I will not hold anything during the break

no matter what the direction, hopefully it is big enough for everyone

looks like Shanghai and HSI are recovering slowly

China trade data is supposed to be bad but both Shanghai and HSI do not drop further

CNY Trade Balance (USD) 32.59B (50.15B expected)
CNY Imports (YoY) -13.8% (-10.0% expected)
CNY Exports (YoY) -25.4% (-12.5% expected)

investing.com

China data at about 11am... so be careful

hmm... let's see if Shanghai is recovering

let's see if 20,000 can hold or not

Shanghai dropping more than 1%

today market is probably like yesterday. It may become more volatile after China announces trade data

as you know, warrants lose value faster when they approach expiry date. How bad is it? Here is an example.

HSI-C14, expiry on 30 March 2016, exercise price 20,200. Assuming HSI future constant at 20,200, and constant Implied Volatility at 31.4%

March 8 RM0.352
March 9 RM0.344
March 10 RM0.336
March 11 RM0.328
March 12 RM0.319
March 13 RM0.311
March 14 RM0.302
March 15 RM0.292
March 16 RM0.283
March 17 RM0.273
March 18 RM0.262
March 19 RM0.252
March 20 RM0.240
March 21 RM0.228
March 22 RM0.215
March 23 RM0.202
March 24 RM0.187
March 25 RM0.171
March 26 RM0.153
March 27 RM0.133
March 28 RM0.109
March 29 RM0.077
March 30 0

HSI-C14 loses about 1 sen a day with 2-3 weeks remaining, and loses about 2-3 sen a day with 1 week remaining. Therefore it is more suitable for intra day trade as it approaches expiry date.

- you can get the info above from
https://www.malaysiawarrants.com.my/tools
- select Tool and Charts menu
- select Warrant Calculator
- enter the name of the warrant in the search box, eg HSI-C14

most markets are stable today. No bad news since last Friday.

looks like HSI get support at 20,100 level and the immediate resistance at 20,200.

I am told China will release trade data tomorrow. Can someone confirm this news?

it says the next rate increase is most likely to be end of the year

according to Briefing .com

https://www.briefing.com/investor/markets/stock-market-update/

Atlanta Fed's GDPNow forecast for the first quarter was raised to 2.2% from 1.9% on March 1.

I think this piece of information is bullish.Still think the uptrend will continue. Good day to buy if market does not jump too high today

according to investing.com

Nonfarm Payrolls 242K (190K expected)

so it's bullish data. Economic is not as bad as feared.

now let's see how Dow Jones reacts to this data. Usually Dow Jones should be up, but it may be down if more people are worry about interest rate hike. Let's see who wins

later today at about 8:30pm, we check US Nonfarm Payrolls data
then we see how Dow Jones react to it
then we see how the oil price ends this week

from now until Monday morning, we have to monitor other news

nothing special, just like how we forecast KLCI. Anyway, most market will move the same way. Usually they up together, and down together.

StingRay, please note that HSI call and put warrants track the HSI future (20,097), and not the actual HSI (ended 20,176). Same as other index warrants.

Wei Jie Yau, what you do is guessing. You better do not guess when you play risky thing like index warrants. You better read the news especially economic data, other market especially the Dow, and look at the chart of HSI.

don't worry if you miss the boat today. When HSI offers opportunity, the seniors will let us know, call or put.

Wei Jie Yau, if you do not know how to read chart, better follow the seniors first

klee, should we keep call warrants for next week?

next time seniors like klee, kakisaham etc. share their views, you better follow

very fierce bull...

You can find some basic information about call and put warrants at the following web site

https://www.malaysiawarrants.com.my/indexdw

our market close at 12:30pm, re-open at 2:30pm. But Hong Kong market close at 12pm, re-open at 1pm. If there is a big move during 1pm-2:30pm before our market open, we can not do anything and only can watch. So there are some traders who will sell everything before our lunch break.

better sell everything before lunch break as we can not act from 1pm-2:30pm

yo-yo again...

you better believe seniors like klee, kakisaham etc.

let's see if 20,000 points can hold or not

still early... let's see if HSI will reverse

Hope someone will find this web site useful

Fear in Greed Index (related to US market)
http://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

There are response from MClean after inquiry from Bursa

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5019061

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5020905

so unfortunate after I bought the shares. Maybe I should try my luck at 4D! Anyway, I will keep them and follow up with the development of this company

but I am afraid Dow and other markets already up so many days, time for them to take rest and this may affect China and Hong Kong.

anyway, I see no clear signal and will stay aside

klee , what is it about EPF?

profit taking started at KLCI

no clear signal so no tips from senior

stable like other markets

already yo-yo up and down, up and down for 2 hours... let's see if it yo-yo down.

HaliaMaduPeng, if you depend only on your six sense and still win big, I respect you.

may I know where you see your chart?

here is mine:
http://www.google.com/finance

Wei Jie Yau, we are not buying call and put warrants based on six sense you know. We read news, look at other markets including out KLCI. Some of use are looking at chart and using technical indicators to help us make decision. It's not buy and sell based on emotion, is based on technical.

Wei Jie Yau, you better believe seniors like klee and kakisaham. They are in call warrant now.

lk059, both have the same exercise ratio (900), you choose the cheaper one with the closest exercise price

most markets in green. Oil stable.

kayyong, what happens? are you not allow to buy those expiring warrants like HSI-C14 and HSI-HQ?

luckyear, call and put warrants are for short term play, can be a few minutes, a few hours, next day, a few days etc. Usually we do not keep until expiry date.

luckyear

You can simulate and play "what=if" scenario, if you want to know at certain index/price, what the price of warrant at certain date.

https://www.malaysiawarrants.com.my/tools?sp=dwsearch

then select Tools and Charts menu and then click Warrant Calculator

looks like HSI dropping