Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.
Followers
22
Following
2
Blog Posts
14
Threads
14,470
Blogs
Threads
Portfolio
Follower
Following
2019-04-12 09:48 | Report Abuse
we like to maximize gains with the capital we have..
Posted by Heavenly PUNTER > Apr 12, 2019 9:46 AM | Report Abuse
aiyo.... No need monitor so closely lahhhh unkers... just leave it and let it do it's job
2019-04-12 09:45 | Report Abuse
my advise has nothing to do with PIC explosion....you can take that out complete from your consideration....next 2 qtr earnings may be significantly bad....better to wait for the results end of next month
i sold at 9.10...break even with the dividend at 18 cents
2019-04-12 09:38 | Report Abuse
for small holders better to sell...buy Gkent if you want...reason is coming qtr results will likely be very bad for Pchem..it will take sometime to move up significantly
2019-04-11 21:11 | Report Abuse
Lol!I bet in just a few months..he will b ur good fren
2019-04-11 21:04 | Report Abuse
Icon you should organize 'the i3 billionaire's club' after retirement...so that one day all great sifus can meet up and chat their success stories...and expose their handsome faces...
but..will retirement ever happen in i3...:(
2019-04-11 18:01 | Report Abuse
and trying hard to get back...
Posted by Politically Speaking > Apr 11, 2019 6:00 PM | Report Abuse
Probability! We all came from black hole!
2019-04-11 17:57 | Report Abuse
oh fxxk 6.5 Billion suns??
.....the universe itself just began 14 billion years ago...
does it mean every 2 year it was swallowing 2 suns? difficult to make sense
...............
Their target was a nearby galaxy dubbed M87 and its supermassive black hole, which packs the mass of six and half billion suns.
2019-04-11 17:51 | Report Abuse
i really wish in this competition Calvintan & 3ii last position....that is my inner most objective on top of checking out the real sifus
2019-04-11 17:40 | Report Abuse
survived billions of years before homosapiens...
Posted by Icon8888 > Apr 11, 2019 5:36 PM | Report Abuse
qqq3 is like cockcroach
2019-04-11 17:29 | Report Abuse
never die attitude and constantly learning and refining his knowledge...
look at the improvement in his formula! Touch of genius
2019-04-11 17:28 | Report Abuse
qqq3 is the ultimate flexible person...he is as elastic as rubber and adaptive as water.....
2019-04-11 17:25 | Report Abuse
all of Jon's thesis (1000 pages long) had been summarized by a simple equation.....by qqq3
if this not called genius - what else is
2019-04-11 15:18 | Report Abuse
we choose those that has not moved ma..
2019-04-11 15:11 | Report Abuse
Calvintan - Muiprop
3ii - Petdag
2019-04-11 14:43 | Report Abuse
you can use the average price of this week as their starting price..
just an approximation would do
................................
let me select some stock for sifus i respect: (*based on their weightage and that has been laggard so far)
soojinhou - PetronM
updown - cypark
Intelligent investor - serbadinamik
Gohkimhock - Haio
OTB - Ancom
moneykj- dksh
KC - comfort
Yistock - Gtronic
Johnlu - GenM
TanKW - airasia
see if you can update these on the portfolio....optional..
2019-04-11 13:58 | Report Abuse
Punter, please create portfolio containing all these stock recommended by the sifus with long Frankfurters...
easier to compare how fast their sausage expands..and who is winning
2019-04-10 22:57 | Report Abuse
dragon...can up please leave this reban of sapura....looks like you got into a cock fight with spinninglotus...never ending...
2019-04-10 10:26 | Report Abuse
1.70 n 2.00 may break with very little volume...i am waiting for the day this happens
2019-04-10 00:46 | Report Abuse
paper ...krono still intact? can add?
2019-04-09 15:05 | Report Abuse
a lot of powerful sifu here...youngest is cili padi Punter!
2019-04-08 22:14 | Report Abuse
Dayang sudah Bunting hari ini...kiki
2019-04-08 22:04 | Report Abuse
fantastic! Frankfurters...love it!
2019-04-08 21:53 | Report Abuse
i3 policy maker very hamsap! see sausage...the mind think very naughty!
2019-04-08 21:47 | Report Abuse
true...i cant view the blog too...become blank!
if still the same after some time...create another one then.
Posted by Heavenly PUNTER > Apr 8, 2019 9:12 PM | Report Abuse
Hahhahaha unkers, ah very weird... Why I can't go into the blog ah? Can't read anything liao.. Maybe Sausage is against i3 Policy ah?
2019-04-08 20:58 | Report Abuse
sorry Philip, i was addressing to Heavenly punter...just teasing on paperplane's skills...
he recomended sendai since Koon disposed it recently (inevitably depressing the price).....its speculative punt
2019-04-08 20:29 | Report Abuse
walao...uncle very very observant on all commentators...
i am very scared to comment now
all i can say is thanks for making i3 such a fun-tastic place Mr.Koon!
2019-04-08 20:25 | Report Abuse
you see paperplane sendai ...very power also!
2019-04-08 18:54 | Report Abuse
the tune will get to your head...if you are aware that 'sifu' never gave a strong buy call the last 2 week on dayang....
wonder why?
should make sense now
Posted by tehka > Apr 8, 2019 6:53 PM | Report Abuse
On a balance of probability, probability's explanation sounds plausible.
2019-04-08 18:49 | Report Abuse
the most logical explanation for Koon's leaked 'special message' is this:
- Koon had actually been selling the shares last 2 weeks or more
- Koon is aware that his selling was the sole reason it dropped below 1.50
as such, he is fully aware that the current fundamentals, deserve a price way better than 1.50....
and he is willing to help his whatsapp 'friends' this way..
knowing also, one fellow will share it outside the group to further boost the price...
good luck guys - for prosperous 2019! in 9 months!!
...............
2019-04-08 18:48 | Report Abuse
the most logical explanation for Koon's message above is this:
- Koon had actually been selling the shares last 2 weeks or more
- Koon is aware that his selling was the sole reason it dropped below 1.50
as such, he is fully aware that the current fundamentals, deserve a price way better than 1.50....
and he is willing to help his whatsapp 'friends' this way..
knowing also, one fellow will share it outside the group to further boost the price...
good luck guys - for prosperous 2019! in 9 months!!
...............
2019-04-08 17:44 | Report Abuse
great to have you guys..
Posted by pjseow > Apr 8, 2019 5:38 PM | Report Abuse
Probability , you are welcomed . My input and analysis was bit and pieces although it contains most of the facts like schedule rates , lump sum ,cash flow , it is Davidtslim who put them together such that it is easier to comprehend when the facts were tabulated systematically.
2019-04-08 17:24 | Report Abuse
ha ha ...Icon8888 you always have my support...
so far the most rational cool guy in i3
willing to listen if its a logical argument from you
Posted by Icon8888 > Apr 8, 2019 5:22 PM | Report Abuse
Stockraider nowadays behaves like fortunebull
2019-04-08 17:16 | Report Abuse
pjseow, it is you who had been the contributing catalyst for the articles.
BIG THANKS to you.
Posted by pjseow > Apr 8, 2019 5:13 PM | Report Abuse
Special thanks to David's Analysis of Dayang . I think his analysis with facts and figures leaves very little doubts on his valuations of Dayang .
Even with huge discounts in terms of PE and Future Cash Flow , the valuations by both methods show Dayang worth of more than RM 2 . When Q1 result show our assumption is correct , Dayang will fly further . I hope more readers can critique his analysis and open up a constructive and lively debate on the assumptions .
2019-04-08 16:55 | Report Abuse
Hope you guys did...and enjoy the ride here too
2019-04-08 16:54 | Report Abuse
Did tell you all to partially transfer to Dayang...
2019-04-08 16:53 | Report Abuse
Thanks to David and uncle Koon....
facts always prevail
2019-04-08 12:09 | Report Abuse
if by end of friday all those big mouth sifus still dont give their picks...we will randomly select one of those they had been recommending recently (or from 2019 stock pick portfolio) and put up here...
let the verdict do the talking end of the year
2019-04-08 11:50 | Report Abuse
those who had made plenty here...distribute some on dayang...
reason is if oil price drop...hibi will drop...but not dayang..
lets be strategic
Posted by probability > Apr 6, 2019 4:04 PM | Report Abuse
i think oil price will easily shoot back to 76 or 80 USD/brl again...
the previous build up of oil from Saudi due to Iran sanction anticipation end of last year 2018 would have probably depleted to normal level...
Monday is time to whack hibiscus whole-heartedly....
Posted by probability > Apr 6, 2019 11:48 AM | Report Abuse
back to 1.20 - 1.30 next week
2019-04-07 21:07 | Report Abuse
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/hleresearch/199652.jsp
Orderbook. Current orderbook stands at RM2.9bn including Pan Malaysia Maintenance, Construction and Modification (PM-MCM) contracts from different PSCs. Apart of from existing contracts, Dayang is expected to receive additional lump sum work orders from clients. We understand there are also some variation orders (VOs) that have been carried out last year. All the VO costs have been recognised last year and its profits will be booked in 1HFY19, pending client approval.
..................
It could be extra costs which took place beyond the agreed schedule rate and subject to customer scrutiny before agreeing on the value.
Since it is executed without a prior agreed contract due to urgency or mishaps (procurement of material to facilitate the intended services), the revenue recognizable are subjective to customer agreement.
It may be accounting requirement that these extra costs are recognized as it is executed without a contract in hand.
It is very well possible for Dayang to execute this way knowing Petronas is their key long term customer based on trust.
2019-04-07 19:09 | Report Abuse
paperplane selected sendai
2019-04-07 19:07 | Report Abuse
Poll shows businesses prefer GST over SST
The Edge Financial Daily
April 03, 2019
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/poll-shows-businesses-prefer-gst-over-sst
KUALA LUMPUR: Slightly more than half of the respondents surveyed (54.6%) by the Associated Chinese Chambers of Commerce and Industry of Malaysia (ACCCIM) indicated that the goods and services tax (GST) is a more preferred tax system than the current sales and service tax (SST).
This is particularly for the manufacturing sector. About 74.5% of respondents from the manufacturing sector preferred GST over SST — as exports are zero-rated and the sector is eligible to claim input tax. Under SST, there is no complete relief for exports. Companies cannot claim input tax under SST, except for manufacturers who deal with exports.
With the exception of the manufacturing sector and trading companies, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in most other sectors rated SST as the preferred taxation system, as SST only imposes tax at a single level compared to GST where the tax was imposed at every level, from manufacturers to wholesalers, retailers and consumers.
Meanwhile, about 41.5% of the survey respondents said that the SST has adverse impact on their business, mostly in the manufacturing and construction sectors. This is despite SST exemption being granted to main building materials and construction services.
In contrast, 52% indicated that SST has no impact on their business. Among them are from wholesale and retail trade, professional, business services and real estate sectors.
On the impact of SST on input prices, the respondents said the input prices have increased by more than 10%. The majority of them were SMEs in the wholesale and retail trade sector and manufacturing sector.
About 64.5% of the respondents in the wholesale and retail trade sector indicated an increase in the input prices, this was followed by the manufacturing (64%) and the construction sector (61.2%). For those who incur higher input prices, 66.1% of them have increased their selling prices, according to the survey. About 53.5% of respondents in the wholesale and retail trade sector indicated that they have increased their selling prices. This also followed by the construction sector (41.5%) and the manufacturing sector (39.5%).
2019-04-07 17:33 | Report Abuse
Below guest of honours are highly welcomed:
- kc
- otb
- soojinhou
- Koon
- Tan KW
- IntelligentInvestor
- Yistock
....
remember you can only recommend one stock...the ultimate choice
2019-04-07 17:24 | Report Abuse
i am still learning...unfortunately at an age...where i seem to forget more than i accumulate...:(
i am waiting to reach full time capital requirement (advised by Icon8888) before i can recommend..
Posted by Heavenly PUNTER > Apr 7, 2019 5:19 PM | Report Abuse
Okay you want to join or not unker? hahaha
2019-04-07 17:19 | Report Abuse
overseas market seems to have advantage over bursa...so its no longer apple to apple...and we cant find much participant...
as a young energetic millenial, i suggest you create a blog to keep track of these sifus..
raider on his sape...
philip on gkent
qqq3 on jackass
etc...
this way we can find cream of the creams in i3...those with real balls
not like calvintan and 3iii
Posted by Heavenly PUNTER > Apr 7, 2019 5:14 PM | Report Abuse
probability let's create a blog... of all the stock picks of all the sifus! What are the rules? want to include overseas market or not? Wakakaka
Stock: [PCHEM]: PETRONAS CHEMICALS GROUP BHD
2019-04-12 10:38 | Report Abuse
me small capital Philip...with your positions i think you should hold
its easier to get a 10% return in say Gkent compared to Pchem..in a month...from what i could feel...
as there is no longer interesting market changes to move Pchem up by itself..
of course i could be wrong
Posted by ( BNF trader losses ) Philip > Apr 12, 2019 10:30 AM | Report Abuse
The real money is not in the buying or selling... But in the waiting.
The question always remains, once you sell, buy what?
I have always struggled to push my investment philosophy, buy when you see a company has a distinct competitive advantage, sell only when that competitive advantage changes, the company changes, the management deteriorates, or when your financial circumstance changes.
If the business fundamentals did not change when you guys bought the stock, or you found a more compelling stock to purchase that you do not have enough funds for, why sell at all?
It's like selling your house just because there is a +/-15% change in value.
Why bother the small changes in share price?
>>>>>>>
i sold at 9.10...break even with the dividend at 18 cents