Most of the esos ex bonus cost is 2.40 at current price there is not much incentives for them to sell espcially now CPO price is above 4K per tonne. I can see operators at work but is very risky to short sell at this moment some cash rich retailers are bargain hunting me included.
Very disappointing dividend. 2 qtrs ardy made 40 sen but gives 4 sen div no wonder no big funds are interested in this stock despite fantastic result. I will throw all if they give out esos again !
The earnings and 4sen interim dividend is based on the enlarged share capital after Bonus issue. In this respect, it is a good improvement compared to previous years . I am think there will be possibly 8 sen final dividend bring total yearly dividend to possibly 12sen . Dividend yield begins to look much better now .
Chicago soybean futures rose past $16 per bushel in late August, the highest in over two months, amid concerns of poor growing conditions in the US and higher import demand from major consumer China. Heatwaves in the American Midwest hampered the supply outlook on the current crop, as weather forecasts still do not favor clear indications of rain for the coming days. In the meantime, record-setting heatwaves for multiple Chinese regions damaged the incoming crop, driving grain traders to enter international soybean markets.
As at 25/8/22, CPO fob Malaysia usd1,069/mt. SBO ex Rotterdam usd1,655/my. CPO is cheaper by usd586/mt ridiculously! When CPO stock pressure ease in Indonesia soon , the price gap should narrow to usd200/mt with CPO price potentially increase by usd386/mt or RM1,700/mt. This shall bring CPO back to around RM6,000/mt. SBO price has little chance to go down with weather havoc in Europe, China and U.S.
Edible oil price will be going up and stay elevated for many years ————————- Aug 27): Europe’s fertiliser crunch is deepening with more than two-thirds of production capacity halted by soaring gas costs, threatening farmers and consumers far beyond the region’s borders.
Russia’s squeeze on gas shipments in the wake of Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine is hurting industries across Europe. But fertiliser companies are being especially affected because gas is both a key feedstock and a source of power for the sector.
Wholesale fertiliser prices, which fell back after climbing to multiyear highs following Russia’s assault, are rising again as European Union producers curb capacity. Ammonia prices in Western Europe have surged over the last two years, according to data by Bloomberg’s crop nutrient analysis company Green Markets. Dwindling supplies will keep prices elevated, threatening productivity as farmers are forced to scale back their use of the key nutrient. That in turn will hit consumers as food inflation accelerates.
Aug 29): Goldman Sachs Group Inc urged investors to pile into commodities as most recession risks coursing through global markets are overblown in the near term, arguing that raw materials stand to rebound amid a profound energy crisis and tight physical fundamentals.
“Our economists view the risk of a recession outside Europe in the next 12 months as relatively low,” analysts including Sabine Schels, Jeffrey Currie and Damien Courvalin wrote in a note. “With oil the commodity of last resort in an era of severe energy shortages, we believe the pullback in the entire oil complex provides an attractive entry point for long-only investments.”
SOP’s. EPS 1H 2022 is 40sen TaAnn’s EPS 1 H2022 is 44sen SOP share price is $2.55 Taann share price is $4.22 Notwithstanding that Taann pays higher dividend, SOP’s share price discount to Taann is just too steep!
Don’t over react to ESOS and ‘poor’ dividend. There are people anxiously waiting to grab your shares at low price. I think the dividend yield is improving to 4% for FY 2022 which is reasonable.
CHICAGO (Sept 12): Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) soybean futures surged to their highest price since June on Monday (Sept 12), and closed near their highs, after the US government made bigger-than-expected cuts in its domestic harvest estimates.
Corn futures also hit their highest price in more than two months, following a reduced production outlook from the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).
No same like gloves... Read up m know it.. Sorry i cant spoon feed you... I give u clue... Vegetable oils now a national security for nations as gloves... Gloves not only china la...lol...gloves now everyone make thier own...no one want china stuff lerr ..
Read up on Adani-wilmar... Palm oil over cos of alternatives.. Gloves same... Sorry... Get on with the flow... Those who refuse to go with the flow will burn.. I withdraw all positive calls on palm oil...
Investors should adopt a profit-taking strategy – given the continued uncertainty on Indonesia’s Domestic Market Obligation (DMO) policy impact, and with the recent change in tax structure which is punishing for companies that want to get an exemption. We downgraded three recommendations during the recent quarter’s reporting season. We maintain our NEUTRAL sector weighting. The 1Q22 reporting season saw most planters booking results that beat expectations on the leveraged impact of higher CPO prices, with eight stocks above, one in line with, and five below expectations. Production trends in Malaysia and Indonesia varied in 1Q22, with Malaysia’s output in 1Q22 rising 3.9% YoY, but falling 21% QoQ. For the Malaysian companies under coverage, however, we saw FFB output fall 3.5% YoY. In Indonesia, official numbers reported a CPO output rise of 9.5% YoY in 1Q22 and drop of 7% QoQ. However, we saw a mix of output trends from the companies we cover, with most posting double-digit YoY declines, while others posted flattish or double-digit growth in 1Q22, due to different weather patterns in different areas. Most planters in Malaysia are expecting production to recover further in 2H22, by a mid-to-high single-digit growth. Conversely, in Indonesia, most planters are expecting mid-single-digit growth, due to the high base effect in 2021. Forward-selling activities picking up for 2H22. Despite average spot CPO prices of c.MYR6,183/tonne in 1Q22, most planters were unable to realise this, due to their exposure to Indonesia and some forward-selling activities. While we saw a less aggressive forward-selling stance in 4Q21, there has been a pick-up in forward-selling activities for the rest of 2022, as planters are nervous about the sustainability of high prices and the impact Indonesian trade policies will have on prices. Malaysia’s CPO output was flattish (-0.1% YoY) in May, while stocks dropped 7.4% to 1.52m tonnes, due to a 26.7% MoM rise in exports due to the Indonesian export ban. Despite the lifting of this ban at end-May, we believe exports from Malaysia would not fall too significantly in June, given the logistics issues faced in Indonesia currently, as well as the difficulty in obtaining export permits. Stock levels could, therefore, remain low in June, and only pick up from July onwards. Maintain NEUTRAL on sector, adopt a profit-taking approach. With the lifting of the Indonesia export ban, CPO prices and share prices of planters fell. As mentioned in our 20 May report (Plantation: Indonesia’s Export Ban Lifted, But What’s Next?), we advocated a profit-taking strategy, given the continued uncertainty on the DMO policy impact in Indonesia. In addition, the special USD200/tonne tax to get a DMO exemption would be punishing for players in Indonesia that are finding it difficult to obtain the necessary export permits to export their products. In 1Q22, we cut our calls on Ta Ann and PP London Sumatra Indonesia to NEUTRAL (from Buy), and on Genting Plantations to SELL (from Neutral). We now have four BUYs, nine NEUTRALs, and one SELL call.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
titan3322
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Posted by titan3322 > 2022-08-25 14:56 | Report Abuse
Most of the esos ex bonus cost is 2.40 at current price there is not much incentives for them to sell espcially now CPO price is above 4K per tonne. I can see operators at work but is very risky to short sell at this moment some cash rich retailers are bargain hunting me included.