upon the release of the 3 QR the price gap up up 3.3% from 75 to 78 which is rather significant but it has yet to breakout of the triangle at 79.5 and for that to happen the big players have to come out and they will in the appropriate hour
I think cepat shall make $40 Mil NPAT this year . The last time the company declared 1 for 2 bonus issue was in late 2011 (ex date 16/1/12) , ie 10 years ago. It may be right time to reward shareholders with another BI , may be 2 for 5..
Cepat is plantation company with ALL its business activities in Sabah. Only bodoh Directors would spend Cepat money to invest in Properties in Kuala Lumpur. Spent so much money RM40M+ to buy properties and leave them vacant for so many years without collecting any rental income. May as well sell these properties and pay dividend and concentrate on plantation biz. Better still use the money to reduce borrowings and replanting
It is a badly managed Co. I still cannot understand why management have investment in properties in Kuala Lumpur when its main operations is plantation in Sabah
With strong support from China to Asean and considering the world wide inflation, CPO price will remain attractive for a long time. An equitable revaluation of palm oil counters will happen in the coming months if not sooner.
Cepat should announce its final quarterly earnings before the end of the month if the date of its previous quarterly earnings announcement is any indication. I expect the latest quarterly earnings to be better.
CPO avg Q4 21 is $5,154 which is 17% higher than last Q.. Cepat 's Jan-Sept 21 EPS is 8.64 sen Est EPS Q4 21 is 4 sen FY21 EPS shall be 12.64 sen. Share price @ 4/1/22 69 sen PE is( 69/12.64) = 5.5X % return on share price is (12.64/69 )= 18.3% If dividend payout is 50%, DY is 9.2%
EPS 3rd quarters was 3.76 cents. Power plant back to full operation after end August plus better CPO price in 4th quarters as compared to 3rd quarters ( roughly 15%). Production figures were also high in the month of October and November when CPO stay above 5K.
Will the EPS for 4th quarters higher than 4 cents?
In financial year 2020, total EPS was about 5 cents and the company declared dividend on 6th April 2021 for 2.5 cents (50% of EPS).
For financial year 2021, the estimated total EPS will be more than13 cents, if using 2020's payout as a basis, how much will be the dividend? Would the payout ratio be more than 50%?
For the month of January 2022 until now, CPO price remains above 5K.
2021's financial results will be announced by end February 2022.
Looking forward to the early April 2022's announcement on dividend.
During Nov 2021 CPO reached 5000 Investment Bank forecast CPO price sure drop by March 2022. IB latest forecast CPO can sustain until May 2022. Their forecast are wrong since Nov 2019, let see how long they are wrong in their forecast.
Cepat’s production for 2022 is expected to rebound . With strong CPO price , it shall make a lot more profit. EPS 2021 is estimated 12-13 sen. Forecast EpS 2022 is expected to be significantly higher . Present share price is far too undervalued.
When CPO price went up to around RM4,300 a ton about 10 years ago, Cepat reached a peak of about RM1.20 a share. Now CPO is trading at over 30% higher than its previous peak, Cepat should be trading at over RM1.50 instead of just 77 sen.
Cepat's own FFB production in Q4 2021 was 30,462 mt (Q4 2020 28,822 mt), Up 5.7% y-o-y which is fantastic in view of labour shortage. Avg CPO price is 54% higher y-o-y ($5,154 vs $3,341) Therefore, Q4 2021 y-o-y earning growth shall be explosive.
Additionally, own FFB production for Jan 2022 is 17% higher y-o-y (8,278 mt vs 7,060 mt) while CPO price is 43% higher y-o-y ($5,354 VS $3,748) . We will see yet another explosive earning growth for Q1 2022 too.
Cepat share price at 77 sen is just too undervalued!
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
scjm
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Posted by scjm > 2021-10-22 09:20 | Report Abuse
hence an immediate negative response affecting our palm oil sector