@5354 , with fundamental from bad to good and with new management that committed to lead the business back to the glory days, We shall anticipate the share price back to it's prime day. Dont forget MSM will have dividends for it's investor during profitable FY.
If sugar price really increase best is announce late today(if possible after 9.00-10 pm) so that people won't have time to go to supermarket to buy cheaper sugar?
I only consume 0.5 kg sugar a month. Even sugar up RM 1/kg to RM 3.85/kg I only have to pay extra 50 sen sure affordable sum. If those really cannot pay extra they should cut sugar consumption is it hard?
“Felda tidak sepatutnya melihat di luar industri sawit. Kita perlu fokus, dan tidak boleh terlibat dalam terlalu banyak perkara seperti pembuatan gula, memiliki hotel”
Based on previous media report, Wilmar and Syed M was interested. Anyway, that remains as speculation for now.
Personally, I feel if the sugar price is floated MSM will be a profitable company. Alternatively, gov come in and subsidise like what they are doing currently at RM 24 mil per month.
When Gula Perai was under the previous billionaire owner, it received subsidy to the tune of RM 500++million every year!!
1) float price 2) give subsidy/incentive 3) hybrid mechanism ( mix of option 1 and 2) 4) force MSM and CSR to bear the losses to maintain current price.
In terms of risk, option 4 is the riskiest as it most likely will lead to sugar shortage and therefore food security issue in Malaysia if both MSM and CSR go bust. They have been bleeding since the sugar price spike in 2022&2023.
Hence, the only feasible option left is either 1, 2 and 3. Whichever way you cut it, it will benefit MSM greatly as the new sale price will have to cover its cost. It can stop bleeding and record loss and with the Johor plant refinery reliability fully restored now, more can be done to cater for export market.
Personally, I think MSM is a cornered stock. And if food security is a priority for the government, then naturally the only way its share price can go moving forward is UP!!!
@5354_ There will be no buyer who wants to buy MSM if the selling price controlled by government is way below the cost of production. Nobody wants to invest in a “sure loss” business.
For example, government has granted more APs to companies to import sugar. Target volume was 550,000 tonnes. HOWEVER, only 4% (22,000 tonnes) was brought in. NOBODY is willing to bring in sugar from international market at higher price and sell in Malaysia at a loss!! And NOBODY wants to buy MSM without any revision on local sugar pricing.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Luisa7
171 posts
Posted by Luisa7 > 2024-01-24 11:07 | Report Abuse
This is the latest news about the sugar price we are getting currently. May be will got latest news later
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2023/12/07/msm-calls-for-speedy-decision-on-sugar-prices