Thanks for the analysis. I'm watching this counter closely - *looks* like it's going up but I'm going to do what you say and wait a bit (although I'm itching to buy at this very moment).
i would say already "IN" the beginning of the crushed market. Look, thought index stay at history high 1600++ but most of the share prices are not. In fact, it was dropping gradually in the last 2 months....However, you will never know what's gonna happen tomorrow, it is only prediction...and happy trading !!
Buying counters perceived as "Umno & BN-connected" now would also be a bet that they will do better in the next GE as compared to 2008. Regardless of one's political inclinations, I'd say it would be better for us to think about *ourselves*, selfish as it may seem. If we can benefit financially from something, I say why not?
I have the feeling Umno and BN are going to do better in the coming GE, so part of my portfolio will definitely have counters like MRCB - and especially when it is selling at significantly below 2.00. In my opinion, at current prices, one is bound to make a profit "sooner or later". The million ringgit question is WHEN to buy to get the biggest bang for the buck. If only we really know the answer.
Technical analyses and charts etc. are definitely useful. However, they are just tools which may or may not be correct. Often, prices don't go up or down in a straight line and the analysis of charts and statistics can result in distortion and multiple interpretations by different people. Sometimes, the price has gone significantly higher already before an upward movement becomes clear.
As such, we as individuals will have to also rely on our own judgement and this includes old-fashioned experience, common sense and whatever gut feeling that we may have, unscientific and un-technical that it is.
Anyway, my own strategy is this: I'm buying a certain percentage of my budget now while holding the rest. If it goes lower, I'll buy some more. If an upward trend looks convincing enough, then all the money goes in. This way I'll get something if it does go up suddenly while still having some capital in hand in case it goes south.
Gajah: The RRI land (if MRCB does get its share) will definitely boost the price. But I think the Eastern Dispersal Link (EDL) in Johor Baru might be an even bigger boost. This is already completed - the problem is the uncertainty about toll collections. But whatever, MRCB is fully covered here. Tak kan kerajaan nak buat aniaya kat MRCB!? It shouldn't be too long before something is announced about this - the CEO had said "in May".
Local institutions (most of the govt linked) are net seller's, foreigners are net buyers...go figure. I think we might as well pack and migrate to Singapore or HK.
that why local is looser.. foreigner buy when it dip.. when price go up, local buy, then foreigner cabut.. they untung, n local at high.. cut loss here n there..
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Mat Cendana
2,340 posts
Posted by Mat Cendana > 2012-04-18 08:35 | Report Abuse
Thanks for the analysis. I'm watching this counter closely - *looks* like it's going up but I'm going to do what you say and wait a bit (although I'm itching to buy at this very moment).