VIX up by 30%!!! What inflation stock should you buy now?
Before we even start to talk about the market, let’s talk a look at the price of VIX which could make most investors lost their... you know.
So, what this even mean for investors?
We all know that the fundamental reason for VIX to spike at such a degree is due to the expectation on volatility of the market, and the volatility of the market mainly comes from the uncertainty of interest rate hike by the Fed, and ultimately, the force behind all this is – inflation.
In other words, either you join the inflation game, or you will lose out from the inflation theme.
But the million-dollar question always remains as the same. Which stock should investors now invest heavily into in this market?
As a value investor, I always choose to look out for stocks that are not identified by the market yet. And this is this case, I think SERN KOU RESROUCES remains as my top buy, let me explain why.
Strong order book in furniture market
Now don’t get me wrong, SERNKOU do have their own furniture segment, but their strength is more on the mid-stream processing of wood business. As you may have already known, a full log of wood may cost up to 200% of its pre-COVID level price, but processed wood had also gone up by at least 30% to 50% by the time of writing. And as we see more and more Ikea-styled furniture maker in Muar, all of them require processed wood like MDF Board or chipboard.
Now, given the strong order book outlook the furniture market, this is likely to bode well for SERNKOU.
Riding on higher product prices
As we had mentioned above, the prices of raw material for furniture had been on an increasing trend. I believe most of you know furniture makers generally had low bargaining power on the prices of raw material, especially when they are so full of orders, they might not even bother for the increase in raw material prices. But for SERNKOU, this is a perfect chance of them to capitalize on the price increase as furniture maker generally cannot say NO to them.
Can you still make furniture without wood?
Healthy balance sheet
Based on what the company had announced in their latest financial quarter, the company had a quick ratio of 1.44 times, a current ratio of 1.44 times, and a 6.60 times of cash turnover ratio, which signifies the financial strength of the company. We see no requirement for the company to raise fund or debts at this juncture, and this differentiates SERNKOU from other companies who raised fund aggressively just to survive during COVID-19.
In short, I really liked SERNKOU on their ability to leverage on the recent wood shortage, strong furniture orderbook outlook as well as the price increase of their products sold. Barring unforeseen circumstances, I do not see any chance of the company to report a weaker profit than 1Q 2022. And since we are in a weakened market, this might be just the best chance to buy SERNKOU.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
whaleing
254 posts
Posted by whaleing > 2021-12-11 09:45 | Report Abuse
the answer for this, let me collect finish first only fly.