We cut our FY18-20F earnings forecasts by 5%, 9% and 17% respectively and decrease our FV by 9% to RM1.71 (from RM1.88) but maintain our HOLD call.
Our FV is based on 14x revised FY19 EPS, in line with our benchmark forward PE of 13-15x for mid-cap listed construction companies.
We trim our order book replenishment assumption in FY18-20F to RM700mil annually (from RM1bil). This is to reflect the prolonged slowdown in the property market, particularly the luxury high-rise segment. To recap, Kerjaya Prospek’s niche strength lies in the construction of high-margin luxury condominium projects.
On a positive note, Kerjaya Prospek has been awarded by BBCC Development Sdn Bhd a 36-month contract for the construction of two service apartment blocks (35- and 47-storey respectively) at Bukit Bintang City Centre (BBCC) for RM357mil.
This is the first contract Kerjaya Prospek has won in FY18, boosting its outstanding construction order book to RM3.1bil.
We continue to like Kerjaya Prospek for: 1) its strong earnings visibility underpinned by an order backlog of RM3.1bil; 2) its niche strength in the construction of premium high-rise residential projects; and (3) its proven track record with major blue-chip developers in Malaysia who are its repeat customers.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....