frozenn investment blog
Advice on my portfolio performance.
I am a newbie in stock market. Started to invest in Jan 2017. Currently my portfolio is at negative 11% paper loss. As of today paper loss + realized gain stood at +4.37.
I just want to ask, is it normal to have a portfolio of double digit paper loss? This is the worst loss since my entry into the market. Appreciate sifus can give me some advice what I should do (average down, cut loss, etc...)? Any comment welcomed. TQ.
My portfolio consists of 9 stocks as below:
Discussions
2 people like this. Showing 36 of 36 comments
Congratulations! You did better than great Grandmaster WB
https://www.fool.com/investing/2018/02/09/warren-buffett-has-lost-112-billion-in-1-week.aspx
2018-02-10 20:10
I'm just a small fry and can't give much guidance on your portfolio.
Below is part of my investment key points:
1. Always go back to the initial basis why invest in the counter.
2. My investment is based on FVI and stay away from the crowd.
2. What is the action plan if the company fundamental changes?
3. What is the action plan if the industry/sector(macro factor) changes?
4. Always must have an exit/cut lost plan?
5. Continue learn will help you to improve in your investment
2018-02-10 20:43
Just curious, are you invested in any warrants ?
my opinion is pls stay away from warrants until you experienced enough, to appreciate the downside.
Your cash position at 70% is v. good level, since BURSA is expected to b volatile, my suggestion is to keep cash level at 50% or more always.This will allow you to take advantage of unexpected bargains for short term trading gains.
Your current net return of 4.37% (aftr one mth) is good !
2018-02-10 21:00
traderman, this is the longest list i ever have, i started to feel a bit burden to manage them.
feimah, thanks for the guide lines. my furniture stock fall under your note #3, but i am in dilemma to cut as i think it is selling cheap, but i scare it will fall further.
More2It, 2 of my 9 stocks are company warrants, expiry at 3 years time. My +4.37% is after one year, not one month...just like FD..haiz...I think largely due to underinvest.
2018-02-10 21:14
Honest opinion, consider to rotate your telco and furniture stocks into other sector stocks.
The other sectors are okay.
Reason: we are currently in the cycle of increasing interest rate, telco market weightage will be underperformed, because telco usually have high borrowings, increase in interest rate will eats up their profit.
Secondly: USD is in a strong weakening cycle, you may confirm this with us dollar index, increase in us fed rate failed to revive us dollar so the weakening of us dollar will only continues. So I'm assuming your furniture is export based, given that us dollar will further weakens, I don't foresee positive catalyst to the profitability of export company in mid to long term.
Just my two cents
2018-02-10 21:16
your current net return of 4.37% (aftr one year) is commendable ! (did not lose money, good start !)
2018-02-10 21:23
Banking stocks are definitely a no brainier bet this year, because increased interest rate will benefit them the most, a boost of profitability on existing outstanding loan without doing anything.
2018-02-10 21:24
agree with SpecTraChart on furniture sector, is facing challenging times now. U can confirm with the latest analyst reports.
2018-02-10 21:26
US dollar is strengthening against ringgit AGAIN. It is a cycle. You can see oil price keeps decreasing and will go back to US 30 dollars again. On top of that, US rate hike will push ringgit downward further to RM 4.50.
2018-02-10 22:07
Do not trust at all Analysts reports. If they were so good ,hey should have become billionaires already and don't need to work and follow what clients want them to write. Be Careful!
2018-02-10 22:09
2 stocks dropped more than 25% and other majority dropped more than 15%. this is scary....would it go down further? is the fundamental good? any good prospect? very painful hold those making huge loss stocks. wish you luck
2018-02-10 22:21
Buy more furniture stocks such as Hevea, Homeritz, JayCorp (plus construction) that prices are low now with good dividends paid.
2018-02-10 22:24
Normal. Stick to your long term plan. If you are short term player, i have no advice as I despise short term "investing".
2018-02-10 22:33
good key points to take away~
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/laulauramblings/147015.jsp
2018-02-10 22:46
with 70% cash you can slowly choose some good stock with bargain price or average down holding stock, nothing to worry as you better than those who already all in.
2018-02-11 00:06
Why has ringgit been stable? Becuase USD has not been so strong. In fact most currencies in emerging markets have been quite stable during the global stock sell-off because USD has not been so strong. That's why stocks in emerging markets have been outperfperforming stocks in developped countries during the global stock sell-off. Malaysians don't need to worry about the global stock sell-off as long as ringgit has been stable.
2018-02-11 00:10
Now you can buy semiconductor stocks.
If USDMYR drops, it is likely that overall Malaysian stocks will rebound, so semiconductor stocks will get boosted by the market sentiment.
If USDMYR goes up, it will be good for export oriented stocks,so semiconductor stocks will rebound near future.
2018-02-11 00:41
Study on stock markets in emerging countries
Malaysia
USDMYR 3.973 (one month ago)
USDMYR 3.9394 (now)
KLCI 1820.25 (one month ago)
KLCI 1819.82 (now)
Thailand
USDTHB 31.96 (one month ago)
USDTHB 31.71 (now)
SET 1812.89 (one month ago)
SET 1786.45 (now)
Indonesia
USDIDR 13,395.00 (one month ago)
USDIDR 13,623.00 (now)
JKSE 6397.959 (one month ago)
JKSE 6505.52 (now)
USA
Dow Jones 25574.73 (one month ago)
Dow Jones 24190.90 (now)
US Dollar Index 92.508 (one month ago)
US Dollar Index 90.32 (now)
Conclusion: currencies and stock prices in emerging countries in Southeast Asia have been quite stable during the global stock sell-off. They will remain stable as long as their currencies are stable.
Regarding Malaysia, due to the factors below
1. ringgit has been stable
2. oil price has been high
3. in 2017 Malaysian stocks underperformed their global counterparts,
stock prices will remain more stable than stock prices in developped countries.
2018-02-11 09:19
Here’s what Warren Buffett says to do when the market tanks
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/08/heres-what-warren-buffett-says-to-do-when-the-market-tanks.html
2018-02-11 09:45
Oil Price down means ringgit down. Don't need to argue . Ringgit is weakening from now onward. Oil market is always oversupply everyday. Just OPEC and Malaysia and some countries try to control the price and make it high but they eventually fail. We will see again US$30 per barrel sooner or later.
2018-02-11 13:44
30 is no lah, 30 will only happen unless opec abandon status quo and go for cut throat strategy to kill the shales
2018-02-11 13:54
Hard to imagine how they want to manipulate the stock price next.....
This is certainly a very emotuonally and psychologically taxing period
Inexperienced traders may best just stay aside and watch first (NOT A BAD IDEA)
2018-02-11 14:01
Edge report on issues faced by furniture sector :
Furniture makers see changing fortunes
Esther Lee
The Edge Malaysia
December 19, 2017 17:00 pm +08
http://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/furniture-makers-see-changing-fortunes
2018-02-11 20:27
is fine... u stil have 70% cash bro... i have -60% cash bro... i had invested 160% of my money. (100% of my total cash + 60% margin position). and my lost if super huge. around 3-4 years of my salary....
2018-02-11 22:05
U bought at the wrong time. If you bought in the beginning of 2017, your result will be different.
Prepare to get stuck for quite a while until the Dow comes back to all time high.
2018-02-11 22:44
saw 2 mistakes.
bot wrong stocks at the rite time and not being efficient in capital allocation.
my advice to u is to stay out of the market and do a strategy review.
whether u want to cut loss is up to u, i will not give any advice on it.
i think i know which telco u bot.
2018-02-11 23:03
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lol now market bad mah.. loss is normal
2018-02-10 20:03