VS Industry Bhd (June 29, RM1.55) Maintain outperform with a lower target price (TP) of RM1.68: VS Industry Bhd reported a somewhat disappointing net profit for the third quarter of the financial year ended April 30, 2018 (3QFY18) of only RM21.1 million for a cumulative first-nine-month FY18 (9MFY18) net profit of RM112.3 million. This obviously missed our and consensus estimates, only making up 60% and 57% of respective full-year estimates, with the significant discrepancy attributed mainly to higher-than-expected costs from: i) the cessation of certain product models by a US client; and ii) labour, set-up and testing of new product lines. The group continued to secure new orders, reflected by its 9MFY18 revenue of RM3.1 billion (+34% year-on-year [y-o-y]). A little wary of its ongoing grapples with cost-related issues, we lower our FY18 to FY20 earnings estimates by between 8% and 16% to account largely for higher cost assumptions, while also conservatively lower our revenue assumptions by an average 5%. Our “outperform” call is retained nonetheless, as we continue to believe in its long-term investment merits despite current challenges.
Its revenue for 3QFY18 was 21% lower quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q), but it grew 3% y-o-y on the back of growing orders from its other key customers in its Malaysian operation. Indonesia continued to make steady contributions post-change from consignment to a turnkey manufacturing basis for a particular client. Its China operation also recorded a lower revenue for the quarter (-35.9% y-o-y) due to lower sales orders completed.
Its net profit of only RM21.1 million (-58.3% y-o-y; -53.5% q-o-q) for the quarter was weighed by all sorts of challenges in Malaysia: i) the set-up and testing costs associated with an upcoming production line; ii) higher labour costs; iii) cessation of production of certain products; and iv) operational efficiencies of certain box-built assembly lines not hitting desired levels as yet. In Indonesia, production capacity was underutilised, while in China, higher raw materials and labour costs were not fully passed through to customers owing to competitive operating environments.
Any particularly pronounced share price weakness as a result of the somewhat disappointing results should be taken as an opportunity to accumulate. The group has declared a third interim dividend of 0.5 sen per share to bring its cumulative dividend for the year to 3.5 sen, though slightly lower than the previous corresponding period’s 3.9 sen. — PublicInvest Research, June 29
Just because USD is slightly strong due to attacks on China's imported goods, local industrial counters are looking forward to a strong surge. Something is not logical.
Malaysia manufacturing multi product by agreement from foreign countries like England, Europe,USA' product brand n ..No impact on the world trade war? Or don't want know,see, hear?Everyday say good,it can be good?Since 1st Jan to 30 June the share price dropped from 3.00 to 1.2× lowest.This is truely confirmed data.So trader can play it.But for mid n long term investor don't invest on this moment.This is my sharing.
UOBKH - Alpha Picks Jul 2018: Inari and VS Industry added to July’s picks, as we position for the commencements of newly-won assembly and test contracts, possible new contract wins, and a softer ringgit.
Trump's mercurial temperament makes overall stock markets very volatile...so much uncertainty... plus probably higher interest rates...can restrict liquidity in the stock markets. Trade war rhetoric will probably subside n trade imbalance are negotiable...we shall see next week.. Overall markets sentiment will stabilise n moving into which direction. Probably upward trajectory...TQ n GL.
BTW...we can analyse E&E related industries... their Average PE in Bursa...around 20x... Probably around there must be its Reasonable market value...so...VS price range...@1.75 n below...is okay...TQ.
FA...VS still going strong n even better...cash & equivalent slightly increased...plus reduction of long term borrowing by more than 20%. China segment need to improve n I think the management are aware of it n can solve that. Others business related shortcomings in Malaysia n Indonesia can be tackled. Overall revenue increased in these two segments. Long term looking promising...so be patient...at least another 3 months from now. TQ.
geary, i spoke to one of the big boss, china diamond filter will be so-so only. doing biz in china is not easy. you can ask this in the next agm to re-confirm.
the only catalyst vs really need is from us customer which very low order early year till 3rd qtr. hopefully when trade war spike, customer will add order frm msia made coffee maker than china made.
@SuperPanda...u are a former employee...n knew it beforehand, Probably from your ex-colleague. TQ. I still think trade war are negotiable...becoz Trump is a Businessman... Probably as cunning as Chinese businessman. My biggest concern is still financial crisis in South America... especially Argentina. Just keep some cash flow ready...Be rational...TQ.
This is quite true for the China condition. What highest making maybe from the property value. Heard that the Chairman family is considering to base in Malaysia and focusing of automation development. The second generation of bosses may show more exposure for the next term.
Vs be hovering around tight range for long period toward downward bias due to oversea plants superb weakness like China, Indonesia will drag it down much ... If want better profit for one month period I bet on superb undervalue with real solid sound fundamental like lion industrial, masteel, eforce, Gamuda etc... Buy and hold return in terms of percentage be more rewarding... I had no more holdings since last Friday... Now I start to shop buy and hold is dirt cheap ... GOOD LUCK VS die hardliners let ridevthrough the hurdles together....
“We view this as an opportunity for a re-entry, given that VS Industry is still projected to grow its earnings by 15% in compounded annual growth rate from FY17-FY20 and the worse is likely over.”
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
shpg22
2,984 posts
Posted by shpg22 > 2018-07-02 11:16 | Report Abuse
Looking at the way investor buy up VS on a bad quarter suggest that the coming quarter is going to be great. Accumulate at target price of 2.00