DiGi’s 2QFY13 results were somewhat tepid, as soft revenue growth dampened margin improvement. Unless 2HFY13 shows significant growth, there is limited scope for an earnings surprise. The business trust structure remains the only visible re-rating catalyst for now, with Management expecting to conclude its evaluation by year-end. Maintain SELL with a FV of MYR4.10.
- Within expectations. At first glance, DiGi’s 1HFY13 reported net profit of MYR708m (+9.9% y-o-y) appears below our (46%) and consensus (44%) expectations of the respective full-year estimates. However, excluding accelerated depreciation (1HFY13: MYR137m), we estimate 2QFY13 core net profit at MYR811m (Figure 1), accounting for 49% of FY13 figures and in line with our and consensus forecasts.
- Improvements come as expected. Q-o-q, revenue growth was surprisingly flattish (+0.4%), as our expectation of a voice usage pick-up following a seasonally weak 1QFY13 did not materialise. Service revenue grew 3.4% q-o-q, but was almost fully mitigated by lower handset sales (-25.7%). Nonetheless, 2QFY13 EBITDA margin benefitted as a result and improved by 1.5 ppt to 45.2% (1QFY13: 43.7%). Consequently, core net profit increased 4.4% q-o-q to MYR414m despite a marginal uptick in effective tax rate.
- Briefing highlights. While Management maintained its 2013 revenue growth guidance of 5%-7%, we believe DiGi will likely only meet the lower end of the target. It expects to vacate a portion (2x10Mhz) of its 1800Mhz spectrum for long-term evolution (LTE) use in 2014. This is positive given the better coverage qualities of 1800Mhz in comparison to 2600Mhz. Management is targeting 1,500 LTE sites by end-2014 before eventually reaching 50% population coverage by 2017.
- Dividends. DiGi declared the second interim net DPS of 4.8 sen, which translated into a payout ratio of 98% and brought YTD DPS to 8.6 sen. For FY13, we maintain our DPS forecast of 20 sen, assuming a 100% payout ratio.
Source: RHB
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Created by kiasutrader | Jun 14, 2016
Created by kiasutrader | May 05, 2016