Posted by kc888 > 2016-01-17 13:38 | Report Abuse

Luxchem does not manufacture nitrile, it sources the chemical from Zeon Chemicals of Japan and supplies nitrile to glove producers. I do not have any info of any local competitors who supply the same chemical to the industry and also which glove producers are their customers. I tried to find some linkage between crude oil price, USD/MYR rate and Luxchem’s sales for the past few years. Year 2008: Crude oil price started the year at USD90, up till USD140 at mid before crushed to USD45 at the end of year. USD increased from 3.10 to 3.7 peak. Revenue increased 10% compared to year 2007. Gross profit margin 2008 = 10.63% Year 2009: Crude oil price started the year at low USD45 and rebounded to USD70 before moving up gradually to USD75-80. USD dropped 3.7 to 3.2. However, revenue was down closed to 8%. Gross profit margin 2009 = 11.70% Year 2010: Crude oil price was quite stablished, hovering between USD70 to USD90. USD dropped from 3.3 to 3.05. Revenue up 31% with sales from local increased tremendously. Gross profit margin 2010 = 10.18% Year 2011: Crude oil price was little bit fluctuating, gone up to USD115 from USD95 in the beginning of year, then dropped back to USD80 before end the year at around USD100. USD stabilising around 3.0. Revenue up around 25% with sales mainly from local. Gross profit margin 2011= 8.73% Year 2012 & 2013: Crude oil price was stabilising and forming a convergence between USD88 and USD108. USD stabilising around 3.1 before moving up to 3. 3 at year end. Revenue for 2012 & 2013 remained flat. Gross profit margin 2012 = 8.72% With oil price keeps going down from time to time, Perhaps Luxchem, a good buy?