sifu

Posted by fengpinglangjin > Apr 19, 2021 11:28 AM | Report Abuse

https://www.facebook.com/100386988151214/posts/309199870603257/

Investor briefing 8pm tusday.
Dun miss..

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2021-04-19 10:48 | Report Abuse

russia now friends with every country in the world...

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2021-04-19 10:45 | Report Abuse

Europe and american had prejudice on russian vaccine earlier...its proving to be one of the best and cheapest vaccine available

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2021-04-17 15:32 | Report Abuse

Sputnik V's approval came as India overtook Brazil to become the country with the second-highest number of cases globally.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-55748124