I think GENM is approaching accumulation zone, and I am queueing at 2.5 with a GTC Limit Buy order.
My investment goal is a modest one - target total returns equal 9% per annum, where:
Chart below is self-explanatory - don't know exactly when but some time during 2025-26, something may happen. As the stock has a long term uptrend, I am guessing the bias is on the upside, although no guarantees. My conviction is so-so i.e. average i.e. average position sizing. In a 40 dividend stock portfolio, neutral will be 2.5%, and can split into 2-3 parcels - no need to be greedy. Trend lines can sometimes be broken, hence, don't over-bet if you want to position your portfolio to make new all time highs.
I am content with 9% per annum total return target - no need to be greedy. 6% per annum income means if price goes down, because of small position size, we have many options such as do nothing (and collect dividends), or consider doing a 2nd buy trade when price fall has stabilized, as it is impossible to imagine GENM to go bust, being the only casino in the country.
Disclaimer: As always, you are solely responsible for your own investing and trading decisions.
PS. I already own GENM - when it rise to 2.9, I sold a significant size as I felt it was still in a consolidation zone. So, my buy back at 2.5 is to buy back what I previously sold partially.
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It might go to 2.40 . Genm has Hugh borrowing. At the moment, interest charges are quite high. Wait for us to reduce interest
2024-06-12 20:39
@speakup, lol. I wish. Mr Market has proven me wrong so many times, I completely lost count, and I will continue to be wrong many, many more times in future.
For GENM, I also wish 15 sen dividend is guaranteed, but we both know this is never guaranteed too. I sincerely hope people diversify and not be greedy, so that if there's a dividend cut one day downstream, they won't be too disappointed, and if there is a dividend increase in the future they won't be too euphoric too.
Cheers!
2024-06-13 21:56
DividendGuy67
PS. Technical analysts who draw trend lines know that there is a common observation that differentiates the strength of trend lines. Basically, there's this simple rule of thumb that says that if the trend line is drawn over a longer period vs a shorter period, then, the longer period trend line is stronger.
So, the bottom trend line spans nearly 28 years. This one must respect.
The top trend line spans a much shorter period. All things equal, it is weaker.
This is why instinctively, I say that when it comes to 2025-26, the bias is tilted towards upside, say 80/20 chance.
Now that I think about it, it's because the trend line patterns that I draw is a common one that I've seen before many times in the past.
Anyway, nobody knows the future, so, don't bet the farm. Just sharing some common TA observations.
2024-06-12 03:11