南洋行家论股
【行家论股】金群利集团 首季业绩符合预期
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分析：丰隆投行研究
目标价：2.10令吉
最新进展：
金群利集团（MATRIX，5236，主板产业股）2025财年首季，净利同比下跌6.11%，至6069万1000令吉，不过维持派发2.5仙股息。
截至2024年6月30日的首季，营收报2亿7971万5000令吉，同比下降15.60%。
（取自金群利集团官网）
行家建议：
金群利集团首季业绩，符合我们与市场预期，分别占全年预测的23.7%和22.8%。
该集团首季销售为3.213亿令吉，占全年销售目标的23.8%。
金群利集团计划在2025财年，推出总值17.2亿令吉的项目，主要来自位森州达城（Bandar Sri Sendayan）城镇发展项目，占81.3%。
截至首季，未入账销售额为15.9亿令吉，我们了解到，未入账销售的急剧上升，是集团此前未将Levia Residences销售计入其中。
随着年报更新后，我们微调了2025和2026财年预测，分别上调0.3%和2.0%，并首次给出2027财年的预测。
我们还将该集团的评级，从“守住”上修至“买入”，目标价则从1.87令吉，调高至2.10令吉。
我们对集团的看法转向积极，主要是近期在森州收购土地，提供了更长期的盈利展望，表明集团在规划下一阶段增长的坚定努力。
此外，考虑到集团派息率超过50%，预计2025财年周息率，将达到可观的5.7%。
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