Windy1974

Windy1974 | Joined since 2018-01-26

Investing Experience -
Risk Profile -

Followers

2

Following

0

Blog Posts

1

Threads

729

Blogs

Threads

Portfolio

Follower

Following

Summary
Total comments
729
Past 30 days
9
Past 7 days
5
Today
4

User Comments
Stock

2020-07-21 20:25 | Report Abuse

Sorry, when i said cost me RM6.51m, i was using RM1 cost as example for easy calculation purpose

Stock

2020-07-21 20:24 | Report Abuse

DK. I reckon your calculation is wrong. You can provide a calculation to prove me wrong otherwise. Let me put it another way.
When i owned JAKS before the latest proposed RI. Consider i own 1% of JAKS shares and would be entitled to 1% of RM250m profit. That's RM2.5m. With 651m shares in JAKS, it would cost me RM6.51m to make RM2.5m a year. Agreed?
Now, with the latest RI annoucement which i didn't read details, the number of shares become double? Triple? Let say double, now 1.32B shares and the RI at RM0.20. I will have to come up with extra RM0.20 x 6.51m shares = RM1.32m extra to own same 1% of JAKS. Now, it will cost me RM7.83m to make RM2.5m a year. Agreed?
FACT: I will need to inject more money to make same amount of money from JAKS. You can only argue that last time 200% potential return, now 150% potential return still good. But fact is, potential return will be less.
After reading ALP interview, 1 additional disturbing fact he highlighted. If you believe what he said, he said 50% of JAKS earning would be generated from JHDP. If he is right, only 2 possible scenarios.
1. JHDP profit RM250m and rest RM250m. JAKS annual profit RM500m
2. JHDP profit would be substantially lower than RM250m based on JAKS property/construction business track record.

---------
DK Windy1974, I m referring to average cost per share. If your cost is RM1.00, your average cost will be lowered to 0.523 per share after right issue. So, while the TP will be diluted, your average cost will be reduced as well.

Stock

2020-07-21 10:12 | Report Abuse

DK. I understand how you feel. I hold JAKS at average 1.6 and i was looking forward to JHDP to prove myself right. Even when JAKS announced RI in 2018? And my logical brain told me it would drop, but my emotion brain still asked me to hold on. I currently hold no JAKS as the RI announcement for me was the final straw.
I disagree the RI will lower your average cost. Previously, you pay RM1 x 100 for 1 piece of cake. Total cost RM100. Now, assuming you pay half price for the RI + free warrant, no matter how you calculate, it's still gonna cost you more than RM100 for the same piece of cake. It's only good for those who didn't currently hold JAKS shares like me. If JAKS drops to my target price, i might consider give it another chance. Otherwise, i would give it a miss.

------------
DK Windy1974, thank you for your advice but I will stay at least until JHDP releases it results and proven me wrong. It is about believing in yourself. Never give up halfway.

Even though there will be dilution in shares but the Right issue will lower your average cost.

I have advised my group members of my final target price based on warren buffett's owner earnings.

I have yet to decide whether to share the article in this forum since most ppl here will not be interested anyway.

Stock

2020-07-21 09:19 | Report Abuse

Stocks i bought recently. DRBHICOM because of Proton. GCB because of constant growth in cocoa business. Hibiscus because it has good management and cost conscious employees (from personal experience dealing with them), Muhibah because of their consistent income from airports. Tourists growth is a given in the long run. Yinson. Because it's a safe stock

Stock

2020-07-21 09:13 | Report Abuse

In life, it's so hard to be objective. We always wanna believe what we hold true to. Irregardless whether it's investment, politic, business or relationship.
If 1 genuinely believes in his investment, he is not a crook to share his views with others unless he did it knowing it's not facts.
DK. As you highlighted previously, you wished people to highlight your wrongs. Assuming the power plant earnings will be RM200 to RM250m as per your projection, valuation of JAKS no longer hold because of the dilution in shares. What would be the new target price and what's the potential gain from current price?
With the Covid 19, i reckon there are many stocks that could gain 50 to 100% once their business earnings back to normal. Personally, i reckon that would be a more predictable results, as the results were proven.
Do consider divest.

Stock

2020-07-06 11:04 | Report Abuse

This morning read The Edge about Farlim being a net cash company and market cap of RM43m. First thing, i went and read 2019 annual report. The founder holds at least 47.5% of Farlim not counting friendly allies. For those who dreamt of getting a piece of the RM70 over million cash, you can dream on. You know if i was the founder, what would i do? I would draw a substantial salary every year till the RM70 over million dries up. Not a bad deal, since for every RM1 i make, RM0.50 comes from those dreamers.

Stock

2020-06-24 10:44 | Report Abuse

Mabel. This will be my last comment. If you genuinely think that the research TP given by PublicInvest is based on Technical Analysis, then to a certain extent, i won't say you are misleading. However, if that's your understanding, and you seriously think you are investing and not gambling, do spend time and read about Fundamental to stock selection or just google fundamental analysis on stocks. I considered myself an investor and have been investing for 27 years and yet i am still an amateur when it came to investment. If you don't read and understand, you are putting your hard earned money and your future at risk. I have made terrible mistakes in stock market and i am the lucky one to survive. Good luck

Stock

2020-06-24 10:27 | Report Abuse

Mabel. You can state your honest opinions and there's nothing wrong about it. Even if you were wrong it's only fair if you stated your HONEST opinion. I am highlighting you misquote Public TP of RM3.15 when it's obvious that they update to less than RM1.30 now. Now, that's called liar.
JAKS is not doing well and i honestly thought of it's good prospect. I was wrong. I genuinely believed in it and asked my friends (not in i3 forum) to buy.

Stock

2020-06-24 10:03 | Report Abuse

Mabel. Are you in the O&G industry? You talk as if you are an expert but your comments obviously show you know nuts about this industry.
First, i would like to clarify. Dayang is a good company with good management. It's a company i would invest for long term.
Though i seldom like to comment, i come here today wondering why Dayang's still up after they given an HONEST future business outlook. Of all the research analysis, i consider PublicInvest to be one of the better one. You tried to quote PublicInvest TP for Dayang of RM3.15?? You don't see latest PublicInvest TP on Dayang meh?
I am in O&G business and anyone who said this industry is ok is either outright dumb or liar. Why are you?


PublicInvest think FY20/21 forecasts higher by 3.3% on average, with adjustment made to profit margins for its existing work orders. We also make adjustments to our full year FY19 projection by +29.3%. We derive a new TP for Dayang of RM3.15, based on 14x PE multiple over FY21F EPS of 22.5sen. Given the fair upside potential and positive news flows, they upgrade to Trading Buy.

Stock

2020-06-05 22:28 | Report Abuse

musang. Last week i told JAKS group to buy Airasia because economy reopen. Make your money in airline first while you wait for your gem JAKS to rebound end of year.

Stock

2020-06-02 11:42 | Report Abuse

bfg9000. Minority shareholders rights are often ignored in Malaysia because 1. authority don't care and 2. Minority shareholders don't care.
Most retail participants in KLSE are speculators and not investors. Those old timers in their 50s and above who was slaughtered in 1993/1997 was gone and now seems to be a new generation of them since the Covid 19 pandemics.
Don't try to change the culture, you are better off changing yourself


bfg9000 Bro Windy1974 - wishing you all the best to build the base for your move. For one I am firmly in the "Anyone But Andy" camp here and you for sure can get those meager voting rights I have if it comes to that. The current management handled communications really badly, all decisions are not rationalised to the shareholder, information kept in a black box and dilutionary corporate exercise hold at the worst timing in the market.

Stock

2020-06-02 10:07 | Report Abuse

Philip. I was pulling everyone's leg lah. I won't get enough support as you highlighted. Maybe OTB can lah. Mathematically, it could be done. From paper, ALP seems to hold less than 20% shares? Of cos lah, don't know he got how many nominees and allied. Management taakeover hardly successful in Malaysia and i won't waste my time doing that.
RM600k per year is a lot of money but i was comparing relatively. If JAKS could earn RM200m a year, won't you give thumbs up to CEO only making RM600k?
Yes, i am 46 years old and am a businessman. Not claiming i am a very successful one but if PP already in place and run by China conglomerate, the least i do the least damage i bring to JAKS haha.
FYI, i will buy back JAKS at 1 stage. Not to show off but my total holdings consider top 30 shareholders

Stock

2020-06-01 22:00 | Report Abuse

Philip. Indeed the management was not acting in the best interest of shareholders. For self interest? FYI, i have sold all my JAKS shares due to uncertainty. Only holding 150k of JAKS-WB now at 0.623 everage price.
Let's see what happen...
If all DK66 followers willing to support me, i will be a dumb CEO of JAKS and promise to cease all JAKS business except PP. I will distribute JAKS 80% income as dividend. And i will get a mediocre RM50k monthly salary.
Please support me when the time comes. Will buy back approaching COD


Philip ( buy what you understand) So, now that we have not 1 rights issue but 2 in recent years, with more dilution expected, the question becomes what happened to the money? The construction gains that was supposed to pay for the 30% ownership? Why are JAKS investors being asked to dilute in such a way right in the middle of MCO when price is at the weakest.

Can honestly say that management is acting in accordance to shareholders interest? Now with the underwriting and alp dilution to buy 50 million of shares at 40 cents in JAKS, have you ever wondered where alp is going to get the money to do such an activity?

Yes the PP is very straightforward. But you as the minority shareholder, have you received any dividend from JAKS before?

Stock

2020-05-23 20:20 | Report Abuse

Philip
I believe you can't find reliability of management in annual report. Salary is the only one readily available.
Eg. If the industry average profit margin is 10% and all the sudden this company shows 30% and overhead same and it's not a niche market, then i would be skeptical instead of praising the management. I am sure you know of many companies showing paper profit but gone south eventually.
You are an engineer and you are methological. I used my business sense. Of cos mine not scientific.
Well, i don't know how much you invested in Serba. But you can try google the RM7.7B project and see what you can find about the US company. Below is a link i found. I rely on google a lot as my sifu.
https://opencorporates.com/companies/us_ok/3512387842

Stock

2020-05-23 16:06 | Report Abuse

Philip. One of the thing you highlighted about importance of investing in a company 1. integrity of management. I agreed 100% but unfortunately for most investors, how can we know integrity of management unless we work for the company or in the industry. While majority of your investment have proven management (I have question mark on Serba), did you know during the time you invested? Or they just proven to be right choice. I recalled you mentioned ALP not reliable. I won't dispute that as i don't know him but you have anything to substantiate your claim? If so, please highlight.
For me, i could only rely on certain actions by the company. EG. recently few companies annouced projects which i found very fishy. 1. a company secured a dam from china company?? Now, this is a first for me. 2. A company secured multi billions of sand supply but didn't know you need an AP for export?? 3. An oil n gas maintenance company claiming billions for development contract.
Now, the first thing i did was to google all those companies awarding contracts. Amazingly, you can't find much details of them, when they can award billions of contract. Btw, the company awarding dam from China had a gmail account.
So, actually for a person who emphasise strongly and management integrity, i am surprised you bought Serba.

Stock

2020-05-23 11:39 | Report Abuse

That's what I thought also. I can't speculate why ALP does it so I can only state FACTS. The fact is, with RI, I need to spend more money to get same amount I previously expected. Having said, I still expect JAKS TP to be higher than current price, but lower TP.
Musang, you refer bonus issue to RI is incorrect, bonus issue you don't need to spend extra. Actually bonus issue just make you feel SONG, it doesn't increase your earning from the company


Ayoyo Windy, if I understand DK66 workings, he mention of construction profit and the thought was for this to be used to subscribe for the shares instead... It means, that the construction profit is still there in the books... Why RI then? I don't know.. I could only speculate that his real intention is to get more shares on the cheap....
23/05/2020 11:22 AM

Stock

2020-05-23 11:12 | Report Abuse

First, i have to highlight that this is not a SELL CALL.
AYOYO. You are right in saying that if money for future producing asset is good. BUT, as a JAKS shareholder, assuming i spent 1mil to buy JAKS at RM1, having 1mil shares, i was expecting to earn RM300k after PP generate income. Now, you are right, i am still gonna get RM300k if i subscribe to RI. But, it will cost me MORE to get RM300k. Now, let's get the fact right and outcome right. That's not questioning DK66 research

Stock

2020-05-23 10:45 | Report Abuse

First, i am JAKS shareholder and i am also a business owner. Yes, as a business owner, if i could get an investment return that's better than loan interest, i would definitely go to bank. Indeed, i would only dig from my own pocket when 1. Bank won't borrow me anymore as i am highly geared or 2. I just need the loan for a short period of time where the cost of obtaining a bank loan is too high and troublesome.
Without knowing JAKS boss intention and predicament, 1 thing is for sure. Since the RI is not raising PP ownership from 30% to 40%, the only outcome of this RI is dilution of EPS. If previous targeted EPS was 30sens, this will be adjusted accordingly with the new number of shares increased.
Yes, let's talk facts here and don't mislead people. JAKS share price could still shoot up to RM10 or even RM100, but then it's speculative play already and nothing to do with fundamental. If you don't wanna talk about fundamental, then don't quote DK66 research. You just need to buy a lucky charm

Stock

2020-05-19 20:45 | Report Abuse

Hi DK66. Can you add me? Thanks

Stock

2020-04-05 15:52 | Report Abuse

Hi Philips. You are indeed knowledgeable and your argument is valid. Yes, I am a JAKS holder and i reckon it's always good to have such meaningful arguments. You invested in solid and well managed companies and I always believe it's not the sector but the management that's crucial. Eg. Layhong vs QL.
On your statement below. Obviously, you have gathered some infos. The PP is run by a reputable China company. So, the issue would be what gonna happen when the money come to JAKS. If the management doesn't act in accordance to shareholders interest, can we kick them out? From shareholding, ALP doesn't seem to hold majority in JAKS? Can I say that the business is PP is so straight forward that any professional CEO would get the result as expected?

I have no doubt that the power plant will be completed. But after that? What happens next? A ytl could easily turn into a protasco. Or a sendai could easily turn into a scientex. What will the real yearly profit be? Where will it go? I have a pretty good idea already. And I am staying put. Trading and speculative gains: yes, investing? Definitely not.

Stock

2020-03-24 15:01 | Report Abuse

Sapura won't bankrupt because government has invested too much in it. At 0.08, it's worth putting 5% of your money for potential 0.80 by 2026-27 due to potential in Sapura OMV. Sapura OMV will be groomed as upstream player of Malaysia. Sapura almost same value as Dayang is ridiculous


DK66 Windy1974, about the cash flow of Sapura Energy, I must admit it will take a long while to understand all its finances. Even so, it won't be easy to arrive at any conclusion whether it can survive the current oil turmoil. At RM0.08, it is almost a write off case for most investors. I m sorry I won't be able to help.
24/03/2020 2:50 PM

Stock

2020-03-24 14:54 | Report Abuse

DK66. I have not covered all articles but I have seen some articles regarding BOT during infancy stage in Vietnam. Lots of risk and uncertainties actually on returns. It seems like each BOT is unique and subject to negotiation skills. However, I believe JAKS deal falls into later stage. Well, whether your analysis is correct or not, we will know by end of 2020.
I have put some thoughts into WHY ALP not meeting OTB? Although I don't have an answer now but at least it's not just negative as when it happened.
In my life, I have learnt 1 important lesson. People who appear NICE not necessary good and people who appeared UNFRIENDLY not necessary BAD


DK66 Windy1974, I gain the understanding through lots of readings. I m afraid I can't pin point any source of information. However, logically, do you think the IPP would not have considered the USD/VND forex risk especially when it spans over 25 years ?

Stock

2020-03-24 14:36 | Report Abuse

Side track. DK66. Are you able to study Sapura Energy financial and comment on it's liabilities and cash flow? I bought substantially at 0.10 (3rd biggest holding) and now facing 25% losses already but am optimistic about Sapura future prospect (2022) That's on condition that Sapura would be able to cover it's liabilities. Such oil price would mean Sapura drilling division would suffer longer than expected. Just want an accountant opinion on Sapura financial as going concern.
O, for those who want to play safe, YTLREIT is really attractive price now. I added more in 0.70s which i believe was bank force sale.

Stock

2020-03-24 14:31 | Report Abuse

DK66. Thanks. Understood.
Sorry for being ignorant, those information you mentioned publicly available?



DK66 Windy1974, The PPA agreed a predetermined return on investment which was made in USD. Therefore, payments are based on USD investment which will not be affected by the depreciation of VND against USD. Only payments are made in VND (after translation using the spot USD/VND rate) for government accounting purposes. The VND payment received, after payment for expenses, will be converted to USD (conversion guaranteed by government) for outward remittance. In short, USD/VND rate has no bearing on investment returns of JHDP.

However, the USD received will amount to higher income in RM term if USD appreciated against RM during the BOT tenure.

Stock

2020-03-24 12:39 | Report Abuse

DK66. Noted with thanks. But shouldn't it be strong VND vs MYR? At the end, it's VND. No change if USD appreciation same rate vs VND and MYR


DK66 Windy1974, Jaks' PPA computes its capacity and Energy Charges in USD for its USD based investment or expenses and VND for its domestic based expenses. The tariffs will be translated to VND and paid in VND. The government then allow JHDP to immediately convert the VND into USD for outward remittance.

JHDP will distribute its profit in USD to Jaks which in turn will record the distribution in RM. Therefore, as far as Jaks is concerned, the forex risk lies in USD/RM, not USD/VND. USD/VND forex fluctuation is protected by the PPA.

In short, strong USD against RM is good for Jaks.

Stock

2020-03-24 12:17 | Report Abuse

Google Jaks BOT hai duong and click on Public Investment Bank - Insage
It's a January 2017 report by Public


Windy1974 i found this analyst report online from Public Bank research. I reckon it's pretty comprehensive and means JAKS management has given what info they could to analyst. From this, i noted 1 significant difference from DK66. That's forex. I summarise below risks on JAKS.
1. If i recalled correctly, DK66 mentioned currency fluctuation is protected. From report, it shows that JAKS will receive payment in Vietnam Dong and face currency fluctuation risk.
2. Analyst can't estimate potential earning cos power purchase rate not revealed. It's trade secret. JAKS management given guidance of mid 10s. So, it's understandable that analyst would wanna see actual earnings before upgrading JAKS (or downgrade)
Apart from these 2 risks, i can't see any other risks involved. The report basically covered more comprehensively than any report i have seen so far in i3. Also, the COD stated in 2016 was mid 2020. Chinese is very good on schedule.

www.insage.com.my › cmn › downloading
24/03/2020 11:55 AM

Stock

2020-03-24 11:55 | Report Abuse

i found this analyst report online from Public Bank research. I reckon it's pretty comprehensive and means JAKS management has given what info they could to analyst. From this, i noted 1 significant difference from DK66. That's forex. I summarise below risks on JAKS.
1. If i recalled correctly, DK66 mentioned currency fluctuation is protected. From report, it shows that JAKS will receive payment in Vietnam Dong and face currency fluctuation risk.
2. Analyst can't estimate potential earning cos power purchase rate not revealed. It's trade secret. JAKS management given guidance of mid 10s. So, it's understandable that analyst would wanna see actual earnings before upgrading JAKS (or downgrade)
Apart from these 2 risks, i can't see any other risks involved. The report basically covered more comprehensively than any report i have seen so far in i3. Also, the COD stated in 2016 was mid 2020. Chinese is very good on schedule.

www.insage.com.my › cmn › downloading

News & Blogs

2020-03-14 13:50 | Report Abuse

Hi Philip. I agree with your stock picks except Serba. I am in O&G business. I like your thorough research and definitely have same approach with stock picking. However, i might lack your detailed analysis. Now, one stock i am eyeing and wanna invest substantially is Sapura Energy for future prospect from 2023 onwards. I wanna seek your opinion on Sapura.

Stock

2020-03-13 15:46 | Report Abuse

When people hide their real identity online is when they show their true colour. After i sold JAKS, though i wished to buy cheaper, i never come here to curse JAKS. No matter what's your intention, i wish all people who wish other people lose money go to hell

Stock

2020-03-13 13:47 | Report Abuse

In business, i try to anticipate what's gonna happen in the future to plan for resources. For now, i know i have to tighten my belt for 2020 at least. If oil price doesn't recover above USD40 by second half of 2020, a lot of projects in the pipeline for 2021 would be on hold. So, if anyone think that O&G counters are not affected, i wish you were right because my earnings never back to previous high before 2016. Now, WHY i bought this morning and i am glad all my orders were done for JAKS at average 0.753 and Sapura Energy at 0.10.
Early morning, i read in CNBC that US senates gonna announce on COVID 9 plan. Hence, i am expecting some actions over the weekend. After such drastic drop, any good news will be good. Now, with the latest CNBC report on China, i anticipate shares to turnaround in the afternoon and next week. While the second news came after i bought, i was expecting governments to act over the weekend to calm the market.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/12/chinas-central-bank-to-cut-rates-soon-analysts-predict.html
Long run, i don't know but i believe short run i have bought at JAKS low, though not lowest at 0.69. As i always said, i rather buy expensive then no buy at all.
Why Sapura Energy? Since i am pessimistic about O&G?? Haha, that's story for another time

Stock

2020-03-13 10:25 | Report Abuse

Haha. I don't know how to cross this cross that BUT I do look at chart for previous support and resistance. I have been holding JAKS for over 2 years so I know 0.70 will be a strong support or resistance. And I never BUY at support. I am still queuing above 0.70 still got bullets. Well, I have seen 0.40 before and it might happen it might not. I am the type who rather in than lose the chance. However, I do see volatility in foreseeable futures

maxprofit2020 @ Windy1974, good. I sold ALL as well last month.
The point I want to share is for safe trade, buy back at the point of Golden Cross instead of during free fall.
13/03/2020 10:21 AM

Stock

2020-03-13 10:20 | Report Abuse

I hope this correction stand as a reminder to all those who used margin. It's a double edge sword. An investor should never used margin no matter how convinced you are. Noone can predict the futures. Sad to read that i3 forumer committed suicide because of this. I have been down with debts early in my 20s. If you make mistakes in your 20s, you still got chance. If you are married with kids, you are not only accoutable to yourself but your family.

Stock

2020-03-13 10:13 | Report Abuse

Maxprofit2020. You could be right. I am a long term JAKS investors and I sold at higher price ALL my JAKS. So, for me, it's already profit


maxprofit2020 @Windy1974, it is 0.745 now. Moving toward 0.6x.
Do not catch a falling knife.

Refer to year 2018 Mar to Dec trend.
13/03/2020 10:11 AM

Stock

2020-03-13 10:06 | Report Abuse

maxprofit2020. My point was, 85k was mine, max 35k was his. Many i3 forumer like to impress people by showing that they bought low sell high

Stock

2020-03-13 09:54 | Report Abuse

Wow impressive. Day low 0.76 done 120,000 shares. All makan by you Henry 8833?


Henry8833 Managed to grab some 76 sen and continue buying till 79 sen for today
13/03/2020 9:31 AM

Stock

2020-02-28 10:17 | Report Abuse

Invest_168. Your arguement is valid. However, what you see MIGHT NOT be the actual truth. Ask yourself.
1. Is he the major shareholder running day to day business? Or is he, should i put it blantly, just a nominee? If you don't understand what nominee is, then you should find out more how businesses are conducted in Malaysia.
2. Did he sell to public or other interested parties?
Conclusion. Insider trading is a guideline but not ABSOLUTE. Otherwise, with your logic, when directors buy, prospect for a company should be good and sell should be bad. Then, you already have a new strategy. Very simple. Buy shares that directors buy and sell shares that directors sell. Let me know what would be your performance in 2 years time


Invest_168 If JAKS so good, why the company director RAZALI MERICAN BIN NAINA MERICAN keep on dispose his shares since Oct 2019 until Jan 2020? If he is so stupid as company director and do not know the company power plant project going to earn big in near future?

Stock

2020-02-28 10:09 | Report Abuse

Dear OTB. I was expecting JAKS management to provide more clarity on profit guidance of Hai Dong PP when they released QR. Am disappointed they didn't. Hopefully this analyst briefing would have more details on how PP profit derived. If they could verify DK66 analysis, then I can sleep better even with coronavirus


OTB I suggest to the management to invite the below Investment Banks to attend this analyst briefing.
1. Public Investment Bank
2. Affin Investment Bank
3. HL Investment Bank
4. Kenanga Investment Bank
Thank you.

Stock

2020-02-26 10:30 | Report Abuse

wah musang must be the market operator. just say and price flies

Stock

2020-02-25 09:48 | Report Abuse

DK66. I expect tomorrow annouce QR and i expect good news. I would have sold yesterday if higher than 1.50 but no volume at 1.50. 1.41 is first support and since can't break i would say direction is up unless more bad news coming

Stock

2020-02-25 09:21 | Report Abuse

Bought more at open 1.41 and Wa at 1.09. Today and tomorrow would be great to annouce QR

Stock

2020-02-20 09:56 | Report Abuse

Let me quote the famous superinvestor.
"I don't need the money, I am just helping you wet wet song song, haha"

deMusangking Windy@
u made a right choice moving from kkb to jaks!!!

congrats!
20/02/2020 9:33 AM

Stock

2020-02-19 16:10 | Report Abuse

My take for 9466 worth 2.30-2.50 with current info i have. It's good but i am moving the funds to JAKS because of relative potential gain. JAKS is CHEAP.

Stock

2020-02-19 14:51 | Report Abuse

Abang Musang. I hope you haven't sold your KKB? You would be having Musang instead of Starbuck. KKB will be ok at least for another 2 years unless Serba Dinamik bought into Brooke. Then situation might change. However, it doesn't mean I would recommend buying Serba. Heard Serba is buying 30% of Brooke. Rest still own by Sarawak government. Pending Petronas approval.
When i recommended my friends to buy HIBISCUS and now JAKS, most also asked me the same question. How much target price? While how much a share is worth is not exact science but the most basic concept one should know is Price Earning. If you don't understand Price Earning and yet you are in KLSE, then you are likely a punter and not an investor. If you consider yourself an investor and yet you don't bother to understand how a company is being valued, you only have yourself to blame for your losses.
In the 80s and 90s, most KLSE participants are punters. Forget about PE, dividend or even TA. You just need to spin some stories and your stocks would fly. Most of these punters if they still in the market probably just small punters now after losing at least 50% of their initial capital even KLSE index now 1600. Those investors these punters laughed at who bought Public Bank etc blue chips are at least 200% richer.
Moral of the story. In this digital age, your have google for everything. SSLEE blog on AGM is a noble cause but from the lack of response it's obvious that noone care, me included haha. Another way to make CEO accountable is with educated investors. When enough investors are knowledgable, then those goreng stocks won't have luck. But i guess this is as elusive as Malaysian not into race politics.

Stock

2020-02-12 11:37 | Report Abuse

JAKS investors. I am here to promote JAKS-WB because I have been buying at 1.17 & 1.18. Today, I am the guy who keep your WB from becoming red at 1.18. I have said before in this forum, if you gonna buy less than 50k, buy WB because % gain faster as not much WB in free float. I have been unloading WB and convert to JAKS for liquidity purpose. I had been buying WB this few days because usual spread between JAKS and WB has been 22 sen. So, at 27 sen spread, it's just an opportunity for me. Would the spread maintain at 27sen? Only god knows. I have been holding WB since day 1 so I can only tell you that the spread has been 22 sen.
As for theoretical price, I don't know but I would say it's not at a high premium. Many punters willing to pay hundred of % for some warrant in KLSE so this is peanut. So, please help me push up WB to profit


Lyk100 In terms of share price, does it make more sense to buy the Mother share now?

Warrants 1.18 0.64 = 1.82
Mother share 1.45
Even attaching a 10% premium to the warrants, the warrants is still overvalued compared to the Mother share
1.82 - (1.45 x1.1) = 0.22 (rounded)p

Stock

2020-02-11 15:31 | Report Abuse

i actually agree that they are many conmen in KLSE. Investors need to be very sharp to identify one. When i was young, i easily rush into companies with good news (maybe now too). I hope i have paid enough school fees.
I am very IMPRESSED with kumpulan powernet winning a contract from a China company. I have only heard of Chinese companies getting contract from Malaysian companies. KPOWER must be really efficient. But i suggest this China company Zhenghong to get a proper email address lah please. Awarding a RM66mil contract but use gmail.

https://www.pes.molsw.gov.la/index.php/en/jobs/list-of-all-job-vacancy/details/112/494

Stock

2020-02-11 08:13 | Report Abuse

This seems to come from inside power plant. Power generation in April if correct so not March. From leapkcfy facebook link

Like
· Reply · 10h
Most Relevant is selected, so some replies may have been filtered out.


Author
Nhiệt Điện Quang Thành- Kinh Môn - Hải Dương. Puttin Vjp 4月份开始发电

Stock

2020-02-10 12:04 | Report Abuse

Sorry for my contribution on DAYANG here at JAKS forum. This is for JAKS investors who hold DAYANG. I am providing you information for yourself to make judgement. This is what i see happening as an oil & gas vendor.
Facts
1. Petronas activities outlook shows most activities at it's peak in 2019. (You can read it yourself assuming you would understand if you from non O&G sector) So, if you expect oil & gas counters in general to report 20-30% gain in profit (Annualised) than i think you are wishful thinking.
2. 2020-2022. Main beneficieries will be EPCC contractors. Of them, the competitive ones are Sapura Energy and KKB. However, i wouldn't buy Sapura because of that alone because Sapura main income doesn't come from fabrication. It's losing money because of drilling.
3. Dayang main shareholders sold some shares in DAYANG. Yes, the major share holders won't sell substantial holdings as they are long term investors. However, it's an indication they also feel it's good price to sell.
4. DAYANG had rights issue. Could potential earnings increase more than compensate dilution of EPS?
5. Now this is the biggest THREAT to DAYANG in the next 2-5 years. SERBA DINAMIK. SERBA or associates have bought SEALINK (Vessels supplier like Perdana) and now Transfame (DAYANG lost the TSM for Shell Sarawak to Transfame thru online bidding). To me, it's very OBVIOUS what SERBA is heading. They wanna enter DAYANG's forte. Now, SERBA is the talk to the town now in O&G. Do i foresee they steal DAYANG's contracts? I have no doubt. Will they make moeny? That i dare not comment since i don't run SERBA.
My conclusion. With SERBA, the whole competitive landscape would change at least in the short term. Whether SERBA can make money or not is not the point because it means that DAYANG would lose market share in the coming few years.
Now, would i buy SERBA? Not for me because i prefer DAYANG management who are more transparent.
Good Luck.

Stock

2020-02-07 11:19 | Report Abuse

Addressing EX JAKS investor who sold and now with 0 share. You would like be the one sold at 1. (1.18 - 1.25) or 2. (1.25 - 1.36) Now the price has gone up so much, how? I share with you my painful experience in HIBISCUS when my hand was itchy and sold at 0.60s and hoping for a correction that never came and bought back at 0.80s. IF you beliebe in JAKS future, then rather buy expensive than being left out.
Indeed i am a promoter of JAKS and it's a big part of my portfolio. What wrong to promote if myself genuinely believe in it's future. Even if 1 day i was wrong, my conscience is clear because i truly believe in it myself

Stock