those are good questions to ask but just too convoluted in presentation. essentially, it's asking the 5 questions. it would be easier to the eyes and thought process if you lay it out in horizontal or vertical presentation. if yes then proceed right or down to the next question, if no then chuck it to the bottom or the side (don't buy)
or alternatively if you prefer thinking in circles, it is also possible.
decision tree is supposed to be as simple as possible. this could be a reflection of your current state of mind. my suggestion is don't overcomplicate things when it can be straightforward. many great minds often opt for complex solutions and get confused when there's more logical and intuitive alternatives.
thanks for the feedback. It is a 3rd to 4th draft that needs more draft to refine it, so no, not a reflection of my mind, just a progression of my mind.
Perhaps people does get confused by those twist and turn arrows, if that is what you mean by 'complex' and 'confused'.
My decision tree would be slightly different in the sense that even if the idea does not beat the best idea I have I may still buy it if there is sufficient margin of safety. If it is the best idea I have, I may weight it higher. I prefer to diversify.
Decision tree for veteran: 1. Is the cold eye got buy? Yes go to 2, No don't buy 2. Is the stock very hot recently? Yes go to 3, No don't buy 3. Is the next quarterly result is coming out soon? Yes go to 4, No don't buy 4. Buy
:)
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