The company has RM120m net cash; take that out from the current market capitalisation, the company is selling for RM130m only. One-year depreciation charge is RM30m, which more than covers for all sorts of capex the company wants to do. So, the company can actually declare all its profits as dividend without affecting its net cash balance of RM120m. It should be able to make at least 3sen net profit per share a year. Potential dividend yield will be very attractive.
I have 2 reference companies with detailed analysis - Eksons and Taann - that I used when hunting for companies in the timber/wood-based sector. With this lens, I found that Hevea ROE pre-2018 was much better than these reference companies. But post-2018, Hevea ROE lies in between these 2. From a fundamental perspective, I would focus on Taann.
HEVEA +4.29%. Nice. Looks like it wants to go up, but plenty of resistance ... Still good enough to make my portfolio rise to all time high again. That's 3 times this week!
I accumulated a bit at 33 sen recently. Since end last year, the A/D line is slowly rising, notwitstanding flat price. This technical divergence suggests that someone has spend a long time to slowly accumulate this stock without moving its price ... I don't know who, but I am following. I am okay if it take 2 years to move, because once we identify a stock with higher probably of being "goreng" later, we follow by buying more at lower prices. For this stock with sound fundamentals, lots of net cash, the only risk is if the manipulator can't accumulate enough. At this juncture, they should have plenty of stock, just might not meet their quota yet to start the push. It's now nearly a year of accumulation.
Keep this type of trading extremely small. My trade here is more price speculative. I haven't done enough research to justify owning more than 1.5% of my portfolio. This is old habit from looking at price charts only, without really looking at its longer term business, aside from a few balance sheet glances.
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Posted by SS3U > 2023-10-01 22:21 | Report Abuse
The company has RM120m net cash; take that out from the current market capitalisation, the company is selling for RM130m only. One-year depreciation charge is RM30m, which more than covers for all sorts of capex the company wants to do. So, the company can actually declare all its profits as dividend without affecting its net cash balance of RM120m. It should be able to make at least 3sen net profit per share a year. Potential dividend yield will be very attractive.