This is a company that has been recording losses for at least 10 years. And to think it will suddenly turnaround in FY19 might be a bit of a wishful thinking on the part of the shareholders. That being said it actually already has a regularisation plan in placed to take it out of the PN17 status which consist of:
1) Capital raising via first a private placement of 27.3mil new share at RM0.10 per share amounting to RM2.7mil. Second will be via a right issue of 477.6mil shares at RM0.10 to existing shareholders (5 right issue for every 1 share owned) amounting to RM47.8mil. This bring the total of new capital to around RM50.5mil. Shareholders will need to subscribe to the right issue or risk being diluted later. They will also be missed out on getting the free warrants which are tradable once listed.
2) Reduction of debt. The company managed to negotiate a reduction of debt from its creditors. The company will “pay” most of its debt via issuance of 116.6mil new shares at RM0.10 and 58.3mil warrants.
3) Lotus Essential, a supplier to KFM will see RM15mil of its debt being repaid by issuance of RCPS of 300mil units at RM0.05 per unit which can be converted to 1 share for 1 RCPS. Here, there is another very big potential dilution to shareholders later since Lotus is given the right to buy new share at 5 sens compared to other investors at 10 sens.
4) Another RM16.4mil amount owed to Lotus will be set off from the proceeds of the Private placement and right issue exercises.
The remaining cash from the private placement and right issue amounting to RM34mil will mainly be used as working capital for existing businesses (wheat flour and tapioca starch businesses). In summary, current shareholder will need to be prepare to add in another RM0.50 per share of their current investment. If let say you decide to buy KFM today at 12 sens, you will need to prepare another 50 sens later for your subscription to the right issue. So, your total investment is actually will be 62 sens.
Investors need to take note of the big potential dilution later especially if Lotus decides to convert their RCPS (worth 5 sens per unit) to KFM share which will push down the price given the steep discount. They can convert this anytime they want within the 5 years.
Another thing to take note is that the core business will still be the same. If you look at FY18 results, there is actually no finance cost being paid. So, all of this exercise would actually not improve the company’s bottom line (if business environment remain the same as 2018, then they will still be making losses). The improvement will be on the balance sheet via the elimination of debt and injection of new cash.
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio outside of Kuantan Flour Mill (due to still weak earning outlook and big potential dilution later) I would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.7x PE (based on target FY18 profit of RM145mil. 9m profit is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.6x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
For FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of new Myvi and the newly launched SUV and also the newly revamp Alza in 2H19.
Please go through the analyst reports (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp) and do your own analysis before making any decisions. Most analysts have a TP of above RM3 for the company with Hong Leong being the lowest at RM3.13 and Maybank the highest at RM4.50.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
chengcheng2017
2 posts
Posted by chengcheng2017 > 2017-06-14 17:37 | Report Abuse
Thanks DokDokChang for sharing this important info.... http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed-companies/company-announcements/5459145
Better run fast fast b4 too late