Be the first to like this.

2 comment(s). Last comment by Ooi Teik Bee 2013-08-14 07:47

anbz

5,163 posts

Posted by anbz > 2013-05-29 11:15 | Report Abuse

wow financial latest results 18.39 sen per share !!! not wonder up like crazy ...like it's a RM 2 counter ..really undervalued

Ooi Teik Bee

11,177 posts

Posted by Ooi Teik Bee > 2013-07-12 10:00 | Report Abuse

Dear valued members,

It is not a recommendation to buy, I just want to show you the Intrinsic value of this stock (MTDACPI). This analysis was done when the price was at 0.545.

MTDACPI IV Calculation

Total Net Profit Years 2/10

Total Positive Operating Cash flow Years 5/10

Total Dividend Payout Years 10/10

Total Positive free Cash flow Year 5/10
22/40
Growth%
10 Years Average Turn Over 511281
Latest 4 quarters 258241 -49.49%

10 Years Average Net Profit -33273
Latest 4 quarters 36705

2011 2012 2013 Growth%
EPS -7 -14.00 15.85
PER -7.79 -3.89 3.44
ROE 0 0 18.17
NTA 0.84 0.73 0.87 19.18%
D'dend 1 1

2011 2012 2013
Net Profit -15024 -31797 36705
Total equity 183710 155078 201982
ROE -8.18% -20.50% 18.17%

Price CAGR % (Buy and Hold)
Average Return History -6.72%
3 yrs Return 6.96%

Method 1
EPS 0.16
g 10.00
Y 7.0
IV= (EPS*(8.5+1.5g)*4.4)/Y 2.34
Current price 0.545
Margin of Safety 76.72%
Potential gain 329.59%

Method 2
Discounted Cash Flows Calculator
Discount rate 12.00%
EPS 0.16
Earning expected to grow (annually) 10.0
for the next (? Years) 3.0
before leveling off to an annual growth 3.00
Calculate Stock Value per share 2.20
Current price 0.545
Margin of Safety 75.23%
Potential gain 303.67%

Method 3
ROE 18.17%
Rr 8.00%
NTA 0.87
IV= ROE/ Rr*NTA 1.98
Current Price 0.545
Margin of Safety 72.42%
Potential gain 262.57%

Method 4
(22.5*EPS*Book value per share)^0.5
EPS 0.16
Total equity 201982
Number of shares 231633
(22.5*EPS*Total Equity/share)^0.5 1.76
Current price 0.545
Margin of Safety 69.09%
Potential gain 223.57%

Conclusion
If the price of MTDACPI is 1.76, potential gain is 224%

Thank you.
Ooi

Post a Comment
Market Buzz