drkelvin20

drkelvin20 | Joined since 2020-12-08

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Stock

2021-01-04 11:35 | Report Abuse

@ freddiehero,

I mean around rm3++, I will consider to load some.

I don;t think it will drop to rm1.7++ (Pre-Covid level).. The profit of glove has been elevated due to Covid, and the inflated glove profit in future will likely not return to Precovid level (just my opinion, same analogy to inflated food price that tends not to drop any more). The Profit I think will drop, but will not drop back to PreCovid level. And the demand will drop.

So in my opinion, I am betting rm 3++ a good value to slowly buy in for long term investment....just my two cents.

Again, invest on own study, risk on own. So do your own analysis.

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2021-01-04 11:28 | Report Abuse

@ stockraider,
I mean with current price dropping to rm 3++...factored in the bonus issue..

I will consider to load some top glove when current share price drop to rm 3++ Just my opinion..If it drop further, I load more to average down the cost. I think the company is well governed by leaders with integrity and honesty. This is most important for a good compnay, look at thier CAGR over the years.

But current share price in my opinion it still high, 3-4 times the preCovid level. I will consider if the current share price close in...e.g. 1.5 - 2 times to PreCovid level., which means anything in the range rm 3++ I will conisder to start accumulate by then.

Hope this clarify, happy Investing. Lets hope we get it right, buy it right, sell it right at right time, make good profit for our better live and family.

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2021-01-04 11:13 | Report Abuse

It is really hard to predict the current dropping bottom every now and then for glove counters...But I think RSS/ISS in Malaysia work in such a way that those who short the counter position need to buy back on same day (correct me if I am wrong). I think, my opinion, every short will come with a rebound in the afternoon session coz those you short sell their position need to buy back on same day (if I recall right, this is regulation in Malaysia, correct me if I am wrong)

So I think in the afternoon the share price may rebound but dunno up to which level.

But again, tomorrow will be unpredictable again..and for many days to come, especially with more and more vaccinations and hopefully positive news coming out, especially if vaccination prove to be effective.

Many countries are starting vaccinations. And between the dose it may take 2-3 weeks. In a month time from now, we may be embracing more positive news on effectiveness of vaccine in mass scale vaccination. If that happens, I think and only my opinion, the glove counters may have even bigger room to drop, closing on thier pre Covid share value.

Vice verse, if mass scale vaccination prove to be ineffective, the glove counter will rebound strongly.

However, I think (my own opinion) vaccination should give some hopes to end the pandemic, soon or later. Most pandemic will fade away, soon or later, either human body adjusts to it, or the virus adjusts to human body. This is what my believe. Most pandemic will end soon or later.

For me, if the share close in to PreCovid Value, can consider to load some, for long term investment, especially the top glove.

My two cents here, just to share some of my own opinion and analysis. Please ignore these comments, if it go against your wishes ad study outcome.

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2021-01-04 11:11 | Report Abuse

It is really hard to predict the current dropping bottom every now and then for glove counters...But I think RSS/ISS in Malaysia work in such a way that those who short the counter position need to buy back on same day (correct me if I am wrong). I think, my opinion, every short will come with a rebound in the afternoon session coz those you short sell their position need to buy back on same day (if I recall right, this is regulation in Malaysia, correct me if I am wrong)

So I think in the afternoon the share price may rebound but dunno up to which level.

But again, tomorrow will be unpredictable again..and for many days to come, especially with more and more vaccinations and hopefully positive news coming out, especially if vaccination prove to be effective.

Many countries are starting vaccinations. And between the dose it may take 2-3 weeks. In a month time from now, we may be embracing more positive news on effectiveness of vaccine in mass scale vaccination. If that happens, I think and only my opinion, the glove counters may have even bigger room to drop, closing on thier pre Covid share value.

Vice verse, if mass scale vaccination prove to be ineffective, the glove counter will rebound strongly.

However, I think (my own opinion) vaccination should give some hopes to end the pandemic, soon or later. Most pandemic will fade away, soon or later, either human body adjusts to it, or the virus adjusts to human body. This is what my believe. Most pandemic will end soon or later.

For me, if the share close in to PreCovid Value, can consider to load some, for long term investment, especially the top glove.

My two cents here, just to share some of my own opinion and analysis. Please ignore these comments, if it go against your wishes ad study outcome.

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2021-01-02 00:20 | Report Abuse

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-04/u-k-grants-hongkongers-five-passports-a-minute-as-exodus-looms

U.K. Grants Five Passports a Minute to Hongkongers as China Tightens Grip

This will boost the property sale for EWINT in 2021 onwards! Brexit done deal is already a strong booster for UK.

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2020-12-31 14:11 | Report Abuse

@lovetzy...
just my opinion, I do not think CIMB willl be subjected to heavy short selling....Most banks are starting recovering good profit now due moratarium ended.

And it was reported in news too that the banks recovering sooner than everybody expected...just look at RHB and Maybank and PBB....

CIMB had abit of issue , that is why the share price is till far from PreCovid...and with banking business resuming to Precovid, I think CIMB will be likely climbing up to >RM 5.

there are many personal loans and car loan given up by most banks, so I think the banking business will be very promising in 2021...

Just take a look at CIMB share history in 2008-2011. It shows after economy crisis, the banking stock rose up strongly.

SO I am betting on a slowly and continously share value up in CIMB.

This is only my two cents.

Invest on own study, risk on own.

Happy investment.

Happy New Year 2021! Stay safe, bros.

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2020-12-31 14:02 | Report Abuse

@RunFirst, That is what I think also...That is what JP MOrgan set for target price.

Before Covid, the share price was RM 5-6....

Say, the current share price contiue to dip below, RM3.5 = RM10.50....That is a fair value in my opinion...considering the fact that the glove selling price despite more competitions with more players, but it is not gonna be like PreCovid before. The same analogy can be draw for inflated food price and deflated food price are never the same as before inflation.


That is what I will consider a good buy value...

And from my personal analysis, Top glove is well managed, with good CAGR over the years...so, it will be a very attractive stock for long term invest at around rm 3...just keep for 10 years...It can be our another retirement income....

But for now, at rm 6...it is still way too high, if you check on history of most global Pandemic, they all come and fade away soon or later...

Same with Supermx, I think it will be a good buy at rm 2++ later. But comparing Top Glove and Supermax...I will go for Top Glove.

Just my 2 cents....Again, invest and cash out on own study, risk on our own. So study, analyze on our own, and make wise decision.

Happy New Year 2021! Stay safe.

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2020-12-31 11:51 | Report Abuse

Try to talk to people in glove industry, those in production, business and marketing, and analyze on your own...make own decisions, do not get affected by those giving buy/sell calls. Do your own study and invest/cash out on own risk.

Top glove is a good company with high integrity, honesty, and transparency in their business operation, which was reflected in thier high CAGR over the years.

But current share price for these glove counters in my opinions are not sustainable towards 2021 year end of 2022 onwards.

I will definately consider to buy top glove with high CAGR, when the top glove share price back to below rm 3+...slowly buy more at below rm 3...and keep for 10 years. And I am sure it will yield a super high return.

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2020-12-31 11:50 | Report Abuse

Try to talk to people in glove industry, those in production, business and marketing, and analyze on your own...make own decisions, do not get affected by those giving buy/sell calls. Do your own study and invest/cash out on own risk.

Top glove is a good company with high integrity, honesty, and transparency in their business operation, which was reflected in thier high CAGR over the years.

But current share price for these glove counters in my opinions are not sustainable towards 2021 year end of 2022 onwards.

I will definately consider to buy top glove with high CAGR, when the top glove share price back to below rm 3+...slowly buy more at below rm 3...and keep for 10 years. And I am sure it will yield a super high return.

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2020-12-31 11:29 | Report Abuse

Not to forget also, many players come into this industry, competition will be higher than ever, the business should have more players (MahSing, HongSeng, etc). The market share will be more competitive too.

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2020-12-31 11:29 | Report Abuse

If you know someone in glove industry, talk to them, they can give you better idea on the way forward. I do not follow the IB ffund calls, which at one time they called for rm 50 for top glove...and after some months, called one investment bank called for rm 3.5 for top glove...

Do our own analysis, try talk to people in glove industry business. Make wise decision. RIsk on own.

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2020-12-31 11:28 | Report Abuse

just some neutral opinion, my own opinion, you can ignore if you do not agree:

The glove counters currently are still way too pricey compared to PreCovid level, it is a crystal clear and rock solid that the glove counters do not have that kind of sustainable profit/revenue to support even the current depreciating share price...The gloves selling prices are still high at the moment, if you know how the industry business and marketing operate, or just talk to someone in this industry you will know the glove selling price will be back to normal, or some higher than PreCovid level. But definately selling price cannot remain at this level.

In my opinion, there is a lot of downside for supermx and top glove, and other glove counter. considering 1:1 bonus share issue and 1:2 bonus share issue, and even consider a slighty higher glove selling price than PreCovid level, I would consider a good buy for supermx at ~rm 2, and top glove around ~rm3.

Mayb some of you may laugh off this low target price and think it is too far off from current share price. BUt if you recall supermx was rm 9++, top glove was rm 9++ after bonus share issuance, now dropped to rm 6+ respectively, then further drop can happen slowly.

The fact that 2020 Financial year super bull profits for glove counters, it will present a high pressure to the glove companies to sustain the super bull profit after the pandemic is getting over. Say, the financial quarter at the end of 2021, or beginning of 2022. These year end 2021 and early 2022 on wards, financial report, when compared to 2020 whole year revenue and profit. It will be inevitable that the performance will show a huge drop. and by then, in my opinion, the glove counters will drop to thier sustainable. And only then, for me, it is a very good buy, especially top glove with high CAGR all these years.

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2020-12-31 11:28 | Report Abuse

Not to forget also, many players come into this industry, competition will be higher than ever, the business should have more players (MahSing, HongSeng, etc). The market share will be more competitive too.

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2020-12-31 11:24 | Report Abuse

If you know someone in glove industry, talk to them, they can give you better idea on the way forward. I do not follow the IB ffund calls, which at one time they called for rm 50 for top glove...and after some months, called one investment bank called for rm 3.5 for top glove...

Do our own analysis, try talk to people in glove industry business. Make wise decision. RIsk on own.

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2020-12-31 11:21 | Report Abuse

just some neutral opinion, my own opinion, you can ignore if you do not agree:

The glove counters currently are still way too pricey compared to PreCovid level, it is a crystal clear and rock solid that the glove counters do not have that kind of sustainable profit/revenue to support even the current depreciating share price...The gloves selling prices are still high at the moment, if you know how the industry business and marketing operate, or just talk to someone in this industry you will know the glove selling price will be back to normal, or some higher than PreCovid level. But definately selling price cannot remain at this level.

In my opinion, there is a lot of downside for supermx and top glove, and other glove counter. considering 1:1 bonus share issue and 1:2 bonus share issue, and even consider a slighty higher glove selling price than PreCovid level, I would consider a good buy for supermx at ~rm 2, and top glove around ~rm3.

Mayb some of you may laugh off this low target price and think it is too far off from current share price. BUt if you recall supermx was rm 9++, top glove was rm 9++ after bonus share issuance, now dropped to rm 6+ respectively, then further drop can happen slowly.

The fact that 2020 Financial year super bull profits for glove counters, it will present a high pressure to the glove companies to sustain the super bull profit after the pandemic is getting over. Say, the financial quarter at the end of 2021, or beginning of 2022. These year end 2021 and early 2022 on wards, financial report, when compared to 2020 whole year revenue and profit. It will be inevitable that the performance will show a huge drop. and by then, in my opinion, the glove counters will drop to thier sustainable. And only then, for me, it is a very good buy, especially top glove with high CAGR all these years.

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2020-12-29 15:24 | Report Abuse

I think top glove is a company with good CAGR. OVer the years, if you invested 10 years back, the annual grow plus bonus shares can turn you already into++

It is a good company. But current share price is just over pricey and when Covid over and share price has much to depcreate when glove consumption back to precovid level.

At that time, maybe rm 3-4 top -glove , definately can invest due to high CAGR, and best and transparent governance of the company. Keep it for years it will reward you handsomely....I believe.

FGV is not in same league. A bad investment decision I made.

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2020-12-29 14:32 | Report Abuse

@Wesley Tq. Anything we have to do with regards to the mandatory delisting? If we do not agree to delisting, anyting we need to watch out, or anything we need to do?

Tq.

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2020-12-29 14:14 | Report Abuse

Guys, I received the letters on notice of receipt of unconditional offer for mandatory take over from FGV.

Anything we can do on this if we do not wish to accept? My buying price is much higher than offered 1.30.

So anything we need to do?

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2020-12-24 23:20 | Report Abuse

https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-55435930
Brexit: UK and EU reach trade deal ending months of arguments

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2020-12-22 12:06 | Report Abuse

Kenanga is an investment arm, there is a conflict of interest.

I remember back in previous US presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Trump, also all investment Big Funds predicted Billary Victory and gave verdict on market share plunged if trump win the election. But opposite happen when Trump did win it and share market soar.

Every since, I do not trust that much the so call analyst report by investment arm published in media.

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2020-12-22 12:00 | Report Abuse

I am in this investment for more than 10 years..Not first time bro. Yes, earn in good will. Yes, Good will ,and can earn happy money by proper study, analysis and good findings, bro.

Money earned through bad will is not happy money. God bless.

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year, bro.

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2020-12-22 11:49 | Report Abuse

@CWYeong, buy low sell high is good. That I do not have problem. I am only disagree on your strategy to shout negativity and market fear so that you can reload at lower price, and you actually feel excited about it. This part I do not agree. I hope your profit this way is your happy profit, out of good will. If you do not understand this point, I don;t have further comment.

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year bro.

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2020-12-22 11:46 | Report Abuse

@UlarSawa, I am actually hopeful for March21 Quarter report. March20 was like a nightmare with huge loss+impairment loss.

This March 21 Quarter report should be very hopeful on YoY, etc, plus the oil price could be also hopeful during March21 with all vaccinations. If and just if Sapura improve to 3 profits and zero loss, the share price should soar to 20 sen ++. Of course, all this is provided the refinancing of debt is done deal and announced.

I expect the the share price will rise once refinancing deal is struck and being annouced, hopefully by end of this year. And follow with a huge soar in March/April21, to prepare for next Quarter report.

That is my thought and I am hopeful on this to happen. And I will try load more from now whenever there is a significant drop in Sapura share price due to volatile oil price and market sentiment on pandemic/vaccine.

And I hope share consolidations will never happen. From what I know most shares after share consolidation will drop further...

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2020-12-22 11:34 | Report Abuse

@Ubah, no comment on competency for Sharil, but I remember once it was reported in news that the top management of Sapura drew high allowances despite no good business. So I think a change in top leadership may not be bad..Having new blood instilling new ideas and new contacts, why not?

The share price has dropped from 20-30 sen to 9 sen and rebounding now..So I think it will good to have new leadership.

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2020-12-22 11:30 | Report Abuse

@Zul, how many counter experiencing share price drop further, after share consolidating? lets not favor this...If this counter is ready. It can fly even with current share number. I remember, back in Aug/Sep20, there was one day where Sapura share soared up to 17 sen from 10 sen. That is a test water for big player and they have shown that they are able to do it.

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2020-12-22 11:28 | Report Abuse

@Invesbler. I think the key is refinancing almost complete. This is crucial. Sapura management can look forward for restrategize the company operation cost and the businesses. Oil showing every sign of rebound...

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2020-12-22 11:23 | Report Abuse

@CWYeong...You are shouting to create market fear and panic here to try reenter at low, and maybe once you reload enough you will shout on marker rebound, and you are feeling excited about this... Is this a good will or bad will, you judge? You can be excited about your wise decision to sell at high and make enough gain, that is fine. But can you not shout negative and market fear just to create false fear to allow you re-enter at much lower price? IT is a bad will.

Yes, no more comments from me on your excitement by doing this. Hope it is happy money for you to keep doing this.

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

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2020-12-22 11:14 | Report Abuse

If you think the counter is good, share your analysis and opinion, if you think counter is hopeless, share also your finding and analysis. BUt true to your mindeset.

If you shout here on negative news that you yourself know it is not true, and you yourself know it is temporaily, you are creating some fear to benefit your own...You can think if this is kind and good, and your profit you earn by buying low is out of bad will..Is this happy money for you to be in good mood? @CWYEONG

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2020-12-22 11:11 | Report Abuse

The forum here should be to share some findings, thoughts, etc, so that some others can have better insights, to analyze on own and decide on what is best to do, buy more to average down or sell off...

But I am actually sad, regret that there are people who shout negative and panic atmosphere, just to buy at low and lower. This is not happy profit you take in soon. Think about this @CWYONG

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2020-12-22 11:09 | Report Abuse

In my mindset, we should create hopeful market sentiment, based on study, analysis etc... If you know the market panic is temporarily and rebound in sight soon or later, and still you try shouting hard to scare retailers away with hopes to buy at low...it is like stepping on others wound to progress, do you think this is kind and good will?

Its ok to give study analysis, advices, and own opinion on buy or sell call, if you really mean it. But other wise, you are doing something that is bad. And the little money you earned from buying low from those scared and feared retailers, are these happy profit/money??

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2020-12-22 11:05 | Report Abuse

@CWYeong, I don't understand and I do not agree shouting negative news to try bring down the market and try create a panic atmosphere to scare retail investors to sell out, so that some people can buy at lower and lower from those making huge loss.

It is like stepping on others wound to climb up...and @CWYeong, you judge yourself if this is good thing to do?!

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2020-12-22 11:00 | Report Abuse

Latest Brexit deal hopeful...
No 10 fishing offer to EU raises hopes of Brexit deal before Christmas
UK negotiators reduce demand for EU catch reduction, potentially unlocking sticking point in talks

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2020-12-19 00:32 | Report Abuse

LNG (Gas) soar to 6 years high, Sapura is into this business now....double boost for the share price in next week....

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2020-12-19 00:26 | Report Abuse

I think healthy correction, for past 2-3 days, plus the revoke of RSS in Jan21 news out. Market in fear for last two days. But I think should post a stronger comeback early next week...Some corrections in market is good to give opportunty for investor to buy low.

Brent Crude shoot up to >52 USD...monday... Sapura should post a strong comeback!

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2020-12-19 00:20 | Report Abuse

Enjoy a nice weekend guy. Be patient, analyze wise, and have faith on our own study and analysis. :)

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2020-12-19 00:17 | Report Abuse

Tq @Kinuxian@Fortunemaster@Survivor13@Turbo8672@Warchest. Good to know some more interesting infos and facts on Ewint. That strengthens our faith in this stock.

What we do here is to share our thoughts and analysis on this stock, We would share our ideas and findings to encourage fellow investors and to help all to analyze wisely, so that we would not easily get affected by those short-seller who shout on fear to get us to sell our shares on loss and they are buying at low end, taking advantages from our fear during market panic.

I am one of early investor during IPO, and my average buying price is still far from tpday share price, and I am holding on it...I am taking the advices and info given here, which are facts.

IN addition, I am having faith, because I believe the founder LKS, will definately revive this stock, since there are just too many big tycoons invested on him on this stocks back in 2017, and this include one of most prominent bankers in Malaysia. We can find this info in the major shareholder details in

https://www.malaysiastock.biz/Corporate-Infomation.aspx?securityCode=5283

This banker through his Land Realty film, still holding on with huge orginal investment capital in Ewint.

Therefore I am sure the best is still yet to come, it didn;t come now, due to Brexit talk, and Covid resurgence in UK. BUt guys, vaccination started already in UK and Australia revoked the lock down in Victoria/Melbourn sometimes in Sep/October20, and next Quarters should be much more promising, both in UK and Australia. The Honkong people are moving to UK and Australia, this can elevate the sales significantly and contribute to revenue and profits. Lets keep tight, be patient to witness the revival of this stock to >RM1.2.

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2020-12-18 18:21 | Report Abuse

Hows the QR, any one know?

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2020-12-18 18:15 | Report Abuse

@Kinuxian Tq. Ewint is hopeful with this development. Hope it repays those who invested in IPO...I am one of them..Though i averaged down quite some during Covid...but still some far off from current share price...I really hope it will reward all us handsomely!

Tq Kinuxian.

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2020-12-18 16:25 | Report Abuse

Hi Ruhaizat69, ok. thanks for your reply...Just wondering...

The Quarter report is long-neck waiting, and I am just can't wait to know the result. I hope it will be positive..and the share price will go up on monday.

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2020-12-18 16:18 | Report Abuse

And another thoughts here, I will really not want to sell it at this moment, where the economy in UK and Australia is rebounding, Covid is at the tunnel end with Vaccination starts. Brexit deal is around the corner...I would be regretting to sell my Ewint share at loss, at the very bottom, during panic market fear, due to some correction...to others who are waiting my shares at lower and lower share price...I will not do this...Guys..please analyze and consider to sell now...at the time of market recovery is going on.

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2020-12-18 16:00 | Report Abuse

Ewint used to be 43sen~ and rebound to 60 sen++....Do we want to sell at 46 sen here, and miss it if it rebound in 2-3 months time?

If you have holding power, buy some more at this low to average down the cost...
Now people fear, it is timing to slowly buy some. average down the our own buying price.

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2020-12-18 15:58 | Report Abuse

Warren buffet famous Quote: Be greedy when people r fear, Be alert when the market is going too hot and fast. How many time we have seen it happening and we keep repeating same mistake to sell during market fear, to allow others to take advantages of our fear.

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2020-12-18 15:56 | Report Abuse

I will never want to sell at market panic, following those who shout to short or sell, I do not want to be puppet to be influenced by those who shout "buy" or "sell", for thier own interest....

Guys, follow own analysis...do not get affected. Be smart, be wise.

Though on paper loss, I do not want to follow those who shout sell coz they are shouting for own interest.

One thing I will try not to do...Do not sell at market panic, sell when market rebound...same, do not chase too high...

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2020-12-18 15:53 | Report Abuse

If your buying price is lower than now, make own decision to cash out to take profit, or waiting for rebound to cash out at higher price, analyze and study own risk factors...

If your buying price much higher than current price, honestly I am one of them, do you want to sell it to let the price drop further due to market fear, and benefit those who shout to sell, to take your shares at much lower price? I will not do it.

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2020-12-18 15:50 | Report Abuse

Those who keep shouting to sell, they are waiting to buy yours shares at lowest value...and making us all losing money immediately. Do not fall in trap.

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2020-12-18 15:49 | Report Abuse

Sell, or Keep, guys, think carefully. Analyze on own, do not get affected by those who keep shouting to sell, they shout to sell, as they waiting at bottom to buy yours shares.

I do not want to follow their calls, we analyze on own, study own risk, and take own decision, never get affected by those keep shouting to sell.

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2020-12-18 15:21 | Report Abuse

Hi Ruhaizat69, are you sure? Where you find this anouncement? What you mean QR code?

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2020-12-18 13:29 | Report Abuse

If you check what happen in 2008-2009 economy crisis, it showed market rebound came with several ripples and corrections, but most of stocks uprise gradually and the mnomentum got stronger and stronger when situation recovered.

I have the feeling the same market trend happenning now, the market is slowly recovering now...but there will be profit taking, market healthy correction, etc which pull back the rebound occasionally. But surely I am confident gradually the market KLCi is heading upwards.

Only two factors can stop this eventual uprise trend, one is if the Vaccine fails, the second is the shock GE.

If Vaccines failed, there will be a global shock and all related stocks will suffer dip blow, like back in March where market is under extreme fear.

If electric GE is being called, there should be a market pullback until the situation is cleared with who is winning the GE15. But I think GE will come so soon, in fact I think GE will be dragged till the end of the 5 years tenure. The reason is simple, the reigning ministers, PM they would very much want to cling on the power and position, rather than heading to an unknown GE result.

So I would not be too worried with current market healthy correction, so long as there is no severe Vaccine negative news pop up.