We maintain HOLD on MYETF DJ Islamic 25 but adjust up our fair value (FV) by 6% to RM1.49 (from RM1.41) based on our FVs (for stocks under our coverage) and consensus FVs (for stocks not under our coverage). It is at a slight premium to its NAV of RM1.37 (Exhibit 3).
In 1H 2020, the ETF reported an investment income of RM30.1mil (comprising a gross dividend income and syariahcompliant deposit profits of RM3.3mil and a net investment gain of RM26.8mil), surging about 5x from RM6.2mil in 1H2019. Having accounted for expenditure and tax, it registered a net gain after tax of RM29.3mil, which was more than 5x higher than RM5.2mil in 1H2019 (see Exhibit 5). This was reflective of a steep 10.3% rise in the Dow Jones Islamic Market Malaysia Titans 25 Index to 1,076 pts from 975 pts in 1H2020 driven by a sharp rally in glove stocks vs. only a 1.3% rise to 987 pts from 974 pts in 1H2019. The rally in glove stocks was driven by significantly improved earnings prospects of glove makers underpinned by a steep jump in average selling price of gloves thanks to a surge in demand amidst the Covid-19 pandemic
We believe the upside to glove stocks and hence the healthcare sector is now capped, on the back of the significant progress made in the development of Covid-19 vaccines as well as treatment methodology in recent months. Meanwhile, we maintain our views on other key sectors tracked by the ETF, i.e. consumer goods, oil & gas and telecommunications (Exhibit 2). Despite the dented consumer confidence in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic, sales of consumer goods will be supported by the inelastic demand for consumer staple items (particularly, food items). For consumer discretionary items, we see a bright spot in automobiles, driven by the sales tax holiday under the shortterm Economic Recovery Plan (Penjana).
Meanwhile, we believe oil prices have found support with the gradual recovery in demand from China as it reopens its economy, while Opec+ continues to exercise production restraint. Telcos are riding on a new wave of digitalisation of the economy, partially offset by rising mobile competition amidst escalating capex requirements.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....