Pensonic are technically sound above all the counter that has Tootootplane2016 made. Looki at his call; kesm, bornoil,...all masuk Longkang. Pong Pong Pong should go hide in her cave. Don't disgrace yourself here.
panasonic=toyota camry pensonic=honda city i am wondering can we compared camry and city directly while ignore the price different?or can we simply concluded demand for city should lower then camry,just because quality of camry is better? target market is totally different man. if wanna goes for premier brand and quality,then go for CORNELL,which also own by pensonic and comparable with panasonic.
PE Ratio - The PE might goes up slightly but I doubt it will hit 9-10. Look it this way, this company has been making a return below cost of capital for a decade, would any investor ascribe it a higher PE because the ROE has improve just for a year? Let's see why the ROE improves to find out how real it is.
ROE - ROE is made up of margin, turnover and leverage. Leverage and turnover yoy remain pretty much the same with some improvement. So the focus is on margin. Operating margin is 1.5%. Oh but net profit margin jumped to 4% from 0.77% in 2014. Throw in high leverage, you can see why ROE rocket from 3% to 17%. But where do their get that high margin? it's not from their core business but from 'other profit' namely forex gain of 16 mil.
Dividend - For a company to distribute dividend, it has to come from somewhere, something has to give, in this case book value. Dividend reduce book value. And for a company that cannot earn more than cost of capital, it is destined to sell below book value. So if book value doesnt grow, which is the case of Pensonic ($0.7 in 2006 to $0.75 in 2016), it doesnt really matter how much dividend yield there is, you are going to 'lose money' in the long term.
Now i know why certain ppl keep losing money. Cant see the tree and the wood. Thts why so msny noobies being lured by some fantastic report and so promising forecast like 170% upside, sapu now etc. Sell car, sell house, sell wife, sell sons and all in!
By the way, remind u all, if tht person not licensed or wualify and make statements on investment recommendations like con con did,, he should get ready to be sued.! A person can be sued by providing wrong analyses openly.
The result is not unexpected. Looking back at the key ratio over the years, they have been rather poor. Thin NP Margin, Low ROE, Poor and inconsistent FCF, Low EY, etc. They may have been doing better in 2015, but one year of improvement is not sufficient enough to proof anything yet.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SuperMan 99
1,178 posts
Posted by SuperMan 99 > 2016-04-13 18:54 | Report Abuse
My first target price for Pensonic => RM0.77 (13% upside from today close price RM0.68)
PE ratio @ 10 times 0.97 43%
PE ratio @ 9 times 0.87 28%
PE ratio @ 8 times 0.77 13%