Koon Yew Yin's Blog
Investors in dilemma - Koon Yew Yin
Koon Yew Yin
Publish date: Thu, 01 Jul 2021, 10:57 AM
Koon Yew Yin
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An official blog in i3investor to publish sharing by Mr. Koon Yew Yin.
All materials published here are prepared by Mr. Koon Yew Yin
All materials published here are prepared by Mr. Koon Yew Yin
Covid 19 pandemic and political uncertainty are depressing the stock market. Agong proposed Parliament to reconvene as soon as possible. Currently Muhyiddin has diarrhoea and is in hospital. The Chinese word for diarrhoea is “lou sai or lai see”. He is afraid to lose his PM position. I believe the stock market will rebound when the new PM is elected.
China has been the biggest producer and exporter of steel in the world. Currently China has reduced steel production and stopped export to improve its air quality and environment. As a result, steel price has gone up about 50% in the last 12 months and all the steel companies have reported increased profit. Unfortunately, even the most profitable steel companies Leon Faut has been dropping in the last few weeks as shown on its price chart below.
The last traded price was 98.5 sen per share. Its EPS was 11.65 sen for quarter ending March 2021. Even if I assume its EPS for the next 3 quarter is the same, its annual EPS will be 4 X 11.65 = 46.6 sen. Share price 98.5 sen divided by 46.6 sen = PE 2.
Mr Ooi Teik Bee has circulated his weekly stock newsletters “Steel Stocks on cheap sale”.
Investors cannot be so foolish to sell Leon Faut now.
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KUALA LUMPUR (July 1): The IHS Markit Malaysia Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a composite single-figure indicator of manufacturing performance, fell to 39.9 in June 2021 from 51.3 a month earlier as Malaysia’s Covid-19-driven movement restriction policies resulted in output and incoming orders moderating to the greatest extent since the worst of the initial outbreak of the pandemic in April 2020.
In a statement today, IHS Markit said the country's manufacturing sector lost considerable momentum at the end of the second quarter of 2021 (2Q21) as Covid-19 infections led to the reintroduction of stricter containment measures to curb the spread of the pandemic.
"Business confidence hit the lowest reading on record,” IHS Markit said.
2021-07-01 12:48
My opinion on Leon Faut
Private placement of Leon Faut 31m at 85 sen was completed on 07 May 2021
At current price of 99.5 sen, Private placement investors still can make a profit of 14.5 sen (17% profit)
Chart wise, the private placement investors could be in the process of unloading their stock before it move down to break even price of 85 sen
In my opinion, the upside potential is limited. Buying is easy, but getting out of your buying position with a good profit could be tough under present conditions
2021-07-01 22:52
Uncle said buy... you need to follow his instructions kah?
Don’t listen to anyone in Bursa. Every one has his own motives in promoting stocks.
2021-07-02 06:22
Leon Fuat or Leon Faut? Leon Faut tak wujud ni.
Anyhow, not interested in cyclical steels. Out of my circle of competence.
2021-07-03 09:49
I oredi raised my red flag bcos my portfolio is in the red !
Any financial assistance ?
2021-07-03 13:50
malaysia in MCO, construction is not allowed to operating. Who want to buy steel ? aduih...think logic la. everyone now rushing to buy technology and software company like D&O, Revenue, Genetec, Kobay, Hightec and so on. Investors are looking at value investing or future technology or long term play technology. Steel is just steel and play when commodities price up and down. but only happen when country with no MCO then can play la. now totally can't. is over for steel.
2021-07-03 14:42
During MCO:
Meanwhile, the five sectors allowed to operate with 10% workforce are automotive (vehicles and components); *** IRON and STEEL ***; cement; glass; and ceramics.
He failed to metioned that LeonFB and STEEL Co's is only operating at 10% CAPACITY!!
2021-07-04 22:41
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
emsvsi
Dear Mr Koon Yew Yin,
Investors may or may not be in a dilemma and steel price rise may or may not be a short term affair, but what is for certain is in 6 months time Genting's business performance will be much better
The world moves in cycles - the seasons, economic cycle and recession (10 years), stock market cycle, property cycle, commodities cycle...
1971 Genting Highlands Opens
2021 50 Years of History and Growth
2009 Global Financial Crisis
2020 Covid-19 Pandemic
2009 Year of the Ox (KLCI + 44%)
2021 Year of the Ox
2010 Resorts World Sentosa (SG) opens
2021 Resorts World Las Vegas (US) opens
2009 Mar RM3.08 (low) to 2011 Nov RM11.98 (all time high)
2020 Nov RM2.95 (low) to 2022 RM ????
History always repeats itself
Years of downtrend will be replaced with years of uptrend
All are welcome to GENTING (3182) the numbawan top pick sure win Recovery + Value + Growth stock in the Year of the Golden Ox
Sincerely,
EMSVSI
2021-07-01 12:32