We maintain our BUY call, forecasts and SOP-based FV of RM1.35 (Exhibit 2) for Ekovest.
The company’s 1HFY18 core net profit of RM94.8mil came within expectation at 56% of both our full-year forecast and full-year consensus estimates.
Ekovest's 1HFY18 net profit rose 17% YoY largely underpinned by: 1) progress billings from EkoCheras property project; and 2) increased toll collection from the newly opened Duke Phase 2 in 2Q18.
These were partially offset by lower billings from its construction projects. Also, 1HFY18 construction EBIT dipped 24% YoY due to a high base a year ago, driven by the high-margin Duke Phase 2 project.
On a brighter note, we believe Ekovest will post better earnings in the 2HFY18 underpinned by: 1) accelerated billings from its key construction projects such as Setiawangsa – Pantai Expressway (SPE); and 2) better sales from its property projects (i.e. EkoTitiwangsa & EkoCheras).
Meanwhile, we are keeping our assumption for Ekovest's construction job wins at RM1bil annually FY18-20F respectively.
We continue to like Ekovest for: 1) the current share price is trading a steep ~50% discount to our base case valuation of RM1.80 largely due to the market’s negative over-reaction to Ekovest’s proposed acquisition of IWCity, 2) strong outstanding construction order book of RM14bil; 3) strong earnings visibility over the coming years from the sizeable outstanding order book; and 4) sturdy recurring income from toll concessions lasting up to August 2069.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....