Trump has got only two years left. While his position has become substantially weaker with Republican loss at Senate. By 2019, he is going to be a lame duck. If he does not get impeached even sooner than that.
He is doing all kinds of crazy things now, becos he is struggling to remain relevant.
human resource development through competency training , job grading and succession planning is progressing well and has resulted in improved organisational structure and work flow . outsourcing of facility maintenance activities in3Q 2018 is expected to embed more preventive maintenance routines to improve realiabity , availability and maintainability of operation facilities?
Hi guys and friends, the 3rd Qtr is out yesterday. The P& L account showed loss of about RM 5 m. However, the CASH FLOW account is good, especially the net cash generated from operating activities of RM 32,463 m ( meaning the company make money from the daily activities). The only disappointment is the revenue which is not up to my expectations.
Alaska hit be earth quake, there might be some distruption on oil production for a some time then. I wonder how will this affect the WTI price later on.
Dialog also good long term investment for O&G la. Don't know how many qrtrs already, every qrtr company make RM100+ mil profit
But where got investor like us can make profit from Dialog one. Too stable one, cannot play in & out one. Price RM3.50, sometimes hold six months also can get 10 sen profit only. Like that how to cari makan one.
Let see REACH Q3 result: 1) Revenue just 40.8m less than Q2 67m and Q1 42.4m despite appreciation of USD and claimed that daily production will increase. Assuming Q3 average BRENT $73/m and 90% up time, Q3 production is just 1650bpd , a far cry from projected 3500bpd. 2)high royalty, extraction tax and transport cost, so all in cost could be more than $60pb (Q2 profit generated from defer of interest payment, Q3 finance cost 5m, but no normalised yet) 3)Capex 139m needed in less than one year 4)Borrong repayment due in 2019 is 294m 5)Q2 report: CPF closed to resume, Q3R, no indication on this, expect further delay on CPF completion and production increment subsequently (could be due to no fund as HLIB mentioned in 3 month ago),
from Q2R pg 9 item A7 (i) first 3 item, interest at least 36m, prinsipal payment at least 48.2m9 (total borrowing 627m divide by 13 years : 20yrs-7 yrs in operation) the higher usd higher finance cost
total operating cost per barrel is high, previously calculated usd$55pb could be underestimated, base on 1H2018, operating loss is rm1.7m it mean if the realised selling price is $72.55 (take hibi north sabah ASP, as somebody claim Reach quality similar or better than north sabah) so with 2900bpd and selling price $72.55pb still run into operating lost rm1.7m(page 1 QR)
extract tax, export tax, export duty tax etc is 33% of Revenue, it percentage can only go higher if Brent go higher, which cannot mitigate by bigger scale of production
as CAPEX remain high until year 2023 (commitment, page 10) depreciation cost will go higher
even with current high Brent price, and 12000bpd on year 2020, HLG forecast earning 40m (not yet take Capex and financial cost into consideration)
12000bpd is with assumption CPF completed in 3Q18 (have been delay from 1Q19), and construction work of CPF only will be resume subject to funding avaialbility, part of $100m Reach is looking to raise (HLG report)
all point out during Sep18 just happen in Q3: 1) higher depreciation and armotisation 2) delay in CPF construction resume 3) no avaiable of funding to capex/ increase production, and high capital requirement next three years so the 9months 33m cash from operation is just a peanut compare to finance cost and capital commitment and borrowing requirement
although oil reserve is value, but not so when all in cost is so high, plus REACH just dont the finance strengh to tap into that
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Nicholasming91
3,559 posts
Posted by Nicholasming91 > 2018-12-01 00:43 | Report Abuse
Until Trump pushes his limits, all hells break loose. If the US keep going on like this, long term will be wary