[CARLSBG] YoY TTM Result on 30-Sep-2008 [#3]

Stock

[CARLSBG] CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA BHD

Announcement Date

29-Oct-2008

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2008

Quarter

30-Sep-2008 [#3]

Profit Trend

QoQ- -3.23%

YoY- 52.28%

Quarter Report

Q3 2008 Interim Report.pdf

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CARLSBG's Result

CARLSBG's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	1,480,445	1,342,497	950,280	958,746	872,425	913,779	911,942	8.40%
YoY %	10.28%	41.27%	-0.88%	9.89%	-4.53%	0.20%	-	-
Horiz. %	162.34%	147.21%	104.20%	105.13%	95.67%	100.20%	100.00%	-
PBT	214,061	163,441	90,002	114,060	74,472	126,327	107,207	12.20%
YoY %	30.97%	81.60%	-21.09%	53.16%	-41.05%	17.83%	-	-
Horiz. %	199.67%	152.45%	83.95%	106.39%	69.47%	117.83%	100.00%	-
Tax	-53,698	-39,673	-24,028	-22,941	-14,637	-31,310	-21,683	16.30%
YoY %	-35.35%	-65.11%	-4.74%	-56.73%	53.25%	-44.40%	-	-
Horiz. %	247.65%	182.97%	110.81%	105.80%	67.50%	144.40%	100.00%	-
NP	160,363	123,768	65,974	91,119	59,835	95,017	85,524	11.04%
YoY %	29.57%	87.60%	-27.60%	52.28%	-37.03%	11.10%	-	-
Horiz. %	187.51%	144.72%	77.14%	106.54%	69.96%	111.10%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	159,306	122,846	65,661	91,119	59,835	95,017	85,524	10.91%
YoY %	29.68%	87.09%	-27.94%	52.28%	-37.03%	11.10%	-	-
Horiz. %	186.27%	143.64%	76.77%	106.54%	69.96%	111.10%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	25.09%	24.27%	26.70%	20.11%	19.65%	24.78%	20.23%	-
YoY %	3.38%	-9.10%	32.77%	2.34%	-20.70%	22.49%	-	-
Horiz. %	124.02%	119.97%	131.98%	99.41%	97.13%	122.49%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	1,320,082	1,218,729	884,306	867,627	812,590	818,762	826,418	8.11%
YoY %	8.32%	37.82%	1.92%	6.77%	-0.75%	-0.93%	-	-
Horiz. %	159.74%	147.47%	107.00%	104.99%	98.33%	99.07%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	605,250	574,740	509,222	470,617	458,593	489,114	480,220	3.93%
YoY %	5.31%	12.87%	8.20%	2.62%	-6.24%	1.85%	-	-
Horiz. %	126.04%	119.68%	106.04%	98.00%	95.50%	101.85%	100.00%	-

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
Dividend
Div	154,615	54,652	23,276	91,899	97,967	91,970	87,884	9.86%
YoY %	182.91%	134.80%	-74.67%	-6.19%	6.52%	4.65%	-	-
Horiz. %	175.93%	62.19%	26.48%	104.57%	111.47%	104.65%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	97.06%	44.49%	35.45%	100.86%	163.73%	96.79%	102.76%	-
YoY %	118.16%	25.50%	-64.85%	-38.40%	69.16%	-5.81%	-	-
Horiz. %	94.45%	43.30%	34.50%	98.15%	159.33%	94.19%	100.00%	-

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	605,250	574,740	509,222	470,617	458,593	489,114	480,220	3.93%
YoY %	5.31%	12.87%	8.20%	2.62%	-6.24%	1.85%	-	-
Horiz. %	126.04%	119.68%	106.04%	98.00%	95.50%	101.85%	100.00%	-
NOSH	305,682	305,713	306,760	305,595	305,729	305,696	305,872	-0.01%
YoY %	-0.01%	-0.34%	0.38%	-0.04%	0.01%	-0.06%	-	-
Horiz. %	99.94%	99.95%	100.29%	99.91%	99.95%	99.94%	100.00%	-

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	10.83%	9.22%	6.94%	9.50%	6.86%	10.40%	9.38%	-
YoY %	17.46%	32.85%	-26.95%	38.48%	-34.04%	10.87%	-	-
Horiz. %	115.46%	98.29%	73.99%	101.28%	73.13%	110.87%	100.00%	-
ROE	26.32%	21.37%	12.89%	19.36%	13.05%	19.43%	17.81%	-
YoY %	23.16%	65.79%	-33.42%	48.35%	-32.84%	9.10%	-	-
Horiz. %	147.78%	119.99%	72.38%	108.70%	73.27%	109.10%	100.00%	-

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	484.31	439.14	309.78	313.73	285.36	298.92	298.14	8.41%
YoY %	10.29%	41.76%	-1.26%	9.94%	-4.54%	0.26%	-	-
Horiz. %	162.44%	147.29%	103.90%	105.23%	95.71%	100.26%	100.00%	-
EPS	52.11	40.18	21.40	29.82	19.57	31.08	27.96	10.92%
YoY %	29.69%	87.76%	-28.24%	52.38%	-37.03%	11.16%	-	-
Horiz. %	186.37%	143.71%	76.54%	106.65%	69.99%	111.16%	100.00%	-
DPS	50.55	18.08	7.60	30.05	32.05	30.08	28.73	9.86%
YoY %	179.59%	137.89%	-74.71%	-6.24%	6.55%	4.70%	-	-
Horiz. %	175.95%	62.93%	26.45%	104.59%	111.56%	104.70%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.98	1.88	1.66	1.54	1.50	1.60	1.57	3.94%
YoY %	5.32%	13.25%	7.79%	2.67%	-6.25%	1.91%	-	-
Horiz. %	126.11%	119.75%	105.73%	98.09%	95.54%	101.91%	100.00%	-

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 305,595
RPS	484.20	439.09	310.80	313.57	285.34	298.87	298.27	8.40%
YoY %	10.27%	41.28%	-0.88%	9.89%	-4.53%	0.20%	-	-
Horiz. %	162.34%	147.21%	104.20%	105.13%	95.67%	100.20%	100.00%	-
EPS	52.10	40.18	21.48	29.80	19.57	31.08	27.97	10.91%
YoY %	29.67%	87.06%	-27.92%	52.27%	-37.03%	11.12%	-	-
Horiz. %	186.27%	143.65%	76.80%	106.54%	69.97%	111.12%	100.00%	-
DPS	50.57	17.88	7.61	30.06	32.04	30.08	28.74	9.87%
YoY %	182.83%	134.95%	-74.68%	-6.18%	6.52%	4.66%	-	-
Horiz. %	175.96%	62.21%	26.48%	104.59%	111.48%	104.66%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.9796	1.8798	1.6655	1.5392	1.4999	1.5997	1.5706	3.93%
YoY %	5.31%	12.87%	8.21%	2.62%	-6.24%	1.85%	-	-
Horiz. %	126.04%	119.69%	106.04%	98.00%	95.50%	101.85%	100.00%	-

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	28/09/07	29/09/06	30/09/05	-
Price	6.45	5.18	4.20	3.86	4.64	5.00	5.30	-
P/RPS	1.33	1.18	1.36	1.23	1.63	1.67	1.78	-4.73%
YoY %	12.71%	-13.24%	10.57%	-24.54%	-2.40%	-6.18%	-	-
Horiz. %	74.72%	66.29%	76.40%	69.10%	91.57%	93.82%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	12.38	12.89	19.62	12.95	23.71	16.09	18.96	-6.85%
YoY %	-3.96%	-34.30%	51.51%	-45.38%	47.36%	-15.14%	-	-
Horiz. %	65.30%	67.99%	103.48%	68.30%	125.05%	84.86%	100.00%	-
EY	8.08	7.76	5.10	7.72	4.22	6.22	5.28	7.34%
YoY %	4.12%	52.16%	-33.94%	82.94%	-32.15%	17.80%	-	-
Horiz. %	153.03%	146.97%	96.59%	146.21%	79.92%	117.80%	100.00%	-
DY	7.84	3.49	1.81	7.78	6.91	6.02	5.42	6.34%
YoY %	124.64%	92.82%	-76.74%	12.59%	14.78%	11.07%	-	-
Horiz. %	144.65%	64.39%	33.39%	143.54%	127.49%	111.07%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	3.26	2.76	2.53	2.51	3.09	3.13	3.38	-0.60%
YoY %	18.12%	9.09%	0.80%	-18.77%	-1.28%	-7.40%	-	-
Horiz. %	96.45%	81.66%	74.85%	74.26%	91.42%	92.60%	100.00%	-

	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	30/09/05	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	15/11/11	11/11/10	26/11/09	29/10/08	21/11/07	24/11/06	24/11/05	-
Price	7.05	5.85	4.40	3.36	4.38	5.20	5.20	-
P/RPS	1.46	1.33	1.42	1.07	1.53	1.74	1.74	-2.88%
YoY %	9.77%	-6.34%	32.71%	-30.07%	-12.07%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	83.91%	76.44%	81.61%	61.49%	87.93%	100.00%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	13.53	14.56	20.56	11.27	22.38	16.73	18.60	-5.16%
YoY %	-7.07%	-29.18%	82.43%	-49.64%	33.77%	-10.05%	-	-
Horiz. %	72.74%	78.28%	110.54%	60.59%	120.32%	89.95%	100.00%	-
EY	7.39	6.87	4.86	8.87	4.47	5.98	5.38	5.43%
YoY %	7.57%	41.36%	-45.21%	98.43%	-25.25%	11.15%	-	-
Horiz. %	137.36%	127.70%	90.33%	164.87%	83.09%	111.15%	100.00%	-
DY	7.17	3.09	1.73	8.94	7.32	5.78	5.53	4.42%
YoY %	132.04%	78.61%	-80.65%	22.13%	26.64%	4.52%	-	-
Horiz. %	129.66%	55.88%	31.28%	161.66%	132.37%	104.52%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	3.56	3.11	2.65	2.18	2.92	3.25	3.31	1.22%
YoY %	14.47%	17.36%	21.56%	-25.34%	-10.15%	-1.81%	-	-
Horiz. %	107.55%	93.96%	80.06%	65.86%	88.22%	98.19%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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