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Weekly Futures Market Outlook 6 to 10 Nov 2017

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Publish date: Mon, 06 Nov 2017, 10:16 AM
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FKLI & FCPO Weekly Outlook Text:

Today's market outlook will be a bit different in terms of analysis because i received a few questions from traders telling me that they had a hard time trying to understand what the market is trying to tell them. And if you one of the many traders who are struggling, do not worry. We all been thru that in our trading journey. It's part of learning. So today I am going to use a simple concept which hopefully can help you make sense and most important help you understand what the market is trying to tell you.

The financial market is a battleground. Every market, FKLI or FCPO or Forex, you go, you will see there are buyers and sellers in a constant battle, fighting to take control of the market. In one corner, you have the buyers. When buyers won the battle, they will conquer the area previously held by the sellers, and then they will continue moving upwards towards the next area or castle hold by the sellers. When the buyers defeated the sellers again, they will continue move upwards. Hence you will see that once a resistance is broken, prices will continue move upwards. However, if the buyers are exhausted or lack in numbers, this means prices do not have momentum to move upwards and soon the sellers will win the battle and push prices down to the next level held by the buyers.

In short, these process repeat every single time when the market opens. When you see the market as a battleground, you will have a much clearer picture.

 

FKLI

First up its FKLI. Price is currently trading above this support zone of 1,730. Which means the buyers are in control of the market and naturally they are likely to move up north to attack the next sellers area, which is 1,740. If the sellers in that level is defeated, the buyers will continue to take prices up to the next area of 1,753. There are a few more key areas and strongholds held by the sellers around 1,761 and 1,770. So if we expect FKLI to have a strong rally towards the end of the year, the buyers armies need to defeat these areas.

However if the sellers managed to stop the buyers at 1,730 and bring price below 1,730, this means the sellers are in control. And when this situation happens, we want to follow the sellers and find opportunities to short the market. Then we have to be aware of these support areas when we are holding our short positions. This is because there are still buyers hanging around this area. First support target is 1,717 and second support target is 1,700. Risk management will be 1,730. 
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FCPO

Lets check out FCPO and use the same buyer/seller army concept to plan ahead. Last traded price is currently at 2,804, just below the 2820 resistance/seller zone. This give us a critical information that the sellers just taken control of the market. Judging from price action, there is a high possibility that the sellers will try to take the market down towards either this 2,780 area or even this 2,737, if the buyers are weak. Risk management is 2,820 level.
 
However, there is another potential situation where the buyers could spring a surprise and defeat the sellers. Hence we as traders must be prepared for this scenario as well, like good generals. Shall this situation happen we will want to look for buying opportunities. Buyers could face potential roadblock at 2,850. If this can be destroyed, we could see the buyers thunder up right at the gates of this seller 2,900 zone. Risk management is 2,820 zone.
 
Alright, that wraps up our weekly analysis. I hope this simple buyer/seller army concept can easily help you make sense of the market. It had definitely helped me understand what the market is trying to tell me and I am sure it will help you the same. I highly encourage you to start looking the market this way. I wish you all the best in your trading this week and I will see you again soon. Trade well.
 

FKLI & FCPO & Forex events to watch out this week (Msia Time). Take good care of your trades.

Every 10th biz day of monthMalaysia Palm Oil Board’s Palm Oil stocks data. Expect some price volatility for FCPO.

Every 10th, 15th, 20th, 25th and last biz day of monthITS & SGS Palm Oil export data. Expect some price volatility for FCPO.

 

DISCLAIMER

The information contained in this article is for reference only. No individual financial goals & risk appetite have been taken into account. Futures trading involve high risks.

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