Agreed with tvz32. Increasing gold price means higher raw material cost for the company, hence squeezing their profit margin. If they're able to pass the cost to consumer, then increase in their product price will lead to lower demand, and in turn reduce their sales & profit. So the increase in gold price has no practical benefit for the company. Insiders know this, that's why they keep disposing shares.
People who buy Poh Kong because of the increase of gold price is quite funny, they are the operator which purchase gold and make it at jewellery to sell. Look at the directors, because of you guys goreng, they have been selling more than 25 millions share to the open market to retailers. Run before it's too late.
TVz, a fan of glove counters comes in here every day to give negative comments? If those Poh Kong n Tomei have inventory of last Sept to Dec , their cost per ounce was USD1470-1500 ...Even sales have dropped 25-33% in May to July , their profit margin is much higher if they r selling existing stocks... So, those said investing n speculating Poh Kong is irrational, then those still buying Harta , Supermax n Careplus after their share prices already up 3-20folds, r 3 times more crazy n don’t understand value investment...:)
Ok la then i use another commodity as a comparison, let’s use oil. When oil price is rallying, do you buy the stock of an oil producer like Hibiscus or an oil refinery like Hengyuan which needs to purchase raw materials at high cost? Poh kong is like Hengyuan in my example but unlike petrol, gold is not a necessity and people can just choose not to buy when price is high
not only gold counter, infact the whole bursa counters, once up directors selling is normal , moreover some counter even go higher after directors had sold. that's is the name of the game. (I piah ke A yar)
Posted by Jeffyap > Aug 10, 2020 11:46 PM | Report Abuse
People who buy Poh Kong because of the increase of gold price is quite funny, they are the operator which purchase gold and make it at jewellery to sell. Look at the directors, because of you guys goreng, they have been selling more than 25 millions share to the open market to retailers. Run before it's too late.
gold jewellers do not enjoy the kind of sales & profit that gloves makers are making... unless they could convert the low cost inventory into sales at current gold price...
LuckyBertuah, don't worry.. people panic selling is normal. Gold prices is still going up now, in fact more financial expert from USA report that gold will go up to even 4,000 soon. Hold on your shares first and when it rise up, your tears will be non stop laughing!
Chtan, U really think U guys understand glove counters very well? Harta n Supermax n Careplus should be classified as overvalued coz careplus has up more than 20-25 folds from January n Supermax has gone up 13 folds from January average price of 1.55.... Harta always with PE36-38 at last year n gone up about 250-280% from January.... Even Supermax posted net profit of 12-13 times of average quarterly profit of 30 mil... Pls keep in mind, Top 4 glove counters n comfort n careplus only can have wonderful profit in their 2020 year end n 2021 year end .... For logical thinking , Supermax n Kossan only can use PE 19-20 (of financial year 2020 or 21) to calculate fair share prices ... For more established n technology advance Topglove n Harta , maybe using PE24-25 to be rational but those analysts of investment banks using PE of 28-30 to calculate fair TP of Harta n Topglove n using PE of 24-25 of peak profit to calculate fair value of Kossan n Supermax... what will happen to profit of top 4 n comfort n careplus in year 2022-2023 ??
Speculative plug is off abruptly. Head & shoulder in progress. Next stop 0.85. Ultimate stop 0.50. Had you bought at the very top of this speculation 1.80, you will lose 1.30 a piece or 72%. If you cut loss now you would only lose 37%.
Shareholders disposed huge amt. In plain words sharks has left....bilis trapped.....fundamentally jewelery shop profit will drop when gold price too high.....
i don't think rebound will be anytime soon.. directors disposed...GOLD price drifting lower as USD steadies..plus goreng kaki back to GLOVE & now O&G since oil price up they will push those crony counters up before elections...
this is just my feel based on observation and pattern.
those have faith and holding power can hold - maybe will rise up again as analyst are predicting GOLD to reach new peaks and goreng kaki might be back..
I have tried to warn everybody here. Even if you believe in gold as a hedge, go and buy gold mining stocks, gold etf, gold bars and coins. Not a gold shop stock that will benefit minimally.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
indexnoobie123
402 posts
Posted by indexnoobie123 > 2020-08-10 23:19 | Report Abuse
Confident then buy , else sell. Keep kbkb won't earn a dime