I don't buy Subur, but what I know is most of the Company's borrowing are revolving credit, banker acceptance (around 90%) which can be rolled over the year. Unless the bank request to pay back the money immediately, I don' think any right issue or private placement in short term. Another way is they can restructure their short term debts to long term debts like Jaya Tiasa last year.
I couldn't agree more with the opinion of the writer...I too have analysed Subur's financial statements a couple of times and not comfortable with their debt level especially their current liabilities...there's certainly a gross mismatch between its share price and debt obligation...very ominous indeed!
KC, good analysis and well written! Agree with you that while there are so many other undervalued stocks with much stronger balance sheets and assets, why bother to look at Subur that may go into bankruptcy if palm oil prices drop back to pre-pandemic levels?
I don't buy Subur, but what I know is most of the Company's borrowing are revolving credit, banker acceptance (around 90%) which can be rolled over the year. Unless the bank request to pay back the money immediately, I don' think any right issue or private placement in short term. Another way is they can restructure their short term debts to long term debts like Jaya Tiasa last year.
Thanks CT for your comments. You are right. The short-term loans for Subur is from the revolving credit which the company can keep on using as long as it is below the approved limit. With palm oil prices at elevated level, Subur should have the cash to replenish the RC. However, a loan is still a loan and need to pay back. If palm oil price continues to be good, no problem. The problem will come if palm oil price goes down and the company does not earn enough to pay interest for the loan. Also if there is a financial crisis or economic crisis and the banks insist Subur to pay back the loans.
Also a loan is a loan. The total amount of loans taken is huge and affecting the liquidity and solvency risks. That is also why the adverse unmodified statement by the external auditor was given.
Posted by qqq3333 > 1 hour ago | Report Abuse Want some pocket money? Buy some Serba. Yesterday just 1 day too early
In just 2 days, your recommendation to punt Serba resulted a loss of a whopping 50%! Oh my God! You never learn. Here is a free advice again. Treat buying a stock as investing in a business. Then your fortune may change.
@qqq3333 you are an experienced trader. You know very well that nobody can time the market. Will you still buy Serbadk at 12 sen now? I won't.
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Posted by CT > 2022-05-08 22:50 | Report Abuse
I don't buy Subur, but what I know is most of the Company's borrowing are revolving credit, banker acceptance (around 90%) which can be rolled over the year. Unless the bank request to pay back the money immediately, I don' think any right issue or private placement in short term. Another way is they can restructure their short term debts to long term debts like Jaya Tiasa last year.