[CARLSBG] YoY TTM Result on 30-Sep-2009 [#3]

Stock

[CARLSBG] CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA BHD

Announcement Date

26-Nov-2009

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2009

Quarter

30-Sep-2009 [#3]

Profit Trend

QoQ- -2.69%

YoY- -27.94%

Quarter Report

Q3 2009 Interim Report (2).pdf

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CARLSBG's Result

CARLSBG's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	1,583,254	1,480,445	1,342,497	950,280	958,746	872,425	913,779	9.58%
YoY %	6.94%	10.28%	41.27%	-0.88%	9.89%	-4.53%	-	-
Horiz. %	173.26%	162.01%	146.92%	103.99%	104.92%	95.47%	100.00%	-
PBT	242,707	214,061	163,441	90,002	114,060	74,472	126,327	11.48%
YoY %	13.38%	30.97%	81.60%	-21.09%	53.16%	-41.05%	-	-
Horiz. %	192.13%	169.45%	129.38%	71.25%	90.29%	58.95%	100.00%	-
Tax	-51,945	-53,698	-39,673	-24,028	-22,941	-14,637	-31,310	8.79%
YoY %	3.26%	-35.35%	-65.11%	-4.74%	-56.73%	53.25%	-	-
Horiz. %	165.91%	171.50%	126.71%	76.74%	73.27%	46.75%	100.00%	-
NP	190,762	160,363	123,768	65,974	91,119	59,835	95,017	12.30%
YoY %	18.96%	29.57%	87.60%	-27.60%	52.28%	-37.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	200.77%	168.77%	130.26%	69.43%	95.90%	62.97%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	188,512	159,306	122,846	65,661	91,119	59,835	95,017	12.08%
YoY %	18.33%	29.68%	87.09%	-27.94%	52.28%	-37.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	198.40%	167.66%	129.29%	69.10%	95.90%	62.97%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	21.40%	25.09%	24.27%	26.70%	20.11%	19.65%	24.78%	-
YoY %	-14.71%	3.38%	-9.10%	32.77%	2.34%	-20.70%	-	-
Horiz. %	86.36%	101.25%	97.94%	107.75%	81.15%	79.30%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	1,392,492	1,320,082	1,218,729	884,306	867,627	812,590	818,762	9.24%
YoY %	5.49%	8.32%	37.82%	1.92%	6.77%	-0.75%	-	-
Horiz. %	170.07%	161.23%	148.85%	108.01%	105.97%	99.25%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	281,288	605,250	574,740	509,222	470,617	458,593	489,114	-8.80%
YoY %	-53.53%	5.31%	12.87%	8.20%	2.62%	-6.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	57.51%	123.74%	117.51%	104.11%	96.22%	93.76%	100.00%	-

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
Dividend
Div	206,458	154,615	54,652	23,276	91,899	97,967	91,970	14.41%
YoY %	33.53%	182.91%	134.80%	-74.67%	-6.19%	6.52%	-	-
Horiz. %	224.48%	168.11%	59.42%	25.31%	99.92%	106.52%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	109.52%	97.06%	44.49%	35.45%	100.86%	163.73%	96.79%	-
YoY %	12.84%	118.16%	25.50%	-64.85%	-38.40%	69.16%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.15%	100.28%	45.97%	36.63%	104.20%	169.16%	100.00%	-

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	281,288	605,250	574,740	509,222	470,617	458,593	489,114	-8.80%
YoY %	-53.53%	5.31%	12.87%	8.20%	2.62%	-6.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	57.51%	123.74%	117.51%	104.11%	96.22%	93.76%	100.00%	-
NOSH	305,748	305,682	305,713	306,760	305,595	305,729	305,696	0.00%
YoY %	0.02%	-0.01%	-0.34%	0.38%	-0.04%	0.01%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.02%	100.00%	100.01%	100.35%	99.97%	100.01%	100.00%	-

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	12.05%	10.83%	9.22%	6.94%	9.50%	6.86%	10.40%	-
YoY %	11.27%	17.46%	32.85%	-26.95%	38.48%	-34.04%	-	-
Horiz. %	115.87%	104.13%	88.65%	66.73%	91.35%	65.96%	100.00%	-
ROE	67.02%	26.32%	21.37%	12.89%	19.36%	13.05%	19.43%	-
YoY %	154.64%	23.16%	65.79%	-33.42%	48.35%	-32.84%	-	-
Horiz. %	344.93%	135.46%	109.98%	66.34%	99.64%	67.16%	100.00%	-

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	517.83	484.31	439.14	309.78	313.73	285.36	298.92	9.58%
YoY %	6.92%	10.29%	41.76%	-1.26%	9.94%	-4.54%	-	-
Horiz. %	173.23%	162.02%	146.91%	103.63%	104.95%	95.46%	100.00%	-
EPS	61.66	52.11	40.18	21.40	29.82	19.57	31.08	12.08%
YoY %	18.33%	29.69%	87.76%	-28.24%	52.38%	-37.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	198.39%	167.66%	129.28%	68.85%	95.95%	62.97%	100.00%	-
DPS	67.55	50.55	18.08	7.60	30.05	32.05	30.08	14.42%
YoY %	33.63%	179.59%	137.89%	-74.71%	-6.24%	6.55%	-	-
Horiz. %	224.57%	168.05%	60.11%	25.27%	99.90%	106.55%	100.00%	-
NAPS	0.92	1.98	1.88	1.66	1.54	1.50	1.60	-8.80%
YoY %	-53.54%	5.32%	13.25%	7.79%	2.67%	-6.25%	-	-
Horiz. %	57.50%	123.75%	117.50%	103.75%	96.25%	93.75%	100.00%	-

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 306,760
RPS	517.83	484.20	439.09	310.80	313.57	285.34	298.87	9.58%
YoY %	6.95%	10.27%	41.28%	-0.88%	9.89%	-4.53%	-	-
Horiz. %	173.26%	162.01%	146.92%	103.99%	104.92%	95.47%	100.00%	-
EPS	61.66	52.10	40.18	21.48	29.80	19.57	31.08	12.08%
YoY %	18.35%	29.67%	87.06%	-27.92%	52.27%	-37.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	198.39%	167.63%	129.28%	69.11%	95.88%	62.97%	100.00%	-
DPS	67.55	50.57	17.88	7.61	30.06	32.04	30.08	14.42%
YoY %	33.58%	182.83%	134.95%	-74.68%	-6.18%	6.52%	-	-
Horiz. %	224.57%	168.12%	59.44%	25.30%	99.93%	106.52%	100.00%	-
NAPS	0.92	1.9796	1.8798	1.6655	1.5392	1.4999	1.5997	-8.80%
YoY %	-53.53%	5.31%	12.87%	8.21%	2.62%	-6.24%	-	-
Horiz. %	57.51%	123.75%	117.51%	104.11%	96.22%	93.76%	100.00%	-

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	28/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	28/09/07	29/09/06	-
Price	11.50	6.45	5.18	4.20	3.86	4.64	5.00	-
P/RPS	2.22	1.33	1.18	1.36	1.23	1.63	1.67	4.85%
YoY %	66.92%	12.71%	-13.24%	10.57%	-24.54%	-2.40%	-	-
Horiz. %	132.93%	79.64%	70.66%	81.44%	73.65%	97.60%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	18.65	12.38	12.89	19.62	12.95	23.71	16.09	2.48%
YoY %	50.65%	-3.96%	-34.30%	51.51%	-45.38%	47.36%	-	-
Horiz. %	115.91%	76.94%	80.11%	121.94%	80.48%	147.36%	100.00%	-
EY	5.36	8.08	7.76	5.10	7.72	4.22	6.22	-2.44%
YoY %	-33.66%	4.12%	52.16%	-33.94%	82.94%	-32.15%	-	-
Horiz. %	86.17%	129.90%	124.76%	81.99%	124.12%	67.85%	100.00%	-
DY	5.87	7.84	3.49	1.81	7.78	6.91	6.02	-0.41%
YoY %	-25.13%	124.64%	92.82%	-76.74%	12.59%	14.78%	-	-
Horiz. %	97.51%	130.23%	57.97%	30.07%	129.24%	114.78%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	12.50	3.26	2.76	2.53	2.51	3.09	3.13	25.93%
YoY %	283.44%	18.12%	9.09%	0.80%	-18.77%	-1.28%	-	-
Horiz. %	399.36%	104.15%	88.18%	80.83%	80.19%	98.72%	100.00%	-

	30/09/12	30/09/11	30/09/10	30/09/09	30/09/08	30/09/07	30/09/06	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	29/11/12	15/11/11	11/11/10	26/11/09	29/10/08	21/11/07	24/11/06	-
Price	12.30	7.05	5.85	4.40	3.36	4.38	5.20	-
P/RPS	2.38	1.46	1.33	1.42	1.07	1.53	1.74	5.35%
YoY %	63.01%	9.77%	-6.34%	32.71%	-30.07%	-12.07%	-	-
Horiz. %	136.78%	83.91%	76.44%	81.61%	61.49%	87.93%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	19.95	13.53	14.56	20.56	11.27	22.38	16.73	2.97%
YoY %	47.45%	-7.07%	-29.18%	82.43%	-49.64%	33.77%	-	-
Horiz. %	119.25%	80.87%	87.03%	122.89%	67.36%	133.77%	100.00%	-
EY	5.01	7.39	6.87	4.86	8.87	4.47	5.98	-2.90%
YoY %	-32.21%	7.57%	41.36%	-45.21%	98.43%	-25.25%	-	-
Horiz. %	83.78%	123.58%	114.88%	81.27%	148.33%	74.75%	100.00%	-
DY	5.49	7.17	3.09	1.73	8.94	7.32	5.78	-0.85%
YoY %	-23.43%	132.04%	78.61%	-80.65%	22.13%	26.64%	-	-
Horiz. %	94.98%	124.05%	53.46%	29.93%	154.67%	126.64%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	13.37	3.56	3.11	2.65	2.18	2.92	3.25	26.55%
YoY %	275.56%	14.47%	17.36%	21.56%	-25.34%	-10.15%	-	-
Horiz. %	411.38%	109.54%	95.69%	81.54%	67.08%	89.85%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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