I've been working on renewable especially on solar since 2001. Capacity declered (MW) were based on AC (actual generating capacity export) - no need loss factore excep for technical transmission loss) which very insignificant as menergy meter were located no far from solar farm. Plus point for solar power: 1. constant revenue with quit consistant energy yield for contract tenure. 2. Good cash flow as TNB is a very good pay-master. 3. Repair & maintenance (including scheduled inverter repalcement) already factored in financial model. 4. LSS 1 & 2 really good price for project owner.
The total already secured capacity of solar assets alone owned and operated by Cypark will reach over 375MWp. Mind you this does not include other renewable energy projects using municipal wastes, biogas and other form of feedstocks. Owner and operator will gain over long term during the PPA duration with robust cash flow. Suppliers or contractors will only make one off gain, if any. Cypark is also with Johor and Melaka states bidding for the WtE projects in the two states. Worth noting Cypark also operate a no municipal waste dumps, its old biz .
Must remember too that the rate per kWh obtained by Cypark are higher and more profitable as these projects were secured earlier and therefore have better rates. The current rates are very highly competitive .
150mw will generate revenue about RM87.5M in 2021 and 395 MW will generate revenue RM216.46M in 2022.
The construction of the solar PV energy generating facility with 173 MWp LSS3 project in Merchang, Marang, Terengganu Darul Iman.
Upon completion of the Facility, as well as the Group’s 25 MW WTE plant in Tanah Merah, Negeri Sembilan Darul Khusus, the Group will increase its ownership of RE assets capacity to 245 MWp from its current operating capacity of 47 MWp.
In addition to its own assets, the Group will operate a total of 150 MWp solar assets including the 100 MWp floating solar by middle 2021 under its engineering,procurement and construction plus operation and management long term contract.
In total, the Group is expected to have secured capacity of solar assets built, owned and/or operated by the Group of over 395 MWp by the financial year ending 31 October 2022.
Once Cypark announce the completion of WtE Project at LTM, the price will shoot up or even before announcement as it is currently very underpriced. Those who know and understand the biz and the biz model of Cypark will have no issue at all on high leverage and negative cashflow flows from operation and investing.
Cancellation of ESOS is definitely good for shareholders. Cypark has not only keep issuing ESOS to directors/major shareholders but reducing the price to a ridiculously low price.
Don't worry too much about the stock going up or even down. Best know what you are buying. If it goes down, just buy it. If it goes up beyond its intrinsic value or what you value, just sell it or take profit. We have no control of market price but we can definitely take advantage of what prices the market offer to us.
Cypark 753k shares short. Be really careful. Insanely high debt/equity ratio with no moat. The better company to bet on green energy would be local electronics companies at Batu Kawan. Not some government contractors.
Private placement at 90 sen. For 20 million share. This should give a strong support. Investor who subscribe to this private placement should have the insider news and business of cypark moving forward. Its a call buy at this price. If it drop below 90 sen is good to collect.
In the stock market any thing can happen and market price can be disconnected to value. Value is highly subjective but market price is real, you can trade (buy or sell) on it.
PP are normally priced at a discount to the market price otherwise PP shares may not be subscribed. So if PP for Cypark is 90 sen, it shows that the company and the subscribers are very confident the value of the stock is above 90 sen, which is definitely the case.
the PP subscriber would probably still go on and take on the PP even if the share price drops if they think the company has value. they can't buy that much shares in the market without driving the price up
The intrinsic value of Cypark is definitely way above PP price of 90 sen. Cypark price was probably being depressed to get the price of placement shares as low as possible since only certain well connected people are offered. This is very unfair to existing shareholders especially when the issue is big percentage wise. Cypaark should have done rights issue, which is fair to all even to those who don't want to subscribe as they can always sell their entitlement.
Cypark market price could have certainly performed much better if not for too many PP including this current 20% and ESOS priced and repriced way below market. ESOS is supposed to provide incentives to the employees but where is the incentive then if ESOS is repriced much below market price? It only provide incentive for Directors/controlling shareholders to sell the shares that they already owned and replaced them with cheaper shares via ESOS for quick and guaranteed gains. This kind of ESOS in fact encourage bad behaviors at the cost to minority shredders.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
smachian
1 posts
Posted by smachian > 2021-07-22 10:45 | Report Abuse
I've been working on renewable especially on solar since 2001.
Capacity declered (MW) were based on AC (actual generating capacity export) - no need loss factore excep for technical transmission loss) which very insignificant as menergy meter were located no far from solar farm.
Plus point for solar power:
1. constant revenue with quit consistant energy yield for contract tenure.
2. Good cash flow as TNB is a very good pay-master.
3. Repair & maintenance (including scheduled inverter repalcement) already factored in financial model.
4. LSS 1 & 2 really good price for project owner.