Walaupun tidak memegang saham kaunter ini, tetapi saya lihat pihak pengurusan sangat berhemah dan bertanggungjawab membuat press statement bg menjaga kepentingan pelabur
As i mentioned earlier , not easy to get one good CEO to run the company like Press Metal Aluminium Holding Berhad . Terima kasih banyak-banyak sebab Press Metal memang boleh dan tetap boleh . Target price tetap RM 6.00 or above .
Who knows tariff may eventually fall through the cracks, as Trump's also bogged down with the investigation on his probable political campaign collussion with the Russians. The Russian probe will likely conclude only in the next few months.
We should listen more to the CEO of Press Metal rather than listen to Mr Trump because Tan Sri Dato Paul Koon is running the company and not Mr Trump is running it . Always remember , Press Metal memang boleh and tetap boleh . Terima kasih banyak-banyak to Tan Sri Dato Paul Koon . Don't forget , Pmb Tech also boleh dan tetap boleh .
US President Donald Trump faced growing pressure from political allies to pull back from proposed steel and aluminium tariff . Petikan dari The Star Online , Tuesday 6, 2018 . Another " Sandiwara " dipermainkan oleh mereka but don't worry because Press Metal always boleh dan tetap boleh .
"Trump faces pushback on tariffs but says he will not back down" --
“We’re not backing down,” Trump said during a White House meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. “I don’t think you’re going to have a trade war,” he added, without elaborating.
Trump is f**king nuts. One side of him said trade war is good while another side of him raised tariff because his country's aluminium and steel industries are facing competition from imports. By the way , they still need aluminium and steel , aren't they ? So end users like us will be paying more for their American products.
Trump has shown himself to be deeply ignorant of issues at hand. If you raise tariffs, then you will kill off other industries in the US and impact big companies like coca cola, ford, gm, construction companies etc...
So you are going to save a few thousand steel jobs and slow down the inevitable but destroy another 500,000 good paying jobs?
My personal opinion: He knows what he is doing, so he gets his kids to long or short before he makes announcements like this and ends up making huge profits. The sooner we see the back of him, the better. He is rocking the markets for his own benefit.
We are neutral on President Donald Trump’s plan to impose a 10% tariff on aluminium imported into the US. The impact on global aluminium prices and Press Metal would be minimal, since the US accounts for less than 10% of the world’s aluminium consumption. It is also not easy to revive aluminium production in the US, as cheap electricity is required in order for the industry to be competitive. This is not the case in the US, where electricity is mostly generated by coal and natural gas. Meanwhile, there is still a potential upside to global aluminium prices – half of the smelters in China are still loss-making from rising energy costs stemming from higher coal prices. We believe yesterday’s sell-off of Press Metal shares now presents an opportunity to BUY. As such, we upgrade our call from Neutral, but our TP remains at MYR5.85 (18% upside). A US tariff on aluminium? Last Thursday, President Donald Trump said that the US will impose a 10% tariff on aluminium imports, in order to deal with the excessive importing of the commodity. While no further details on the matter were made available, market analysis suggests that this proposal has not been carefully thought through, and could be counter-productive to the US economy. According to Harbor Aluminium, a 10% duty on US aluminium imports could eliminate at least 23,000 jobs and as much as USD45bn in the manufacturing sector. The amplified negative effect on the US’ manufacturing sector would be 80 times bigger than that on the country’s aluminium downstream industry. Harbor Aluminium also said that the policy may increase direct jobs in the aluminium smelting industry by around 1,900 – but this would be offset by the elimination of at least 23,000 jobs in the US manufacturing sector. Neutral on the planned tariff. We are neutral on Mr Trump’s plan, and believe the impact on aluminium prices and Press Metal’s outlook would be quite minimal. The US only accounts for less than 10% (c.6m tonnes) of the world’s consumption, and it currently produces about 1m tonnes pa. As such, it is a net importer of about 4-5m tonnes pa. Having said that, around 71% of the US’ aluminium imports come from Canada and Russia. The breakdown of the US’ imports of primary aluminium are shown in Figure 3. In addition, we believe it would not be easy to revive US aluminium production, as the industry requires cheap electricity to be competitive – which is not the case there, as electricity is mostly generated by coal and natural gas. Also, it takes about three years’ lead time to build a new smelting plant. Hence, consumers in US might have to import the aluminium, anyway. China, the largest consumer of aluminium, is only a small exporter. China is currently the world’s largest producer and consumer of aluminium products by far. The country currently accounts for over 50% of global aluminium production, or about 34m tonnes pa. It consumes around 32m tonnes – which implies that it annually exports about 2m tonnes (or 3% of global consumption). Demand still intact. Global aluminium prices have risen at a 5.1% CAGR since 2015, and are expected to continue increasing. We believe the global demand for aluminium would remain intact, with growth mainly driven by the transportation, construction and electrical sectors. Currently, about 24% of primary aluminium demand comes from the transportation sector. Regulations on emissions and market expectations on performance call for lighter vehicles. Cars and trucks utilising a higher proportion of aluminium would increasingly enter the market in the next five years. Having an all-aluminium unibody structure would enable vehicle manufacturers to achieve their weight reduction targets. This is on top of enhancing the performance of the vehicle, improving its fuel usage, and reducing the emission of carbon dioxide. Aluminium also makes up 60% of materials used in single-aisle aircraft. Aluminium consumption in aircraft production is expected to grow by 10% in the next few years. Potential upside in aluminium prices. Aluminium prices have rebounded, and are hovering above USD2,100.00/tonne after a temporary blip in early Dec 2017. We believe the weakness was mainly due to seasonal factors, given the deceleration in economic activity in China during the winter months. We keep our aluminium price assumptions in our model for Press Metal, ie at USD1,925.00/tonne for 2018, and USD2,118.00/tonne for 2019. This is because the company has already sold forward most of its 2018F production and approximately one-third of 2019F output. We still see a potential upside for aluminium prices, as currently half of the smelters in China are still loss-making from rising energy costs, due to higher coal prices. In addition, we expect the demand and supply situation to remain in a slight deficit this year, as China continues to impose restrictions on aluminium output to reduce pollution. BUY.
As the knee-jerk sell-off of Press Metal shares now present an opportunity to BUY, we upgrade our call from Neutral. Our TP stays at MYR5.85 (18% upside). Key risks include lower aluminium prices that could hurt profitability and investor sentiment towards the counter. Meanwhile, unexpected power supply interruptions at the smelting plant may damage machinery and disrupt operations.
I will listen to the CEO of Press Metal rather than listen to minute by minute news because Press Metal always boleh dan tetap boleh . Who is running the company now ?
Minute by minute news just temporary only , like fire incident and black out last few years . Insurance for 90 million still haven't claim yet for the power black out but they are very confident Press Metal can win the case . Sabar menunggu .
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SHC70
482 posts
Posted by SHC70 > 2018-03-06 08:05 | Report Abuse
Us market sentiment improved with DJ up more than 330 points