Reaching resistance level 4.49. Double bottom at this level. Very tricky situation. Will see a next few days. To cut lost if it goes below 4.45. Lets hope for the best the double bottom is the reversal.
IMF increases global growth forecast and says a way out of the crisis is ‘increasingly visible’
(PUBLISHED TUE, APR 6 20218:31 AM EDTUPDATED TUE, APR 6 20218:38 AM EDT)
~ The latest round of fiscal stimulus in the U.S. along with the vaccine rollouts across the world have made the Fund more confident about the global economy this year.
~ The latest forecasts suggest the United States is well placed to experience a solid economic recovery in 2021, in contrast to what’s expected for most of the world, where many economies are likely to take longer to return to their pre-crisis levels.
LONDON — The International Monetary Fund is now expecting a stronger economic recovery in 2021 as Covid-19 vaccine rollouts get underway, but it warns of “daunting challenges” given the different rates of administering shots across the globe.
On Tuesday the group said it expects the world economy to grow by 6% in 2021, up from its 5.5% forecast in January.
Looking further ahead, global GDP (gross domestic product) for 2022 is seen increasing by 4.4%, higher than an earlier estimate of 4.2%.
“Even with high uncertainty about the path of the pandemic, a way out of this health and economic crisis is increasingly visible,” Gita Gopinath, the IMF’s chief economist, said in the latest World Economic Outlook report.
The latest round of fiscal stimulus in the U.S., along with the vaccine rollouts across the world, have made the fund more confident about the global economy this year.
“Nonetheless, the outlook presents daunting challenges related to divergences in the speed of recovery both across and within countries and the potential for persistent economic damage from the crisis,” Gopinath also said.
The IMF estimated a 5.1% GDP rate for advanced economies this year, with the United States growing at a pace of 6.4% in 2021.
Meanwhile, the forecast for emerging and developing economies is 6.7% in 2021, with India expected to grow as much as 12.5%.
“Within-country income inequality will likely increase because young workers and those with relatively lower skills remain more heavily affected in not only advanced but also emerging markets and developing economies,” Gita warned, while also adding that lower levels of female employment is exacerbating disparities too.
As a result, the IMF said that governments should continue to focus on “escaping the crisis” by providing fiscal support, including to their healthcare systems. In a second phase, “policymakers will need to limit long-term economic scarring” from the crisis and boost public investment, for instance.
“Without additional efforts to give all people a fair shot, cross-country gaps in living standards could widen significantly, and decades-long trends of global poverty reduction could reverse,” Gopinath warned.
Recovery in the U.S.
The latest forecasts suggest the United States is well placed to experience a solid economic recovery in 2021, in contrast to what’s expected for most of the world, where many economies are likely to take longer to return to their pre-crisis levels.
The positive assessment for the U.S. is highly driven by President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus rescue package, which entered into force last month.
As such, unemployment in the United States is expected to fall from 8.1% in 2020 to 5.8% this year and then again to 4.1% in 2022, according to the latest IMF projections.
Back in February, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the U.S. could return to full employment in 2022. “There’s absolutely no reason why we should suffer through a long slow recovery,” she told CNN at the time.
The IMF’s latest forecasts confirm that the U.S. is on track to not only return but surpass its pre-Covid levels this year.
“Among advanced economies, the United States is expected to surpass its pre-Covid GDP level this year, while many others in the group will return to their pre-COVID levels only in 2022,” Gita said.
JPMorgan’s Dimon Says ‘This Boom Could Easily Run Into 2023’
(April 7, 2021, 6:10 PM GMT+8Updated on April 7, 2021, 9:39 PM GMT+8)
Jamie Dimon said he’s optimistic the pandemic will end with a U.S. economic rebound that could last at least two years.
“I have little doubt that with excess savings, new stimulus savings, huge deficit spending, more QE, a new potential infrastructure bill, a successful vaccine and euphoria around the end of the pandemic, the U.S. economy will likely boom,” the JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief executive officer said Wednesday in his annual letter to shareholders. “This boom could easily run into 2023.”
Unprecedented federal rescue programs have blunted unemployment and averted further economic deterioration, according to Dimon, who said banks entered the crisis strong and able to help communities weather the storm. While lenders also benefited from U.S. stimulus, they built up buffers against future loan losses and performed well in stress tests, he said.
Dimon also pointed to U.S. consumers, who used stimulus checks to reduce debt to the lowest level in 40 years and stashed them in savings, giving them -- like corporations -- an “extraordinary” amount of spending power once lockdowns end. The latest round of quantitative easing measures will have created more than $3 trillion in deposits at U.S. banks, a portion of which can be lent out, he said.
It could all add up to a Goldilocks moment, according to Dimon, where growth is fast and sustained while inflation ticks up gently. Threats to that outcome include virus variants and a rapid or sustained jump in inflation that prompts rates to rise sooner.
At 65, Dimon is the most prominent executive in global banking, serving as a spokesman for the industry while leading a titan of both Wall Street and consumer lending. He’s run the company since the end of 2005, and is the only CEO still at the helm after steering a major bank through the financial crisis.
The 65-page letter (plus a page of footnotes) is Dimon’s longest yet, following last year’s abbreviated one that came less than a week after he returned to work from emergency heart surgery. As always, it is wide-ranging, touching on topics from financial regulation to China to inequality and institutional racism.
Foreign buyers are back...Good choice of fundamentals and technical charting will the fund managers picking. Good luck . The merger based on 2018/19 case might be neutral for Maxis. Digi/Axiata will have a good run too.
(theedgemarkets.com / April 08, 2021 10:32 am +08)
KUALA LUMPUR (April 8): Celcom Axiata Bhd, a unit of Axiata Group Bhd, is merging with Digi.Com Bhd to create the biggest mobile service provider in Malaysia, according to sources familiar with the telcos.
This time round it is the merger of the operations in Malaysia, unlike the previous mega-merger plan that Axiata and Digi.Com’s parent Telenor had previously tried to merge the operations in Asia region.
“The merger will bring in financial benefits although each party will not hold a controlling stake in the merged entity… the merger should be evaluated in the financial benefits,” said a source.
As the high growth era is over in the mobile service industry that requires large capital expenditure, merger to achieve economy of scale is seen to be a logical move going forward, said analysts.
Furthermore, analysts noted mega merger of the regional operations is far more complicated as regulatory approvals are required.
Trading in the shares of Axiata Group and Digi.Com have been suspended this morning pending an announcement.
In separate filings to the stock exchange this morning, the companies said that accordingly, all structured warrants relating to Digi.Com will also be suspended at the same time.
Axiata will hold a media briefing this afternoon.
The trading suspension of the two telcos has sparked fresh speculation in the market given that Axiata and Digi.Com's parent Telenor were in merger talks before but negotiation fell through.
To recap, Axiata and Digi’s Norwegian parent Telenor ASA mutually agreed to terminate their mega-merger to consolidate both telecommunication giants’ operations in Asia after about four months of negotiation in 2019.
In May 2019, Axiata announced that it was in talks with Telenor to merge their operations in Asia, resulting in Telenor being the majority shareholder of the global Merged entity, and anticipated to own 56.5% and Axiata holding 43.5%.
The proposed merger would result in the emergence of Asean’s largest telecommunication company, with a pro forma revenue of RM50 billion and a net profit of RM4 billion.
Lol. Do you think consumers will change when digi and Axiata merger? This is not cartoon or transformer movie bro. To me, maxis is well managed and not required any “help” or merger...
I think those who used to subscribe both celcom and digi will change to maxis. Reason is that people hold two same telco under same company. Some people subscribe different telco in case the line down for one still got another one working.
See this. Don’t keep merger merger or transformer news. Big player sapu a lot maxis today. Seems like this is just the beginning. Maxis May back to rm5.xx range or even higher since many EPS is forecasted about 17-20 cents.
Surprisingly Maxis price did not tank...maybe some merger is also quietly brewing
U mobile?
During the 90s, there is the wave of banks merger. Will this also happen to the telco industry? If it is, then more interesting development is coming on this merger wave..telcos merger theme play
Hmm maxis has been drop from the last high until this current 52 week lowest. I don't think Maxis will merge with someone else in the telco industry. Anyway, EPF has been acquired a lot recently from Maxis. Not sure why though eventhough on downtrend.
Let's see. Anyway I have bought since the last lowest and keep until now. Want to see until 5G came.
No idea. Our bursa seems like not following PE ratio. But definitely Axiata is in danger zone of pe ratio. Both maxis and digi used to trade at 30x before covid
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Stockisnotfun
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Posted by Stockisnotfun > 2021-04-06 10:24 | Report Abuse
Hmm maxis continue to trend lower