Koon Yew Yin's Blog
Investment Lesson on price volatility and fluctuation - Koon Yew Yin
Koon Yew Yin
Publish date: Fri, 18 Dec 2015, 12:12 PM
Koon Yew Yin
0 1,429
An official blog in i3investor to publish sharing by Mr. Koon Yew Yin.
All materials published here are prepared by Mr. Koon Yew Yin
All materials published here are prepared by Mr. Koon Yew Yin
Last evening 4 young lecturers, all about 30 years old from Super Education Group came from KL to visit me in Ipoh. They told me that they have been reading all the articles I posted and have been making money from the shares I recommended such as Latitude, Lii Hen and VS. As all the shares have gone up a few hundred per cent, they wish to know what are my top picks.
Obviously they have been following my share selection golden rule which is that I must be very sure the company can make more money this year than last before I buy the share.
Now they want to know how to become a super investor and become millionaires as soon as possible. They reminded me of my youth when I was so passionate about making money to become a millionaire.
I am encouraged to continue posting articles because there are so many people have benefitted. Fortunately there are only a few idiots who continue to make senseless remarks and seemingly quite happy to remain poor.
Among the 7 traits which I have elaborated in my previous article, the most important, and rarest, trait of all is the ability to live through price volatility and fluctuation without changing your logical thinking process. This is almost impossible for most people to do when the share goes through a price correction. A swing up or down over a relatively short time period is not a loss and therefore not risk, unless you are prone to panicking at the bottom and locking in the loss. But most people just cannot see it that way; their brains would not let them. Their panic instinct steps in and shuts down the normal brain function.
Most investors believe that no share can continuously go up or come down indefinitely for whatever reason. They will sell to take profit and buy back during price correction. But quite often, the correction is mild especially if the share has fantastic profit growth prospect. They would not buy back at a price higher than the price they sold.
Among the shares I am holding, Ge Shen, Can One and Chin Well are my best performers yesterday with unusually high volume . They went up 22, 17 and 16 sen respectively. Many ordinary investors would have sold and many smart investors would have bought.
The following 3 price charts show that they often have price corrections and only ordinary investors would have sold and would not buy back when they continue their climb.
If you want to improve your technic in investing you have to study this article carefully until you have mastered them. You have to absolve them into your brain so that you can react automatically like a reflect action.
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Discussions
12 people like this. Showing 50 of 53 comments
4 students, future to be "Stock God", then Koon will be "God of the Stock God"
2015-12-18 14:04
MR. KOON - TIME TO BUY BACK YOUR JTIASA
Last year I warn you to sell Jtiasa when it was around Rm2.70
Why sell then?
Because Calvin saw the danger emanating from thousands of shale oil rigs from North Dakota and other parts of USA.
True enough Shale Oil wrecked havoc on both Crude Oil & Biodiesel Oil which pulled down JTiasa then
Why Buy Jtiasa now?
1) BECAUSE NEXT YEAR EL NINO WILL THE AMONG THE WORSE EVER! EL NINO WILL WRECK HAVOC ON CORN & SOY BEAN OIL - LEADING TO A SHARP RISE IN PALM OIL - SO JTIASA WILL BENEFIT GREATLY
2) JTIASA OIL PALM TREES ARE ALMOST 7 YEARS OLD - NOW MATURING & WILL YEAR A BUMPER OF LIQUID GOLD FOR THE NEXT 25 YEARS. Who knows? JTIASA MIGHT RISE UP LIKE KLK & BATU KAWAN ONE DAY.
3) JTIASA INSIDER BOUGHT 21 MILLION SHARES AT AROUND RM2.50. SO JTIASA IS NOW A GREAT BARGAIN WITH IMMENSE UPSIDE POTENTIAL
Calvin suggests Mr Koon take profit on high flying shares and buy back undervalue JTiasa now.
JTiasa is a Cyclical Stock with rebounding potential due to the Coming El Nino.
2015-12-18 14:16
This 4 looks...........erm.............re.ta.rd.........following koon is just the strt of pity life.
The stock rise of course due to billion funds from koon lah
2015-12-18 14:20
Koon Bee
Uncle Koon Super Investor mah
Only wrong timing only.
Not wrong call
You understand?
2015-12-18 14:24
calvin is useless. He is selfish and promotes his shares to sell out after he has bought low.
2015-12-18 14:25
Calvin no sifu.
Calvin is here to learn from every body how to invest.
2015-12-18 14:26
Posted by calvintge > Dec 18, 2015 02:25 PM | Report Abuse
Calvintaneng, you should compete on 2016 stock challenge. You have been talking like sifu for years yet never dare to compete
I see Calvin could be one of my major competitor for OTB's free tips...
2015-12-18 14:29
Wahaha!
All the horses compete in the stadium. Calvin follows eagle soaring FREE ABOVE THE HEAVENS. Calvin is Free, Free, Free.
Ok tell you a secret before Sifu OTB tell you.
NEXT YEAR IS THE FIRE MONKEY YEAR
So Energy Stocks Will Perform
JTiasa is in Palm Oil
OIL? OIL IS ENERGY
SO JTIASA WILL PERFORM WELL!
Another ENERGY STOCK THAT WILL PERFORM WELL IS
MPHBCAP DUE TO ITS 1,800 ACRES PRIME LANDS JUST SIDE BY SIDE WITH PENGERANG'S RAPID
RAPID WILL DO VERY WELL WHEN OIL PRICE HAS CRASHED
WHY?
ANSWER: RAPID IS AN OIL PROCESSOR (Only Oil Drillers suffer)
See you guys later. I now busy in BOOMING ISKANDAR!!
2015-12-18 14:39
Koon very absent minded. Recap on his past golden rule
Koon Koon shares last week
1. Can One Rm 4.35
2. Focus Lumber Rm 2.90,
3. Thong Guan Rm 2.65
4 Mieco Chipboard Rm 1.10
5. Johotin RM 2.83
6. Heng Huat Group RM 0.88
Koon Koon shares this week
1. VS Industry
2. Latitude
3. Lii Hen
4. Can One
5. Focus Lumber
6. Johotin
7. Geshen
8. Genetech
9. Evergreen
10. Xingquan
Ah Koon Koon buy more Xingguan
2015-12-18 18:56
Better don't miss this one
KPSCB
It has Very High NTA. Selling at 67% discount to NTA. Offers A Big Margin of Safety
Very Powerful Growth Potential - P/E only 5.36
Recession Proof Business: health care product and educational material
This is a totally overlooked & mispriced stock. A true hidden gem
See www.kpscb.com.my
2015-12-19 01:13
Koon - focus also on your bad/holland calls like jtiasa, mudajaya, rsawit, etc. And learn from that
U can learn to tell us which one u have "cutloss" , so that we know how good u are at cutting losses..
Focus on your real portfolio instead of showing only the winning ones
2015-12-19 05:34
uncle Koon screwed up on rsawit, jtiasa and mudajaya, but he persevere and kept trying
At the end, he emerged from the ash like a Phoenix.
Don't be a cynic, be open minded, not everybody is out there to screw somebody
2015-12-19 06:00
Good morning Mr. KYY,
You were correct to sell JTiasa then when Shale Oil hammered down Palm Oil. However, there will be a divergence of Mineral Oil & Vegetable Oil next year.
Crude Oil might be weak in 2016 but Vegetable Oil might rise due to Ongoing El Nino.
As such Palm Oil might rise up again to over $3,000 a ton.
See www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3364021/Get-ready-scorcher-year-Experts-warn-2016-hottest-12-months-record-El-Nino-global-warming-html
And May I issue a caution on all export stocks & high flying shares for THIS ONE MOST IMPORTANT WARNING
In 1929 USA Dow Jones Collapsed and it rose again due to pumping in of liquidity. So US stocks did well from 1931 to 1936
Then It Collapsed again in 1937 when US FED Tightened Liquidity again.
I think all must be very cautious now that Yellen has increased interest rate for the first time after 7 years. This might be a repeat of 1937 collapse. Unless Yellen reignite QE4 & QE5 Stocks around the world might all be badly hit again.
That's why we must go Very Defensive for year 2016.
Note: When Asian Financial Crisis Hit in 1997/8 Palm Oil went up instead. Again in 2007/8 when World Market Collapsed due to US Subprime Problem - Palm Oil Prices skyrocketed upward.
These were caused by EL NINO.
So I think you should sell all High Fly Hot Stocks before they get hit. And hide in the safety of JTiasa, R Sawit & other Palm Oil related counters.
2015-12-19 10:01
Anther screw up call f koon is hhgroup. I sell it 0.82 when he keep askibg ppl buy. I know the founder s goreng kaki. If a directir so free goreng stock instead of focus on bz, i sell lah.
2015-12-19 10:08
Also nvr know icon888 such a plp guy, plp koon. Woe. Low life character. Faxt still shiw ppl followibg koon buying jtiasa, mudajaya still suffer today.
2015-12-19 10:09
Mr Koon,recently u bought EG,Eg got any special thing to attack u buy it?
2015-12-19 10:11
Koon is nvr a guru lah, forget following him. U see if i use same logic like koon. I can recommend also 100 stocks, when lose money i tell u all sHut up and focus those i make money. Easy taks. Same like conman stylr mah. I bet 1000 4d number if got 1 hit i publish out loud. Tell u all follow me and give me money to get tips.
2015-12-19 10:13
Among the shares I am holding, Ge Shen, Can One and Chin Well are my best performers yesterday with unusually high volume . They went up 22, 17 and 16 sen respectively. Many ordinary investors would have sold and many smart investors would have bought.
Koon Koon shares last week
1. VS Industry
2. Latitude
3. Lii Hen
4. Can One
5. Focus Lumber
6. Johotin
7. Geshen
8. Genetech
9. Evergreen
10. Xingquan
Aiyoo Ah Koon, when did you buy Chin Well??????
2015-12-19 10:23
Last week no Chin Well but now got Chin Well. Aiyooh, Ah Koon know magic ka??????
2015-12-19 10:24
Do you blame the analyst of the IBs when their calls cant be materialized?Fundamental of the stocks is changing,if you cant make up your mind,then that mean you are not adaptive enough.The key will still the valuation that you give to your particular purchase and the another one is the price you pay,that easy.I bought zelan and Gadang almost the same time but I cut zelan and not gadang (in fact I averaging down Gadang from 1.75 to below 1.2) and till now Gadang have generate more than 70% for me within the period of one year.Why cut zelan?because my initial assumptions was wrong after as most zelan derived most PAT from write back.
Coming back to Jtiasa and Mudajaya,the fundamental was change.For HHRG,I need tell you that I and my team have made more than 1 fold within the period of one year as well as our cost is approx 0.39 before corporate exercise.Now when 0.82 post corporate exercise,with the anticipation of sustainable result (based on track record),someone make it a buy call,I see nothing wrong as prices is targeted to be move even higher until the last results come out.
Conclusion,which again the old rule,know your value and control prices.switch if your initial thoughts not valid,that simple.If you cant pick these up,I am sad to said that you are 难成大器.No one is perfect,mistake is unavoidable.
For now,I am bullish over DUFU,CANONE,KESM.
2015-12-19 10:30
Koon Koon share previous week
1. Can One Rm 4.35
2. Focus Lumber Rm 2.90,
3. Thong Guan Rm 2.65
4 Mieco Chipboard Rm 1.10
5. Johotin RM 2.83
6. Heng Huat Group RM 0.88
Koon Koon shares last week
1. VS Industry
2. Latitude
3. Lii Hen
4. Can One
5. Focus Lumber
6. Johotin
7. Geshen
8. Genetech
9. Evergreen
10. Xingquan
Koon Koon extra share not reveal last week but magically exist
11. Chin Well
2015-12-19 10:36
Dun tell me what stock u all have. Not interested at all.all lousy call. Next yr going to crash.
2015-12-19 10:44
Ah Koon golden shares update -5% include Chinwell
http://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/pfs/53120.jsp
2015-12-19 10:49
Yes agree.Sign of mkt crash will be intensify H2 2016,but thats after I clear all my stocks.hahahaha
2015-12-19 11:06
Aiyo kk123 pls act like a man kah..dont b so kecil hati...i just posted an info here abt his donation of rm10k.....get over yr frustration over johotin which u lost money n move on....
2015-12-19 11:57
Lose money lose money loh...whats the big deal?i also lose money very often...then work hard to find some good stocks so as to earn some money loh...thats the nature of stock mkt....stop grumble again n again like a old lady...
2015-12-19 12:02
Buy bjcorp, mulpha, pmcorp, mui...all aset play and claim by Calvintan with tp rm10 to rm20
2015-12-20 00:04
Nice of uncle koon to mention 3 stocks here that he is still holding.. will be helpfull to others..if uncle koon are holding still other stocks do inform on i3 site..
2015-12-20 20:24
Yes,MULPHA,PMCORP,MUIIND from Calvintaneng should be good buy now even at current price but I am not hurry.Do not forget about MPCORP as well Calvintaneng.All the above is consider asset play investment and I believe investors will be benefit from the above stocks.
But however,the normalization of interest will marked end to export stocks?well it might but I do not think it will for those fundamentally strong and demand based co like DUFU,KEMS and CANONE.
But anyway,thanks CALVIN,keep it up CALVINTANENG,I know many of the forumers here do treat your voice as unnecessary and even give you a big laugh on your opinion/picks,but I can see what you see.Remember,we are right not because many agree with us but because our facts and rational is right.Result will speak for himself.
I think your KBUNAI will have a good run within 6-8 months too as this is those stocks that 可攻可守
2015-12-20 20:41
One good one from Calvin that I bought Pmcorp. Bought 20cts sold 30cts. Bought back again below 24cts. Cash per share about 24cts. No brainer. Must have patience!,
2015-12-20 22:00
Making baseless assumptions is misleading and dangerous. For starters, little of the Federal Reserve's Q1,Q2 and Q3 reached the general public. The banks kept most of it as they earned interest from it (from the Fed) without any risk whatsoever.
2015-12-20 23:57
fong7 and others who say that when I post or recommend any share, I want you to
buy so that I can sell to make money out of you; how can that be true when I own more than 100 million VS shares as you can see VS's latest annual report and I am a substantial shareholder in Latitude, Lii Hen, CanOne, Chin Well, Focus Lumber, T Guan, Favco and Xingquan. Why are you so stupid to sell all these good shares to make me so rich? As I said Xingquan does not look good now but my charity foundation can wait and I can afford to lose a little if it eventually gone rotten
2016-01-05 03:48
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Koon Bee
Thanks Mr Koon for this article...wonderful
2015-12-18 13:54