Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:17 | Report Abuse

Geopolitics!

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16 comment(s). Last comment by Tobby 2022-03-08 03:20

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:18 | Report Abuse

Putin has been winning for years! Crimea was a win! Syria was a win! Venezuala another win! You name it, win, win, win!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:19 | Report Abuse

So going into Ukraine, Putin expected a fast win! 2 weeks top! That's what his gameplan which was leak recently! It should be over by mid March and ukranians would dance and rejoice Putin the winner!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:21 | Report Abuse

Suddenly, things go out of hand! Suddenly, he realise ukrainians are picking up arms against his armies! Suddenly world leaders start to cut ties with Russia! And maybe unexpectedly his circle of elites can no longer enjoy the privileges that they are so used to! Now the oligachs yahcts are seized by other nations! The obligachs can't used their money as their bank accoutns freezed!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:26 | Report Abuse

You know Putin desperation as Putin unleash his threats and intimidation against world leaders! As long as world leaders stand firm against this madman, Putin will eventually crumble as Russia economy collapse!
If US and EU ban Russia crude oil imports, that would mean the end of Putin! Oil is major export of Russia! Cut out crude oil exports, give and take a month later, Russia simply paralyze!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:26 | Report Abuse

You know Putin desperation as Putin unleash his threats and intimidation against world leaders! As long as world leaders stand firm against this madman, Putin will eventually crumble as Russia economy collapse!
If US and EU ban Russia crude oil imports, that would mean the end of Putin! Oil is major export of Russia! Cut out crude oil exports, give and take a month later, Russia simply paralyze!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:28 | Report Abuse

Ukraine is no Cremia! Not even close to Syria! Ukraine is totally different animal! You talking about highly patriotic citizens who are more than willing to die! Putin may win this battle but he won't be able to substain this occupation! Ukrainians will eliminate russian soldiers slowly but surely! Unlike Aghanistan, you only deal with few thousand talibans! How are you going to deal with millions of arm ukrainians!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:30 | Report Abuse

How will Putin or rather Russia survive isolation from the rest of the world! No world leader except China will throw lifeline! And mind you, China is benefiting tremendously from this conflict! China can buy cheap crude from Russia and sell them at premium to others! Russia is at mercy of China!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:37 | Report Abuse

If Putin became weak, there's a huge chance of NATO intervention! I foresee NATO going into Ukraine if Russa economy collapse and Putin under huge pressure from his own inner circle!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:37 | Report Abuse

In short, this may lead to demise of Putin!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:38 | Report Abuse

Hence, if this happens, China will be in deep trouble! If Putin is defeated by US and EU, then China will not be able to proceed with Taiwan invasion!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 02:43 | Report Abuse

After 22 years at the top of foodchina, perhaps this round Putin has totally miscalculate the outcome of Ukraine invasion! Perhaps Ukraine is Putin's Waterloo! It's now in hands of obligachs! And the obligachs are now in difficult positon! Support Putin, they will lose! Throw Putin under the bus, the sooner the better!

Kiki

4,688 posts

Posted by Kiki > 2022-03-08 02:47 | Report Abuse

Ok. Now this all depends on China to help Putin. If Putin is down , China also will go down.

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 03:16 | Report Abuse

Kiki! Yeah, the Russia China axis is now KIV! If Putin is out, Xi would be friendless! US EU knew this, so the pressure is very heavy on Putin! I won't bet on Putin! Putin against the world! Go figure!
China won't go down! China is totally different animal! But if Putin is out, Xi won't not proceed with Taiwan invasion!

Tobby

5,999 posts

Posted by Tobby > 2022-03-08 03:20 | Report Abuse

At this point, Putin is not doing well at all! Especially after so many fake ceasefire! Putin intimidation and threats shows things are not going his way this round! 100% of his army already in Ukraine! And the unexpected resistance within Ukraine was not within Putin's calculation! He miscalculate! Badly!

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