Hibiscus Petroleum Bhd is keeping to a rosy outlook as it is confident the current macro trends driving the high energy prices and strong performing US dollar will continue.
Q-o-Q revenue doesn't look impressive where sale price avg below USD100pbl. Now crude oil is aleady below USD90 pbl in anticipation of next year's recession and more China cities lockdown. My opinion, it's all but over for crude oil rally.
Only 1 off take for this QR. They announced earlier, so balance will carry forward to Q2. Target 7mil boe & they are on track. Means balance 3 Q to deliver 6mil boe
2023 FY target to sell 7.0 to 7.2 mil boe. With Q1 realized offtake 1.5mil boe: Q2 & Q3 at 2.1 & 1.8 respectively based on their management's planning, Q4 will be at 1.7mil. Means this current Q1 will be the lowest performance in 2023. Hope for the best & Q1 performance is not bad with EPS 7c for a counter at price <RM1.
For the financial year ending 30 June 2023 (“FY2023”), the Group remains on track to sell a total of approximately 7.2 to 7.5 MMboe of oil, condensate and gas.
Benchmark Brent oil edged lower on Thursday while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude held steady, hovering in sight of two-month lows as the level of a proposed G7 cap on the price of Russian oil raised doubts about how much it would limit supply.
A bigger-than-expected build in US gasoline inventories and widening Covid-19 controls in China also added downward pressure on crude prices.
Brent crude futures were down 29 cents, or 0.3%, to US$85.12 a barrel by 15.15 p.m. ET (2015 GMT), while US WTI crude futures rose 2 cents, to US$77.96.
Both benchmarks plunged more than 3% on Wednesday on news the planned price cap on Russian oil could be above the current market level.
European Union governments remained split over what level to cap Russian oil prices at to curb Moscow's ability to pay for its war in Ukraine without causing a global oil supply shock, with more talks possible on Friday if positions converge.
The G7 group of nations is looking at a cap on Russian seaborne oil at US$65-US$70 a barrel, a European official said, though European Union governments have yet to agree on a price.
the current price might see breakthrough after SBB. if you notice now the oil price is consider week but still close to multiple month high. Either SBB or higher oil price will trigger the breakout.
Oil jumped on Tuesday, buoyed by hopes that China would relax its COVID-19 controls after rare protests against the country's zero-COVID strategy over the weekend in big Chinese cities.
Brent crude futures advanced $1.4, or 1.7%, and traded at $84.57 a barrel at 0645 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures rose $1.17, or 1.5%, to $78.39 a barrel.
China held a news conference on COVID prevention and control measures at 3 p.m. (0700 GMT) on Tuesday amid record COVID infections and protests in Shanghai and Beijing.
Asian shares also rallied as unsubstantiated rumours swirled that the unrest might prompt a loosening of the COVID restrictions. Similar rumours have caused markets to zig-zag in recent weeks.
The rare street protests in cities across China over the weekend were a vote against President Xi Jinping's zero-COVID policy and the strongest public defiance during his political career, China analysts said. Beijing has stuck with the zero-COVID policy even as much of the world has lifted most restrictions.
Oil prices are also supported by the expectation that major oil producers would adjust their production plans at the upcoming meeting.
O&G Strategy Q1 2023 1. Short Hengyuan as mentioned two months ago 2. Long Hibiscus (O&G pure play) as well as Coastal Contract (O&G-adjacent play) 3. Small cap penny stock gamble (Velesto energy and RL [Reservoir Link])
OIL prices dipped in Asia trade on Thursday as uncertainty lingered ahead of Sunday's OPEC+ meeting, though easing COVID curbs at the world's top crude importer China capped price declines
Brent crude futures fell 43 cents, or 0.5%, to $86.54 per barrel by 0740 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures eased 42 cents, or 0.5%, to $80.13.
The benchmark oil contracts settled higher by over $2 on Wednesday amid a weaker dollar and optimism over Chinese demand recovery.
"The market remains uncertain about OPEC's decision, with some expecting a cut while others suggest a rollover of the current deal is more likely," ANZ research analysts said in a note on Thursday.
Crude inventories fell by 12.6 million barrels in the week to Nov. 25, higher compared with earlier analysts' expectations for a 2.8 million-barrel drop, according to the Energy Information Administration.
Nonetheless, gasoline and distillate inventories rose more than expected, an indicator of easing demand.
U.S. crude oil output also surpassed 12 million barrels a day, the highest since before the onset of the coronavirus pandemic, the EIA said.
U.S. production of petroleum and other liquids more than doubled to 19.5 million barrels per day in 2019 from 9.1 million bpd in 2009, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
U.S. marginal production (+14.5 million bpd) captured nearly all the increase in global consumption (+14.8 million bpd) between 2009 and 2019.
Analysis: Energy hungry Europe can't look to U.S. shale to fill any OPEC gap
The sidelining of U.S. shale means consumers around the world may face a winter of higher fuel prices. Russia has threatened to block oil sales to countries supporting a European Union price cap, and the United States is winding down releases from emergency oil stockpiles that helped cool energy inflation.
No capacity: Saudi Arabia cannot expand oil production beyond 13 million bpd
Saudi Arabia currently has a 12 million bpd nameplate oil production capacity, which it plans to expand by 1 million bpd by 2027 through a series of offshore incremental projects.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
slts
2,250 posts
Posted by slts > 2022-11-22 04:20 | Report Abuse
fake news