Since Uncle KYY was using technical analysis in his 1st Sept blog, i will need to warn him by technical analysis too. I am obligated to do this out of respect for the old and also my nature good heart to save everyone in i3. Yes, Hibiscus was on an uptrend and broken 1.02 resistance and 1.06 too. After 1.06, there won't be any convincing resistance until 1.20s. However, Hibiscus was not able to break and hold above 1.06. I suspect someone has been trying to keep the momentum going and support at 1.02 but dare not support 1.06 worried about the selling pressure. The longer it failed to break 1.06, the higher chance of trend reversal. Today is very crucial for uncle to try push Hibiscus to close at minimum 0.985 or higher. Otherwise, a Malaysia dark fibosucker cloud would form and the next support is at 0.86. Uncle, i heard your averaage price around 0.96 right? Good luck
personally i think sell above RM1 and wait for opportunity. As Oct approaching, Sabah government can anytime throw a time bomb to cancel all work permit to Hibiscus with immediate effect....not sure what impact on hibiscus plus oil price is weak now...may drop back to 0.8x range
According to Fourth financial quarter of financial year ended 30 June 2022, page 14 and page 15:
Save as disclosed below, the Directors are not aware of any material contingent liabilities or contingent assets, which, upon becoming enforceable, may have a material impact on the profit or loss, or net assets value of the Group.
On 1 April 2020, the Sabah State Government decided to impose state sales tax (“SST”) on petroleum products sold by SEA Hibiscus Sdn Bhd (“SEA Hibiscus”) and HML (“Companies”) in relation to crude oil being sold from the Labuan Crude Oil Terminal (“LCOT”).
On 21 June 2022, SEA Hibiscus received a payment notice from the Permanent Secretary and Director of State Sales Tax for the SST and a penalty amounting to RM97.31 million in total. SEA Hibiscus vide a reply dated 20 July 2022, informed the state that for SST to apply, SEA Hibiscus would have to be in the business of selling or producing taxable goods in the state. SEA Hibiscus informed the state that it was neither in the business of selling or producing taxable goods in the state and was therefore not liable for the SST payment.
On 8 July 2022, the Companies received a letter from the office of the Chief Minister of Sabah (“Letter”) which stated that the Companies are liable for SST on the basis that the Companies are providing “taxable goods”, namely crude petroleum oils and natural gas from the State of Sabah. On 11 July 2022, the Companies responded to the Letter to clarify that pursuant to the Petroleum Development Act 1974, the Companies cannot and do not provide such “taxable goods” from the State of Sabah and are therefore not legally liable for SST. This is a position which has been affirmed by the Companies’ external legal advisors.
On 10 August 2022, HML received a payment notice from the Permanent Secretary and Director of State Sales Tax for the SST and a penalty amounting to RM14.18 million in total. HML is currently taking external legal advice.
The Directors are of the view that no provision is required in the Group’s financial statements at this juncture based on the facts surrounding the matter and the legal view from the Companies' external legal advisors that the sale of crude oil in the specific case of the Companies would fall outside the scope of the State Sales Tax Enactment 1998.
Here are the law governing the transfer of Labuan to Federal Government: https://sagc.sabah.gov.my/sites/default/files/law/FederalTerritoryOfLabuanEnactment1984.pdf It is very clear as per Article 3, all State's power and jurisdiction shall come to an end. Further, the territory water of Sabah should be 12 nautical miles as Sabah and Sarawak reject the Territory Sea Act 2021. North Sabah and Kinabalu fields are beyond the 12 nautical miles territory water, so the enforcement of SST by Sabah Government on Hibiscus can be considered a low probability.
1) Location of North Sabah oilfields : 33km offshore Kota Kinabalu, Sabah
2) Location of 2012 Kinabalu oilfields : 5° 30' N 114° 50' E , approximate 40km offshore Labuan and approximate 55km nearest coastline Sabah
3) Article 3 of the Law of the Sea Convention 1982 (LOSC) clearly states that a coastal State may claim up to 12-nautical miles (approximately 22 kilometers) of territorial sea from the baseline of the coastal state
4) ON June 22, 2012, Sarawak and Sabah lost their sovereign rights and jurisdiction over the area of the Continental Shelf, consisting of the seabed and its subsoil beneath the high seas contiguous to the territorial waters of the Borneo states, when Territorial Sea Act 2012 (TSA) came into effect, limiting both their jurisdictions to three nautical miles (5.5 km) from the coastline.
5) The implication is that with the reduced breadth limits of its territorial waters, the state’s rights to fisheries, marine and mineral resources, tourism sites in marine areas and so forth are now confined to only 3 nautical miles (5.56 km) from its coastline.
7) Hibiscus does not own the oil produced before the point of sale – the legal ownership of the oil produced is held by Petronas from the point of extraction until the eventual point of sale. Hibiscus, as the independent contractor, is then entitled to receive a pre-agreed portion of the oil as settlement-in-kind for services provided to Petronas
8) The point of sale takes place outside Sabah as Hibiscus’ share of oil is offloaded and sold via crude oil tankers at a single buoy mooring located 5km offshore from Labuan crude oil terminal, which is outside of Sabah’s tax jurisdiction.
9) The Sabah state government has issued a notice to Hibiscus that working permits for its North Sabah and Kinabalu fields will be cancelled on Oct 1, 2022, if payment of the taxes and penalties are not settled. The potential termination of workers’ permits will only affect non-Sabahan workers going in and out of the state. 24% of Hibiscus’s total workforce are Sabahans
10) Hibiscus highlighted that both PSCs’ operations will be able to continue its production with some temporary operation disruptions due to manpower bottlenecks. To minimise any potential production impact, Hibiscus may reallocate its workforce composition by diverting more ancillary workers that are involved in maintenance and other supporting activities to production-related roles.
11) Hibiscus is in a unique situation compared to other oil producers in Sabah mainly because Hibiscus’s oil goes directly to Labuan and not into the Sabah state. Hibiscus is the only company landing oil in Labuan.
Why you angry when the price drop leh. You sold half already like you said mah. You should be happy the price turun so you can buy again mah. Why you kpkb leh. Really tak faham lah. Rileks lah. Judi only lah. No need to kpkb unless you scare to lose lah. Haiyoh. Correct?
BobAxelrod
Dah cakap dah. Poooooki monyet utan buat bising jer. Nak jatuhkan harga.
KUALA LUMPUR: Affin Hwang Capital expects a strong second half of 2022 (2H22) profit turnaround for Velesto Energy Bhd on the back of a higher capacity utilisation. The research house said the drilling market outlook had turned more favourable compared to a quarter ago with demand and charter rates on the rise.
Barring any unforeseen disruptions, it said Velesto should end 2022 with a full-year 59 per cent utilisation. "Management is also sticking to its bullish tone as it expects utilisation to rise close to 80 per cent in 2023 from our existing 65 per cent assumption.
"Velesto has locked in roughly 18 per cent utilisation so far, with most of the potential contracts still under negotiation under Petronas' umbrella package," it said. Meanwhile, the firm said the estimated higher 72 per cent rig utilisation in 2H22, above Velesto's 60 per cent breakeven level should lead to a strong profit turnaround and narrow 2022 losses significantly.
It said 2023 was shaping up to be a strong recovery year driven by a recovery in both rig demand and charter rates. "We reaffirm our Buy rating and target price of 11 sen on Velesto. "We believe market expectation on Velesto has bottomed and downside on its share price appears limited. "We see value emerging and believe that the current share price has not factored in the improving drilling market outlook," it added.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
VFTRADER
788 posts
Posted by VFTRADER > 2022-09-08 11:45 | Report Abuse
Oil dropped due to strong US$ which was not related to the market changed in supply and demand on oil.
US$ will be weaken in 2022-CQ4.
Currently US$ index around 110.
CQ4 might drop below 105??