Wawasan2020 - i3investor

Market Crash. Is It Over, Or Is It The 'Revenant' (sharing from seekingalpha)

enigmatic [bamboo investing style]
Publish date: Thu, 19 Mar 2020, 04:46 PM
Discussions
Be the first to like this. Showing 22 of 22 comments

ahbah

Opinion - now just alpha mkt crash onli.

2020-03-19 17:04

apolloang

boosa mon down till thurs,tomoro sembayang day rebound.....hehe

2020-03-19 17:38

enigmatic ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Is it over? Or is this only the beginning?
Anyhow, at least no further losses today.

https://img.eservice-hk.net/upload/2018/01/05/005506_c5ee0ef1b3d3c76b614b20da3f6f6220.gif

2020-03-20 17:28

enigmatic ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

The worst seems to be over for China in their combat with Covid-19.

But the USA? Not yet.

It took China 2 months to reduce the cases WITH STRINGENT LOCKDOWN. USA has NOT FULLY LOCKDOWN yet.

Is there guarantee the USA can contain the virus as efficient as China? Maybe.

After some further reading online articles, I think the worst has yet to come from USA.

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.

2020-03-21 13:25

ahbah

As Dow tumbles 900 points Friday, a bearish ‘death cross’ has appeared in its chart.

How our KLCI for the coming Monday ?

Our KLCI can tahan the DJ bearish death cross ?

2020-03-21 15:10

Stncwsss

Over? Just started. Dow will plunge to 11k. Klci 500

2020-03-21 15:11

Up_down

US has started half lockdown its states one another ie...California, New York, Illinois, Florida & Nevada. Germany is another country to join the lockdown league soon.

2020-03-21 15:17

ahbah

What are we to do now to face the on going mkt plunge ?

Clear our portfolio to kosong to protect our last chicken feed balance

in our portfolio ?

2020-03-21 15:17

moven00

Eh, ini article bagus ye. Terima kasih orang yang share ni ye. Beruang attack...Grrrgghh

2020-03-21 15:23

Up_down

It depends on your risks tolerance level. Of course, maintaining a high % of cash on hand in preparing for the worst situation is advisable.

Posted by ahbah > Mar 21, 2020 3:17 PM | Report Abuse

What are we to do now to face the on going mkt plunge ?

Clear our portfolio to kosong to protect our last chicken feed balance

in our portfolio ?

2020-03-21 15:27

Lucky81

Monday sell all shares and short klci.

2020-03-21 15:50

ahbah

Your short klci = long H warrants ?

2020-03-21 15:54

Up_down

Global supply chain will be seriously disrupted due to unstoppable locking down of countries.

https://youtu.be/2lfLyZOsN_I

2020-03-21 16:05

Lucky81

can buy FKLI since everyone said it will drop like no tomorrow. If that happen,can huat.

2020-03-21 16:05

Keyman188

Fund allocation...

35% of investment fund - during range 1200 ~ 1300

35% of investment fund - during range 1050 ~ 1200

30% of investment fund - during below 1050...............


Example :-

Assumption investment fund : $ 200,000

During 1200 ~ 1300 lvl, intend to purchase 5 Co. (35% of total investmet funds allocation)

Co.A @ 2.00 = allocation of $ 18,500 = 9,200 units

Co.B @ 1.70 = allocation of $ 15,500 = 9,100 units

Co.C @ 1.50 = allocation of $ 14,000 = 9,300 units

Co.D @ 1.30 = allocation of $ 12,000 = 9,200 units

Co.E @ 1.10 = allocation of $ 10,000 = 9,000 units


If index further decelerated to 1050 ~ 1200 lvl, then another 35% of total investment funds allocation

Co.A @ 1.50 = allocation of $ 19,000 = 12,600 units

Co.B @ 1.30 = allocation of $ 16,500 = 12,700 units

Co.C @ 1.10 = allocation of $ 14,000 = 12,700 units

Co.D @ 0.90 = allocation of $ 11,500 = 12,700 units

Co.E @ 0.70 = allocation of $ 9,000 = 12,800 units


If index further decelerated below 1050, then balance 30% of total investment funds allocation

Co.A @ 1.10 = allocation of $ 19,000 = 17,200 units

Co.B @ 0.90 = allocation of $ 15,500 = 17,200 units

Co.C @ 0.70 = allocation of $ 12,000 = 17,100 units

Co.D @ 0.50 = allocation of $ 8,500 = 17,000 units

Co.E @ 0.30 = allocation of $ 5,000 = 16,600 units
## So total share holding & average price for each company :-

Co.A = $ 56,220 / 39,000 units = $ 1.4415

Co.B = $ 47,460 / 39,000 units = $ 1.2169

Co.C = $ 39,890 / 39,100 units = $ 1.0202

Co.D = $ 31,890 / 38,900 units = $ 0.8198

Co.E = $ 23,840 / 38,400 units = $ 0.6208


%% At the end, the final average price of each company almost lower than the price during 1050 ~ 1200 index level

@@ This is illustration & reference only....

2020-03-21 16:07

moven00

Bro Keyman188, kurang satu langkah. Tambah satu lagi langkah.

2020-03-21 16:13

Keyman188

I always deserve the right to reserve 1 more step....


Haa...Haa...

2020-03-21 16:17

Up_down

Be prepared for the worst. This tsunami is going to be much severe than year 2008.

2020-03-21 18:49

ahbah

If much severe than yr 2008, then I better kosongkan my portfolio during the coming Monday.

Correct ?

2020-03-21 21:18

calvintaneng

Posted by ahbah > Mar 21, 2020 9:18 PM | Report Abuse

If much severe than yr 2008, then I better kosongkan my portfolio during the coming Monday.

Correct ?

Yes can kosongkan all

Then switch to stocks that will benefit from Govt economic stimulation jobs like NFCP

2020-03-21 21:25

ahbah

ok.

2020-03-21 21:31

ahbah

SYDNEY (March 23): Asian shares sank on Monday as a rising tide of national lockdowns threatened to overwhelm policymakers' frantic efforts to cushion what is likely to be a deep global recession.

In a foretaste of the pain to come, E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 dived 5% at the open to be limit down, while EUROSTOXXX 50 futures tumbled 6.4%.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan lost 3.8%, with New Zealand's market shedding a record 10% as the government closed all non-essential businesses.

Shanghai blue chips dropped 2.3%, though Japan's Nikkei rose 0.8% aided perhaps by expectations of more aggressive asset buying by the Bank of Japan.

Current status now : likely deep global recession ??? What to do now ???

2020-03-23 11:36

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