We maintain our Buy call on SapuraKencana with an unchanged fair value of RM3.76. We remain positive on SapuraKencana's earnings outlook, underpinned by its extensive oilfield service capabilities, which allows it to undertake major oilfield services contract, overseas and locally. Completion of its tender rig business would provide further earnings upside of approximately 18-20% in FY01/14. The deal is expected to be completed by 2Q CY2013. SapuraKencana is our top pick for big cap O&G service providers.
Within expectations.SapuraKencana's 4QFY01/13 core net profit of RM123.9m brought full-year FY01/13 core profit to RM482.7m. This is in line with our and consensus estimates, accounting for 97% and 98% of our and consensus estimates respectively. Revenue grew by 44.1%, driven mainly by its offshore construction and subsea division (OCSS).
Margins were weaker.PBT margins contracted by 7.4%-pts yoy, although this is was mainly due to: 1) one-off merger costs of approximately RM130-140m; and 2) higher interest expense due to the debt undertaken to finance the merger. We expect margins to recover in FY01/14, as the synergies of the merger are realised as SapuraKencana continues to execute more contracts.
Expect more Malaysian contracts in FY01/14. We believe SapuraKencana is one of the main beneficiaries of Petronas' 5-year RM300bn capex commitment due to its scale and capabilities. Furthermore, given that it has achieved first gas for Berantai, we expect it to bid for more marginal field RSC's. Petronas is expected to award more RSC's this year as it only awarded one (KBM cluster) in 2012.
Forecasts. No change to our earnings forecasts pending its analyst briefing later today.
Investment case.Our fair value is unchanged at RM3.76, based on 21x pro-forma FY01/14.