hng33

hng33 | Joined since 2013-01-11

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Stock

2022-06-22 10:54 | Report Abuse

Seem wrong call, instead of setting a floor price for the accumulation phase, Unisem continues break down, downtrend chart, cut.

Wait for better chart to buyback

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2022-06-22 09:27 | Report Abuse

Rest now, eat pop corn, awaiting to be rewarded

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2022-06-21 19:47 | Report Abuse

I alrdy explained earlier about cypark announce 2 week notice extraordinary meeting for sukuk holder, 2 week later, meeting concluded to allow cypark delay COD for both solar and WTE power from end june to end sept. Cyoark share start rebound after sukuk approval secure

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2022-06-21 17:37 | Report Abuse

Tech stock now is in accumulation phase. Need some time before take off.

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2022-06-21 17:17 | Report Abuse

You just check cypark annual report, i think stated in 2018, forgot exact figure though

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2022-06-21 17:16 | Report Abuse

Cypark use to pay dividend annually, to based on 35% net profit ratio. Expect cypark to resume once COD for both solar and WTE.

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2022-06-21 17:14 | Report Abuse

talkc, talk cock, nothing to gain if action did'nt buy at these price level at 41.5sen (although price have recover from low 30sen).

Just take bet now at 41.5sen, what will cypark price level by end of year after COD in Sept. It will be valid competition. I bet cypark to trade above 83sen, just to meet 100% gain, dare you?

if i win, the reward is just simple, said thank you. If lose, i sorry to you. The opposite apply to you

Stock

2022-06-21 16:58 | Report Abuse

Don miss these last opportunity as current level still have a lot of upside, is uptrending stock

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2022-06-21 16:56 | Report Abuse

Market will rush to buyback cypark since CEO reassure COD ready by end Sept

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2022-06-21 16:54 | Report Abuse

For those don't understand concession business model, kindly refer to theedge interview with cypark CEO

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2022-06-21 16:51 | Report Abuse

Its good for cypark to reconfirm COD now end of spt. Well done cypark, on track to recover back

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2022-06-21 15:25 | Report Abuse

IDSS only work if stock on downtrend,
IDSS get backfire when stock on track recovery

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2022-06-21 13:23 | Report Abuse

As long as root cause (power plant) can be resolve, share prices should recover back to level before tumble.

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2022-06-21 13:01 | Report Abuse

Power need series of testing, testing, testing. Its final phase before commercial commissioning.

Lets wait for announcement before end sept

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2022-06-21 12:47 | Report Abuse

Still target first half interim target at 60sen for 100% return.

Final another half balance target at 90sen for 200% return

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2022-06-21 12:41 | Report Abuse

Super recovery, heading up before Q result release.
Hope management can reassure end sept is date for commission IPP for both WTE and solar power

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2022-06-21 11:37 | Report Abuse

Lets breakout 40sen level

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2022-06-20 22:24 | Report Abuse

American 'mid way measure trap' will soon doom Ukraine, ceasefire on track to stop western bleeding induce by oil inflation.

Better monitor closely global development in next 2 month, prolong sustainability in oil and high crack spread in doubt.

However, if indeed still able retain such elevated level by mid Aug, then, only is ripe time to enter cyclical stock like hengyuan before its Q2 result release end of Aug. Stay patience to avoid getting trap now.

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2022-06-20 22:03 | Report Abuse

I believe, crude oil is due correction soon as sanction over Russian oil is only limited to western country, but, global largest oil importer, both China and India actually increase import oil from Russian, reduce oil from Saudi.

The surplus oil vacate from Saudi only need to redirect back to meet western country demand. In short, globally, total supply oil only minimum affected.

Stock

2022-06-20 22:01 | Report Abuse

It's good for entry level at current depress price. Tech stock performance drag down by rate hike which in turn is trigger by inflation, and root cause for current inflation is crude oil. If crude oil alike other commodity, due correction in near future, then inflation pressure may ease off, prompted Fed to scale back rate hike momentum in next meeting, July. If inflation hike start to ease off a little in june and july, Fed could only hike 0.5 instead 0.75, market will rebound then

Stock

2022-06-20 21:45 | Report Abuse

I believe cypark may should trade surpass 40sen ahead of its Q result to be release end month. Share price may trade narrow range up to 60sen before Sept 2022 , a new date Commerical commission for both WTE and LSS2 and LSS3 solar IPP, once COD is confirm, share price should rebound back to above 90sen.

In short, shareholder could expect return of 100% if above 60sen for period july-Aug and return 200% if COD achieved, share price above 90sen after Sept 2020

Stock

2022-06-20 16:03 | Report Abuse

heading to break 40sen

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2022-06-20 14:38 | Report Abuse

buy call at 2.43

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2022-06-20 14:22 | Report Abuse

Answer: Don think testing take so long to complete, but, Since the extension sought is until end Sept 2022, and price tumble already largely reflect these risk, perhaps just hold and wait for management update in coming Q result by end month.

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2022-06-20 12:48 | Report Abuse

Cypark business is concessions, unlike tech stock which trade at high PE can trade above 20x due to growth exponential.

However, the good thing is that concession business allow long term steady profit for 21 year. The only risk is to meet date commission, if delay, risk is high, but if testing completed, commercial commission start, then valuation at least back to above PE 10x

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2022-06-20 12:43 | Report Abuse

Unisem is good proxy gor OSAT booming demand as US-china disintegration will demand double specifications, demand double volume to meet 2 side demand

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2022-06-20 12:41 | Report Abuse

If can rebound back to 90sen, enough for 2x gain alrdy.

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2022-06-20 12:37 | Report Abuse

Bargain price to buy for growths stock

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2022-06-20 12:35 | Report Abuse

Bargain price for growth stock

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2022-06-20 11:50 | Report Abuse

hahaha, use own discretion lol. Just wait and see

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2022-06-20 11:13 | Report Abuse

WTE and solar IPP, both are 21 year concessions. If commission is successful, it is cash cow, share at least can rebound back

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2022-06-20 11:08 | Report Abuse

Just another 3 month delay, at least time for waiting is short enough to cover risk

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2022-06-20 10:52 | Report Abuse

As said, the earlier biggest risk is default payment to sukuk due to delay commission solar IPP and WTE to meet last date set by sukuk end June 2022.

Cypark issue notice of extraordinary meeting to sukuk holder in 26 May, the 2 week notice coincide with rebound cypark share price last friday.

The notice is for sukuk holder to approve reschedule commission date from end June to end Sept 2022 for repayment period delay after Sept 2022 to meet new delay commission date

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2022-06-20 10:47 | Report Abuse

Impossible, instead will recognized higher billing as solar power and WTE which is in final testing are both progressing.

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2022-06-20 10:33 | Report Abuse

The strong momentum is high enough to fend off IDSS. Very soon you will get update from cypark management as Q result will release by end of these month.

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2022-06-20 10:16 | Report Abuse

The greater risk before is default of payment to cypark bond, but, if extraordinary meeting with bond/sukuk holder already approve to reschedule payment term to delay payment term from June to Sept, then, the risk is eliminated totally.

Now, is only for cypark to fulfill new date commission WTE and solar IPP to Sept.

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2022-06-20 10:09 | Report Abuse

I think extraordinary to seek sukuk holder have pass cypark to restructure the term to meet new date commission of WTE and solar power IPP

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2022-06-20 10:06 | Report Abuse

Probability already suffer in supermax, harta, now continue his motive to calculate again in hengyuan. That why he deserve to get backfire after backfire.

As said earlier, to buy cyclical stock, timing is important.

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2022-06-20 10:02 | Report Abuse

Why calculation formula will mislead your judgement ?

becasue the more you calculate to project future profit, the more you fall entrap to these calculated profit.

You will ignore market risk, ignore FA signal, fall in love in your own figure.

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2022-06-20 09:57 | Report Abuse

As said earlier, to buy cyclical stock, timing is important. Just wait patience till Aug to monitor whether oil and crack spread can sustain at elevated level before buyin to reduce holding risk.

A good example is MSC, tin price tumble just 2 week before Q result, despite post good result, but share price cut half from RM 5 to RM 2.5, as market look forward.

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2022-06-20 09:52 | Report Abuse

pity ---->probability

Calculation formula have sent him holland after supermax, harta, now in hengyuan. Never learnt lesson, get backfire

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2022-06-18 15:52 | Report Abuse

Just stay patience if wan to invest in cyclical stock, wait for july and Aug data to monitor oil and crack spread sustainbility to maintain at elevated level before buy in to reduce risk

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2022-06-18 15:50 | Report Abuse

hahaha, no story telling, but is based on factual finding

Calculation formula never correct as it is deal with highly cyclical business model in which profit margin is greatly affected by global commodity price. These kind of formula calculation to estimate future profit are happening in many commodity driven stock like cepat, jtiasa, for crude palm oil, tin for MSC, steel for AYS, hiaptek, aluminium for pmetal etc.

Same alike what happen in glove stock, many calculate ASP to project future profit. Some claim stock already down to pre pandemic level, but share price continue breaking record lower. These is inherited risk for cyclical stock business model.

Predict cyclical business profit even can correct in 1 quarter result, the next quarter result will be total different if commodity price volatile again. Many known that current superbull crude oil and high crack spread cannot last for long period, which is happening now in many commodity price like steel, aluminum, tin, crude palm oil and affect their stock proxy share performance significantly, which in turn may reflect oil proxy future performance if crude and crack spread due correction next.

For investor intend to re enter back hengyuan, capitalize crack spread, need to stay patience. Follow scenarios like what is MSC. Tin price supercycle, but tumbling just 2 week before MSC announce its result. Despite, MSC post good result, but share price cut half from RM 5 to RM 2.5 now.

Therefore, it is best to wait till end August before hengyuan release Q result and monitor whether crack spread still maintenance elevated level.

If crack spread tumble in july - Aug, despite hengyuan report good result, it share will not perform as market look forward.

However, if crude oil and crack spread retain current elevated level for prolong time till Aug, then, time is ripe for investor to re enter back both hengyuan and petronm to enjoy their good Q result and expect next Q result to be better or maintain as prolong high crude and crack spread reduce risk significantly.

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2022-06-18 15:36 | Report Abuse

It is dangerous to chase news, breaking news is always short term nature. The factual is global political leader cannot sustain their local inflation, all effort are put to curb inflation induce by oil. The higher the oil price, the greater policy change to curb oil.

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2022-06-18 15:26 | Report Abuse

Crude oil superbull alway link to recession as crude oil form major part of consumer index, inflation.

Inflation in turn is link to increase interest rate hike.

High interest rate damper economic growth, therefore reduce demand oil.

Low economic growth induce recession. The above is viscous cycle

Bear in mind, currently despite western suction Russian oil, but major oil importer, indian and China are increasing import oil from Russian, at expense to replace Saudi quota. Overall, only marginally reduce in global crude oil supply which can be easily meet by Saudi.

US baiden already on schedule to visit to Saudi to demand output. As long as US biden meet conditional demand by Saudi to support his king succession plan, Saudi render to help biden request. In additional, biden may use his power to incur windfall tax on US refiner, and use the tax income to subsidy US petrol price to bring down inflation ahead of his party year end election

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2022-06-18 14:48 | Report Abuse

Calculation formula never correct as it is deal with highly cyclical business model in which profit margin is greatly affected by global commodity price. These kind of formula calculation to estimate future profit are happening in many commodity driven stock like cepat, jtiasa, for crude palm oil, tin for MSC, steel for AYS, hiaptek, aluminium for pmetal etc.

Predict cyclical business profit even can correct in 1 quarter result, the next quarter result will be total different if commodity price volatile again. Many known that current superbull crude oil and high crack spread cannot last for long period, which is happening now in many commodity price like steel, aluminum, tin, crude palm oil and affect their stock proxy share performance significantly, which in turn may reflect oil proxy future performance if crude and crack spread due correction next.

For investor intend to re enter back hengyuan, capitalize crack spread, need to stay patience. Follow scenarios like what is MSC. Tin price supercycle, but tumbling just 2 week before MSC announce its result. Despite, MSC post good result, but share price cut half from RM 5 to RM 2.5 now.

Therefore, it is best to wait till end August before hengyuan release Q result and monitor whether crack spread still maintenance elevated level.

If crack spread tumble in july - Aug, despite hengyuan report good result, it share will not perform as market look forward.

However, if crude oil and crack spread retain current elevated level for prolong time till Aug, then, time is ripe for investor to re enter back both hengyuan and petronm to enjoy their good Q result and expect next Q result to be better or maintain as prolong high crude and crack spread reduce risk significantly.

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2022-06-18 14:29 | Report Abuse

If WTE concession COD can achieve by Sept 2022, it will be key game changer for cypark.

Stock

2022-06-18 13:45 | Report Abuse

Tech stock is more resilient if compared to cyclical stock.

Tech stock recovery is fast if inflation cen be contain.

Many commodity price now alrdy under correction. Cyclical stock will underperform until next upcycle begin which is generally 5 year to 10 year later.

Unisem OSAT capacity on track to increase by 50% when its third phase expansion in china start commissioning year end.

Unisem OSAT capacity will increase additional 50% capacity when local new plant start commissioning by middle of next year.

Therefore, if everything on track, unisem earning is expect to double by end of next year.

Rising interest rate, lower material price and strengthen USD are good for Unisem as it is in net cash position, export driven business model.

Recent disposal in batam unused plant also to further boost unisem cash hoard and realise net gain RM 135m

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2022-06-18 13:31 | Report Abuse

Tech stock is more resilient if compared to cyclical stock.

Tech stock recovery is fast if inflation cen be contain.

Many commodity price now alrdy under correction. Cyclical stock will underperform until next upcycle begin which is generally 5 year to 10 year later.

Steel, aluminum, tin, gold, palm oil, all under correction. Crude oil superbull is also about to turn back coner as it is trigger by man made crisis, ukraine war against superpower Russian.

For investor intend to re enter back hengyuan, capitalize crack spread, need to stay patience. Follow scenarios like what is MSC. Tin price supercycle, but tumbling just 2 week before MSC announce its result. Despite, MSC post good result, but share price cut half from RM 5 to RM 2.5 now.

Therefore, it is best to wait till end August before hengyuan release Q result and monitor whether crack spread still maintenance elevated level.

If crack spread tumble in july - Aug, despite hengyuan report good result, it share will not perform as market look forward