Case by case first. Confirmed news is rm400mil n based on wat icon8888 informs, 1.30 is good enough to ensure tmr gap up. So wave 3 tp1=76 is easily hit tmr n extension lagi can go above 80c. Sorry im blind in fa n i trade totally based on chart. Let pray for the best.
Hi guys!! Any1 did follow my call to all in today..just b4 lunch sure win redi.. Hehe.. Optimus yes u r right.. This share is soo much undervalued compare their land banks values.. Are guys ready for Limit up tomorow?? Lets do it together!!
As per the announcement, the Net Asset subsequent to the disposal is equivalent to RM0.92 and you have a clean company with around RM30m cash with almost zero borrowings. This is just the tip of the iceberg....
Based on the company's 2012 Annual Report, its 80,000 hectares of plantation land in Indonesia is only valued at RM67m in its books, which currently contributes about only 0.18/share.
(i) Quoting an article from theStar published on 15 Feb 2014, "Costs have risen for agricultural leasehold land from US$1,400 to US$1,800 per hectare in some provinces (in Indonesia)". Being on the very conservative side and take US$ 1,600 (approx RM5,300 per ha), the disposal of the Indonesian land (if go through) should worth approx RM424 million or about RM1.14/share,
Translating to an NTA of approx RM1.89!
(ii) In fact, if using the numbers in the article published on NST on 6 Feb, they could probably sell the land for as much as US$200 million to the right buyer. Using this valuation, the land is worth RM1.77/share,
Translating to an NTA of approx RM2.52!
While this disposal to 1MDB is very likely to proceed without much hiccups, there is still a 1.5 year period to complete the disposal. Putting a time discount of 8% to the NTA of RM0.92 = approx RM0.845 (my 1st TP for the next few trading days)
Thereafter, using the average of my 2 scenarios for the disposal of Indonesia 80,000 ha land, would translate to a NTA of RM2.20. Applying a 30% discount for the possibility of the deal not materialising or taking longer than expected, I arrive at my 2nd TP at RM1.54 probably in 3-6 months time.
I believe there is much more room to go up, and should be able to reach 0.845 in the next few trading days. For those who missed the boat, there should be some selling pressure from days traders who would "sell on news",so hopefully you guys can come onboard soon!
Morning bro optimus, dont miss a golden opportunity, let make it happens. Once dust is settled down, i will tambah kaw kaw so long i can clear other ctrs first. It is in w3 impulsive n price can go high to hit above 90c.
I think the land deal is not so attractive to investors. Almost 80% of the proceed goes to repay bank borrowings. Working cap only RM50Million and No capital repayment propose.
Yesterday huge vol n let dust settle down first, my 2s is it will move upwards but not this few days. Support at 56c from what i m looking today. I believe this w3 has not ended yet. Trade at own risk. Good luck comrades. My tp 70-76.
As bro nagachan pointed out, investors prob not satisfied that 80% of proceeds are used to repay bank borrowings...and some may be thinking that the rumoured RM1 billion land deal why now only RM317 million???
These two are separate land deals. This disposal itself will leave the company very close to zero borrowings and still sitting on the 80,000 hectares land in Indonesia, which is the true jewel of TADMAX.
But I've gotta thank all the short-sighted traders who sold off today,otherwise I would not have the opportunity to to collect more at 0.57 :)
Come HUAT together!
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Posted by CityTrader > 2014-02-20 22:12 | Report Abuse
Case by case first. Confirmed news is rm400mil n based on wat icon8888 informs, 1.30 is good enough to ensure tmr gap up. So wave 3 tp1=76 is easily hit tmr n extension lagi can go above 80c. Sorry im blind in fa n i trade totally based on chart. Let pray for the best.