Fundamental Overview

▪ Ringgit weathered market turbulence last week as investors sought shelter in USD as number of confirmed cases passed one million globally. In addition, heightened fears of global recession and possibility of another extension of the Movement Control Order in Malaysia had kept investors away from ringgit and other riskier assets.

▪ MYR is set to endure market volatility and stabilise against USD this week on expectation of stabilisation in oil prices following the OPEC+ meetingthis week. Besides, FTSE Russell’s announcement and positive external trade figures are expected to provide further support to MYR.

Technical Analysis

▪ EMA signals a marginal upside momentum in MYR this week, with the local note predicted to marginally appreciate by 0.06% against the greenback from its closing price of 4.355 last Friday.

▪ The technical outlook shifts towards a bullish trend for the local note, with an immediate support seen at (S1) 4.330and (S2) 4.304. A downward bias may arise, should the pair tilt above the (R1) 4.372 resistance level.

Source: Kenanga Research - 6 Apr 2020