why I dare not touch parkson, 1)post hefty losses 2)excessive speculation drop from RM 10. from the past we seen repco,cp bhd,union paper,kpsd and many more excessive speculation stocks from heroes become zeros
parkson is unable to compete against e-commerce or brick-and-mortar chinese malls.
now with this us-china trade war, chinese consumption on non-essentials will be cut.
so where is the growth for parkson????
Posted by apolloang > Oct 16, 2018 12:08 AM | Report Abuse
why I dare not touch parkson, 1)post hefty losses 2)excessive speculation drop from RM 10. from the past we seen repco,cp bhd,union paper,kpsd and many more excessive speculation stocks from heroes become zeros
they call themselves value investors...its just marketing...in reality, its hang pig head sell dog meat.
I like people who goes for quality, focus on quality stuffs. ....like buying Rolex watches, a bit more expensive, its ok....or buying quality paintings, a bit more expensive, never mind one.....one day will trade higher.....
look at your tests...if u find one that meets the tests, it is not likely to be a famous company.....not likely to be a quality company....not likely to be company that has a good reputation.....
Buffet began as a student of Benjamin Graham, who taught an emphasis on buying cheap stocks relative to net assets and book value, holding them until their intrinsic values were reflected in market price, and then selling the stocks before moving on to other stocks with similar characteristics. The influence of Buffett's partner, Charlie Munger, tossed this mindset to the side and Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio has never been the same.
tossed aside by their hero yet people still think their value investing is to the way to go......
In my many years of investing, my long term returns have been mainly from growth investing rather than value investing.
As I have mentioned before, growth and value investing are 2 sides of the same coin of value investing.
In value investing, you are foraging in the rubbish dump looking for gems. Sometime you are lucky.
In growth investing, you are looking for great companies with long term growth prospects of many years into the future. Your risk is you made mistakes in projecting their growth too high and overpaying to own them.
Over the long years of my investing growth investing has rewarded me hugely. The compounding in the later years is truly big.
Also, you can hold these great companies for a long time, selling only rarely.
if u buy stock for its asset. when will your money materialize.
could be 10 years, 20 years. it could be forever. your asset could be growing in value but you couldnt materialize your equity. or your asset could be depreciating until nothing is left like in parkson case.
Parkson dominates the Malaysian retail malls in the 80s and 90s..
It was an early mover in the China “virgin” market 2 decades ago.
The retail sector and the business of the malls are facing a lot of challenges.
These challenges are well known to us all and come from many fronts.
Essentially the business of Parkson has changed and deteriorated over the last decade.
Can a phoenix rise up from the ashes?
Or will Parkson be a gruesome company going forward for many years to come?
It is also a capital intensive business.
Well, what should a smart investor do?
Value investors may think that Parkson at its present price is undervalued. They become perplexed when it becomes more “undervalued”.
Remember, turnarounds rarely turns successfully; and it can take a very long time. Sears was mentioned in this forum already. There are also many other examples: Woolworth etc.
Maybe Parkson is worth more dead than alive today, given its price is at a steep discount to its NTA. But when will the investor be able to realised this return. What are your exit strategies in holding or buying Parkson today?
padini was smart in selling off its manufacturing and concentrating on the design plus retail capability.
all their clothes r designed here and contracted to chinese makers.
if u talk to the management of padini and well-versed with the industry, why not????
Posted by 3iii > Oct 16, 2018 11:52 AM | Report Abuse
Padini
Padini was known by another name before. The apparel business suffered greatly with the emergence of China in the 80s and 90s. It closed down its manufacturing arm and turned itself into a trading company sourcing its products cheaply from China and now from other neighbouring countries too.
Padini is homegrown and interestingly has captured a good share of its market locally. It faces a lot challenges expanding overseas which so far has been lacklustre bordering on unimpressive.
Its concept stores are able to compete with the bigger retailers so far. It carries some of its own grown popular brands and is able to price its products competitively.
Introducing the Brand outlets was a brilliant move by the management. With its concept stores and the Brand outlets , Padini have been able to penetrate our local markets quite effectively and successfully.
Growth comes from scaling their stores to the other towns in Malaysia.
It’s balance sheet is excellent and it is growing organically.
Did you identify Padini during its early growth phases?
investing dynamics has changed. you cannot just use buy and hold strategy. look at Bonia , Jerasia all hit by high mall rentals and stiff internet competition.
China home grow " tao bao " is rank number one favourite among China's consumers ( not counting new malls and centres in all their suburbs ) . PRG facing margins on all fronts. this is no longer 80's or 90's period
but luckily many still think like in the 80s and 90s, jonathan
or else how to sell them dead stocks like parkson or bonia????
lol..........
Posted by Jonathan Keung > Oct 16, 2018 12:01 PM | Report Abuse
investing dynamics has changed. you cannot just use buy and hold strategy. look at Bonia , Jerasia all hit by high mall rentals and stiff internet competition.
China home grow " tao bao " is rank number one favourite among China's consumers ( not counting new malls and centres in all their suburbs ) . PRG facing margins on all fronts. this is no longer 80's or 90's period
Posted by Jonathan Keung > Oct 16, 2018 12:01 PM | Report Abuse
investing dynamics has changed. you cannot just use buy and hold strategy. look at Bonia , Jerasia all hit by high mall rentals and stiff internet competition.
China home grow " tao bao " is rank number one favourite among China's consumers ( not counting new malls and centres in all their suburbs ) . PRG facing margins on all fronts. this is no longer 80's or 90's peri ___________________________________________________
u can hold as long u are the best in the niche. once u are not the best. then its time to sell
without prejudice - just my personal take. Padini and PRG in different fields. Padini more focus on fashion brand whereas PRG still working on big mall concepts. Both are hit by rising rentals but Padini is home based unlike PRG on China. China rentals has spiral upwards hitting PRG bottom lines. easier to shut the smaller stores ( if they are not performing ) unlike having signing up big floor space at Malls
the professional term will be anchor tenant for parkson instead of using the term big mall concept. big mall concept is used for mall owners and parkson is not a mall operator/owner.
my take is slightly different from u.
parkson is still operating like a 1980s departmental store, thats why it is unable to compete. so where/what is parkson's niche????
aeon is into mall management, giant focuses on being a hypermart grocer while isetan is reowned for its high quality merchandise and groceries.
Posted by Jonathan Keung > Oct 16, 2018 12:24 PM | Report Abuse
without prejudice - just my personal take. Padini and PRG in different fields. Padini more focus on fashion brand whereas PRG still working on big mall concepts. Both are hit by rising rentals but Padini is home based unlike PRG on China. China rentals has spiral upwards hitting PRG bottom lines. easier to shut the smaller stores ( if they are not performing ) unlike having signing up big floor space at Malls
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
apolloang
18,163 posts
Posted by apolloang > 2018-10-16 00:08 | Report Abuse
why I dare not touch parkson,
1)post hefty losses
2)excessive speculation drop from RM 10.
from the past we seen repco,cp bhd,union paper,kpsd and many more excessive speculation stocks from heroes become zeros