Journey to Wealth
MISC Bhd - It's time to buy back
Period 1Q12
Actual vs. Expectations
1Q12 saw a core net loss of RM128.2m as compared to our FY12 full year net profit of RM928.1m and RM977.3m that of the market consensus.
The result was, however, broadly in line with our expectation as the loss incurred by the Liner business in 1Q12 is likely to be the last one before the unit winds up in Jun 2012.
Dividends No dividend was declared as expected
Key Results Highlights
The 1Q12 headline net loss narrowed by 73% QoQ to RM465.1m from RM1.7b while revenue slid 16% YoY to RM2.4b from RM2.9b.
The reported numbers in 1Q12 included a RM116.4m impairment on chemical vessels and an additional RM220.5m Liner exit provision.
Despite revenue dipping 2% QoQ, LNG Shipping posted a 1Q12 PBT which rose 2% QoQ to USD116.0m, thanks to improved charter rates.
1Q12 loss before tax for Petroleum Shipping meanwhile narrowed 41% to USD40.7m due to improved freight rate for Aframax (+22%) although VLCC declined 24% QoQ.
Likewise, 1Q12 loss before tax for Chemical Shipping also narrowed 30% to USD18.8m due to freight rates, which rose 17% QoQ. But, bunker cost also rose 7% QoQ.
Loss before tax for Container & Logistics dropped 48% to USD100.9m, which included the Liner provision of USD63.5m and USD8.4m for vessel impairment.
Offshore's 1Q12 PBT dipped 8% QoQ to USD29.8m due to unrealised forex loss for FPSO Brasil.
Heavy Engineering's PBT meanwhile gained 71% QoQ to USD28.3m due mainly to higher contributions from new projects i.e. Tapis EOR and Teluk Gas projects.
Tank Terminals' PBT dropped 5% to USD8.0m on lower earnings from VTTI.
Outlook Better earnings prospects for LNG, Offshore, Heavy Engineering and Tank Terminal on additional fleet and capacity are expected from 2012.
In the near term, tough time remains for the Petroleum and Chemical business due to volatile charter rates, unyielding bunker costs and the imbalance in the demand and supply of vessels.
Change to Forecasts
No changes to our estimates.
Source: Kenanga
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
